ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Technology / NIQ / earnings
TTD (62) GDS (57) BZ (79) SNAP (41) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.6% Move

$19.86 +0.15% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.83

NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.85B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NIQ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NIQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NYSE: NIQ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $19.86 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $5.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NIQ ranks #359 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NIQ compare to TTD and GDS in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), NIQ carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.7%. By comparison, TTD (The Trade Desk Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 13.9x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.81B) and GDS (GDS Holdings Limited ADS) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $4.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NIQ?
▼

Per NIQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002054696), NIQ Global Intelligence plc generated $4.20B in revenue (+5.7% YoY), -$353.3M in net income, and $264.0M in free cash flow against $6.80B in total assets and $3.50B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.83 (-0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 6.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (16)SEC (6)Macro (8)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$22 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE NIQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NIQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NIQ SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.3% FCF Margin ($264.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$18.31+4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$19.09+3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$19.81+0.3% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$19.86-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NIQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NIQ currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.51) and Max Pain ($20.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NIQ• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NIQ Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.6% Swing Band

±$1.31 Expected Swing
$18.55 (-6.6%)Spot $19.86$21.17 (+6.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NIQ Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 48/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.7%

Model Bullish Setup (48/100)Model Risk Weight (52/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$4.20B-$353.3M$264.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$3.97B-$798.0M$38.5M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$3.34B-$577.4M-$11.8M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NIQ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NIQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
NIQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +89.68%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $20.37H $20.37L $19.83C $19.86VOL 1.03M
RES: $20.62SUP: $19.24SMA50: $18.51SMA200: $13.23
$21.44$17.78$14.12$10.46$6.79RES $20.62SUP $19.24$19.862026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NIQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NIQ Butterfly Map → + Track NIQ →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NIQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NIQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NIQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NIQ)

Technology Rank #359 of 715 ⚔️ TTD vs NIQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NIQ vs. TTD, GDS, BZ, SNAP)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) ranks #359 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #194 by equity capitalization ($5.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TTD leads on earnings valuation at 13.9x trailing P/E, while GDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with NIQ at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NIQ ACTIVE
NIQ Global Intelligence plc
D 48/100 — — 1.7% +0.15% $5.85B Benchmark Subject
TTD
The Trade Desk Inc.
C 62/100 13.9x 78.6% 13.8% +2.12% $5.81B /ttd-vs-niq →
GDS
GDS Holdings Limited ADS
D+ 57/100 21.7x — 14.9% -0.68% $4.39B /gds-vs-niq →
BZ
KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares
B+ 79/100 19.6x 85.1% 10.9% +3.14% $7.80B /bz-vs-niq →
SNAP
Snap Inc.
D- 41/100 — 55.0% -8.9% +2.06% $9.03B /snap-vs-niq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002054696 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) reported GAAP revenue of $4.20B (+5.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.97B , and +25.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$353.3M, operating cash flow of $298.7M, and free cash flow of $264.0M (+585.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NIQ closed FY2025 with $6.80B in total assets against $3.50B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.86, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.20B -$353.3M $298.7M $264.0M $6.80B $3.50B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.97B -$798.0M $73.9M $38.5M $6.37B $3.96B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.34B -$577.4M -$11.8M -$11.8M — —

3. NIQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NIQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NYSE: NIQ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $19.86 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $5.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NIQ ranks #359 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NIQ compare to TTD and GDS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), NIQ carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.7%. By comparison, TTD (The Trade Desk Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 13.9x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.81B) and GDS (GDS Holdings Limited ADS) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $4.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NIQ?

Per NIQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002054696), NIQ Global Intelligence plc generated $4.20B in revenue (+5.7% YoY), -$353.3M in net income, and $264.0M in free cash flow against $6.80B in total assets and $3.50B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NIQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NIQ last traded at $19.86 (+0.15% on volume of 1,012,717 shares), positioning the stock +7.29% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.51) and +50.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($13.23). Across its 52-week range of $7.93 to $20.56, NIQ sits at the 94.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($18.55 to $21.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: NIQ RQD Cockpit NIQ 12M Forecast NIQ Earnings & Move NIQ Dividends & DRIP NIQ Insiders & 13F NIQ Whale Options NIQ Profit Sankey NIQ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NIQ — NIQ Global Intelligence plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $19.86 (+0.15% 1D, market capitalization $5.85B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 2.0%, and free cash flow yield of 4.39%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.86, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 3.54x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

NIQ Global Intelligence plc is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry. — for detailed product or customer breakdown.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) reported $4.20B in annual revenue (up from $3.97B in FY2024, +5.7% YoY) and -$353.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.34B revenue, -$577.4M net income) through FY2025, NIQ scaled operating cash flow to $298.7M and free cash flow to $264.0M, backed by $6.80B in total assets against $3.50B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 4.39% and institutional whale pillar of 16/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.93 – $20.56 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 78.3x EV/EBITDA against 2.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (Technology), NIQ carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can NIQ sustain or expand its 2.0% operating margin and 1.7% ROIC against Computer Software: Programming Data Processing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.20B and free cash flow of $264.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.50B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NIQ's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NIQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NIQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NIQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.86?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NIQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NIQ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.40 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 17 of 20 in the RQD rating, and FY 2025 free cash flow reached $264.0M.

Here is why I am bullish on NIQ here at $19.83: Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 17 of 20 in the RQD rating, and FY 2025 free cash flow reached $264.0M.. Compare NIQ's 2.0% operating margin and 1.7% ROIC against the rest of Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $18.84 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 16/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $19.83 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.66 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $19.83

The RQD Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 6 of 20, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.86 and Debt/Equity of 3.54 against net losses in ever

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short NIQ above $19.83. The RQD Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 6 of 20, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.86 and Debt/Equity of 3.54 against net losses in every reported period.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (4.39%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $20.56.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%