Why NINE Stock slipped -0.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$7.84 -0.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.82

Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 17/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $109.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NYSE: NINE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $7.84 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $109.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NINE ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NINE compare to KLXE and TUSK in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NINE carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $117.3M) and TUSK (Mammoth Energy Services Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC -29.0%, cap $153.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NINE?
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Per NINE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001532286), Nine Energy Service Inc. generated $561.9M in revenue (+1.4% YoY), -$51.3M in net income, and -$23.3M in free cash flow against $339.5M in total assets and $341.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.82 (-0.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510017
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.5% Base Target
$14 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE NINE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NINE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (17/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NINE SCORES 17/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$7.95+6.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
22
Grade E$8.49-7.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
20
Grade E$7.84+0% Next Q
Current
17
Grade E$7.84-12.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (17)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NINE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NINE currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.90) and Max Pain ($8.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NINE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NINE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NINE Stock slipped -0.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) slipped -0.25% to $7.84, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($7.32 – $13.23). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($7.32 – $13.23) with RSI-14 at 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.5% around $7.84 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NINE Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NINE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NINE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NINE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.86H $7.86L $7.84C $7.84VOL 7.1K
RES: $12.04SUP: $6.41SMA50: $8.90SMA200: $9.99
$13.64$11.93$10.22$8.51$6.80RES $12.04SUP $6.41$7.842026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NINE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NINE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NINE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NINE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NINE)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NINE vs. KLXE, TUSK, NOA, RNGR)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) ranks #211 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #186 by equity capitalization ($109.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNGR leads on earnings valuation at 29.4x trailing P/E, while RNGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. RNGR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with NINE at 17/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NINE ACTIVE
Nine Energy Service Inc.
E 17/100 — — 0.9% -0.25% $109.4M Benchmark Subject
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.
E 25/100 — 21.2% -13.8% -4.31% $117.3M /klxe-vs-nine →
TUSK
Mammoth Energy Services Inc.
D- 37/100 30.5x — -29.0% +9.28% $153.0M /tusk-vs-nine →
NOA
North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)
D 46/100 — — — -4.39% $332.2M /noa-vs-nine →
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 29.4x — 4.2% -1.44% $356.1M /rngr-vs-nine →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001532286

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) reported GAAP revenue of $561.9M (+1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $554.1M , and -7.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$51.3M, operating cash flow of -$7.3M, and free cash flow of -$23.3M (-1383.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NINE closed FY2025 with $339.5M in total assets against $341.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $561.9M -$51.3M -$7.3M -$23.3M $339.5M $341.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $554.1M -$41.1M $13.2M -$1.6M $360.1M $317.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $609.5M -$32.2M $45.5M $45.5M — —

3. NINE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NYSE: NINE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $7.84 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $109.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NINE ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NINE compare to KLXE and TUSK in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NINE carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $117.3M) and TUSK (Mammoth Energy Services Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC -29.0%, cap $153.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NINE?

Per NINE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001532286), Nine Energy Service Inc. generated $561.9M in revenue (+1.4% YoY), -$51.3M in net income, and -$23.3M in free cash flow against $339.5M in total assets and $341.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NINE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NINE last traded at $7.84 (-0.25% on volume of 7,108 shares), positioning the stock -11.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.90) and -21.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.99). Across its 52-week range of $7.32 to $13.23, NINE sits at the 8.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($7.02 to $8.66).

NINE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is NINE stock moving today?

Why NINE Stock slipped -0.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 17/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NINE — Nine Energy Service Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:45Z

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$561.9M$2.3M$-51.3MN/A$-23.3M$18.4M$341.6M
FY 2024$554.1M$8.9M$-41.1MN/A$-1.6M$27.9M$317.3M
FY 2023$609.5M$17.6M$-32.2MN/A$45.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $609.5M (FY 2023) to $554.1M (FY 2024) before rising to $561.9M (FY 2025), while net income was negative in all three periods. Operating income fell from $17.6M to $2.3M across the period. Market data reports gross margin of 0%, operating margin of 0.4%, and net margin of -9.1%, with ROIC of 0.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.2 and Piotroski F is 2/9, both indicating weak forensic balance-sheet posture; Debt/Equity is 0.5.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per <recent_news_and_catalysts>, the feed contains a mix of earnings-timing notices and market-wire items:

  • Nine Energy Service announced the timing of its Q3 2026 earnings release and conference call (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • A Source Energy Services earnings-release notice (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • NESR announced Q3 2026 financial results for November 9th (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • A TradingKey report on 52-week low U.S. stocks and new market lows (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • A Technip Energies earnings-publication notice (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • A Morgan Stanley report cutting its target for ProPetro Holding to USD 12.00 (RED, Risk Watch).

The RED flag is the Morgan Stanley target cut, which is tagged to a peer rather than to NINE directly. The 52-week-low headline aligns with the stock's price of 7.86 against a 52-week range of $7.32 - $13.23. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers, given the business description is absent?
  • What is the EPS trajectory and P/E valuation, since EPS and P/E are unavailable despite net losses in all reported periods?
  • What drove the cash decline from $27.9M (FY 2024) to $18.4M (FY 2025) against $341.6M of debt, and what are the debt maturities?
  • What are the FY 2023 cash and debt balances, which are reported as N/A?
  • Which specific 13F holders and insider transactions underlie the whale-flow and insider-conviction pillar scores?

NINE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NINE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NINE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.84?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NINE 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NINE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.92 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NINE (E • RQD 18/100) a Buy at $7.86?

Welcome to the NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 18/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Oilfield Services/Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.97 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $7.86

Pump the brakes on NINE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NINE, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Nine Energy Service Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.59 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $7.86

NINE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NINE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oilfield Services/Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.86 (52-wk range $7.32 - $13.23), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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