Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.9% Move

$74.32 -1.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.99

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.59B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NGVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Ingevity Corporation (NYSE: NGVT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $74.32 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $2.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NGVT ranks #18 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NGVT compare to IOSP and ROG in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), NGVT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, IOSP (Innospec Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.50B) and ROG (Rogers Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $2.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGVT?
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Per NGVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653477), Ingevity Corporation generated $1.17B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), -$167.1M in net income, and $331.2M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.99 (-0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 28.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (19)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$91 Bull$77 Base$60 Bear
📬 FREE NGVT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NGVT SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28.4% FCF Margin ($331.2M FCF) & 39.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$69.07+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$70.31+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$71.03+4.6% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$74.32+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NGVT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, NGVT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 37.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.52) or 200D SMA ($71.30) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($77.33) toward Bear Floor ($60.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGVT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NGVT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.9% Swing Band

±$4.38 Expected Swing
$69.94 (-5.9%)Spot $74.32$78.70 (+5.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NGVT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 67/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.7%

Model Bullish Setup (67/100)Model Risk Weight (33/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.17B-$167.1M$331.2M39.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.20B-$430.3M$128.6M38.7%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.22B-$5.4M$205.1M39.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NGVT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NGVT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NGVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.72%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $74.17H $75.37L $74.17C $74.32VOL 342.5K
RES: $76.23SUP: $65.21SMA50: $70.52SMA200: $71.30
$80.60$75.18$69.77$64.36$58.95RES $76.23SUP $65.21$74.322026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGVT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGVT)

Materials Rank #18 of 270 ⚔️ IOSP vs NGVT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NGVT vs. IOSP, ROG, KWR, WDFC)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) ranks #18 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #101 by equity capitalization ($2.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDFC leads on earnings valuation at 32.3x trailing P/E, while NGVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. IOSP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with NGVT at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NGVT ACTIVE
Ingevity Corporation
C+ 67/100 — 39.5% 85.0% -1.39% $2.59B Benchmark Subject
IOSP
Innospec Inc.
B- 70/100 — 27.7% 9.9% -1.50% $2.50B /iosp-vs-ngvt →
ROG
Rogers Corporation
D 51/100 — 31.7% -3.6% -5.18% $2.50B /rog-vs-ngvt →
KWR
Quaker Houghton
D 49/100 — 36.0% 2.1% -4.38% $2.72B /kwr-vs-ngvt →
WDFC
WD-40 Company
C+ 69/100 32.3x 55.1% 27.2% +0.55% $2.94B /wdfc-vs-ngvt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653477

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.17B (-2.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$167.1M, operating cash flow of $331.2M, and free cash flow of $331.2M (+157.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NGVT closed FY2025 with $1.65B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.17B -$167.1M $331.2M $331.2M $1.65B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.20B -$430.3M $128.6M $128.6M $2.02B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.22B -$5.4M $205.1M $205.1M — —

3. NGVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Ingevity Corporation (NYSE: NGVT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $74.32 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $2.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NGVT ranks #18 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGVT compare to IOSP and ROG in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), NGVT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, IOSP (Innospec Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.50B) and ROG (Rogers Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $2.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGVT?

Per NGVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653477), Ingevity Corporation generated $1.17B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), -$167.1M in net income, and $331.2M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGVT last traded at $74.32 (-1.39% on volume of 279,150 shares), positioning the stock +5.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.52) and +4.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($71.30). Across its 52-week range of $45.85 to $79.29, NGVT sits at the 85.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($69.94 to $78.70).

NGVT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NGVT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ingevity Corporation (NGVT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NGVT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.9% event move for NGVT, spanning a range between $69.94 and $78.7.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NGVT — Ingevity Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NGVT scores 67 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 19 of 20 (ROIC 85%; FCF yield 12.78%), the strongest signal in the rating and the main source of upside support. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 14 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The insider conviction pillar scores 12 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 12 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), indicating market-like sensitivity rather than defensive or aggressive behavior. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 of 20 (Altman Z 2.93; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), the weakest pillar and the main area where valuation tradeoffs and balance-sheet quality warrant scrutiny. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a high cash-return profile offset by mid-range institutional and insider signals and a balance-sheet score that tempers conviction. The "Watch for Breakout" label suggests the rating framework sees the setup as unresolved rather than decisively positive or negative.

Business

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and Major Chemicals industry, per the profile section. The source data provided does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications. Per the financials section, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1167.6M. A market capitalization of $2.6B is listed in the profile.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1167.6M$418.7M$-167.1MN/A$331.2M$78.1MN/A
FY 2024$1200.1M$425.9M$-430.3MN/A$128.6M$68.0MN/A
FY 2023$1215.5M$423.2M$-5.4MN/A$205.1MN/AN/A

Per the market data, operating margin is 35.9%, gross margin is 39.5%, and net margin is -14.3%, with ROIC at 85%. The spread between strong operating margins and negative net margins indicates substantial below-the-operating-line costs, though the source data does not itemize them. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.93 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Per the forensic balance sheet pillar, these metrics produced a 10 of 20 score.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items are listed, all tagged to NGVT and carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Headlines include a Yahoo Finance piece on holding the stock, a TradingView estimates report, a Yahoo Finance stock forecast item, a Stock Titan piece on the company's 2016 spin-off history and a NYSE bell event, a Globe and Mail piece on adjusted EBITDA positioning, and a Business Wire notice announcing dates for the third quarter 2026 earnings release and webcast. The earnings-date announcement is the only item in the feed describing a scheduled event with a defined date in the source data. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, end markets, and customer concentration? The source data classifies the company but does not describe its operations.
  • What explains the gap between an 85% ROIC and a -14.3% net margin, and how much of net loss reflects one-time or non-cash items?
  • What were the EPS, trailing P/E, and forward P/E figures? These are listed as unavailable in the source data.
  • What is the company's total debt, given FY debt fields are unreported and Debt/Equity is listed only as 0.5?
  • What do the third quarter 2026 earnings results show once released, and how do they compare with the trend in reported revenue and operating income?

NGVT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NGVT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NGVT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $74.32?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NGVT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NGVT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $81.40 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NGVT (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $75.37?

Welcome to the NGVT (Ingevity Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $61.05 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $75.37

Pump the brakes on NGVT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NGVT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 39.5% gross margins. Unless Ingevity Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $91.95 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $75.37

NGVT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NGVT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $75.37 (52-wk range $45.85 - $79.29), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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