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NNN REIT Inc. (NNN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$41.70 +1.71% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.75

NNN REIT Inc. (NNN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.87B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NNN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NNN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, NNN REIT Inc. (NYSE: NNN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $41.70 (+1.71% 1D, market cap $7.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, NNN ranks #264 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NNN compare to REXR and LINE in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NNN carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 7.2%. By comparison, REXR (Rexford Industrial Realty Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 37.0x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $8.11B) and LINE (Lineage Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.2%, cap $8.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNN leads on earnings multiple (20.4x) while NNN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NNN?
β–Ό

Per NNN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000751364), NNN REIT Inc. generated $926.2M in revenue (+6.6% YoY), $389.8M in net income, and $625.5M in free cash flow against $9.38B in total assets and $2.24B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.75 (+0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 67.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C Β· Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$53 Bull$43 Base$33 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NNN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NNN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NNN SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$40.80-0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$40.72+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$40.90+2% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$41.70+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NNN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, NNN faces multiple-compression risk if 20.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.12) or 200D SMA ($44.27) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.83) toward Bear Floor ($33.41).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NNNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNNN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
7.36% Total Yield
5.56% Cash ($2.32/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
46% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (11% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $28,394

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $2,090/yr
$11.1K
Yr 1
$12.3K
Yr 2
$13.7K
Yr 3
$15.2K
Yr 4
$16.9K
Yr 5
$18.7K
Yr 6
$20.8K
Yr 7
$23.0K
Yr 8
$25.6K
Yr 9
$28.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in NNN & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on NNN and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NNN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.36%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $41.52H $41.70L $41.00C $41.70VOL 3.21M
RES: $44.89SUP: $37.57SMA50: $42.12SMA200: $44.27
$50.73$47.71$44.69$41.67$38.65RES $44.89SUP $37.57$41.702026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NNN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
14.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NNN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NNN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NNN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NNN)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NNN vs. REXR, LINE, FR, CTRE)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NNN REIT Inc. (NNN) ranks #264 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #218 by equity capitalization ($7.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NNN leads on earnings valuation at 20.4x trailing P/E, while NNN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. REXR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with NNN at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NNN ACTIVE
NNN REIT Inc.
C 64/100 20.4x β€” 7.2% +1.71% $7.87B Benchmark Subject
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty Inc.
C+ 68/100 37.0x β€” 2.1% +0.97% $8.11B /rexr-vs-nnn β†’
LINE
Lineage Inc.
D 46/100 β€” β€” 1.2% +2.83% $8.20B /line-vs-nnn β†’
FR
First Industrial Realty Trust Inc.
D+ 58/100 29.5x β€” 6.2% +0.72% $7.21B /fr-vs-nnn β†’
CTRE
CareTrust REIT Inc.
C 62/100 26.7x β€” 7.2% -0.69% $8.60B /ctre-vs-nnn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000751364 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NNN REIT Inc. (NNN) reported GAAP revenue of $926.2M (+6.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $869.3M , and +11.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $389.8M, operating cash flow of $667.1M, and free cash flow of $625.5M (+4.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NNN closed FY2025 with $9.38B in total assets against $2.24B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $926.2M $389.8M $667.1M $625.5M $9.38B $2.24B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $869.3M $396.8M $635.5M $596.4M $8.87B $2.03B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $828.1M $392.3M $612.4M $575.1M $4.38B $1.03B

3. NNN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NNN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NNN REIT Inc. (NYSE: NNN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $41.70 (+1.71% 1D, market cap $7.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, NNN ranks #264 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NNN compare to REXR and LINE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NNN carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 7.2%. By comparison, REXR (Rexford Industrial Realty Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 37.0x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $8.11B) and LINE (Lineage Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.2%, cap $8.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNN leads on earnings multiple (20.4x) while NNN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NNN?

Per NNN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000751364), NNN REIT Inc. generated $926.2M in revenue (+6.6% YoY), $389.8M in net income, and $625.5M in free cash flow against $9.38B in total assets and $2.24B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NNN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NNN last traded at $41.70 (+1.71% on volume of 2,588,735 shares), positioning the stock -1.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($42.12) and -5.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.27). Across its 52-week range of $38.90 to $50.00, NNN sits at the 25.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.9% ($40.07 to $43.33).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NNN β€” NNN REIT Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NNN REIT Inc. (NNN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $41.70 (+1.71% 1D, market capitalization $7.87B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.2%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 63.6%, and free cash flow yield of 7.85%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.10x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

NNN REIT Inc. (NNN) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $7.87B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 63.6%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.2% (free cash flow yield of 7.85%). Within the Real Estate Investment Trusts peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), NNN REIT Inc. (NNN) reported $926.2M in annual revenue (up from $869.3M in FY2024, +6.6% YoY) and $389.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($828.1M revenue, $392.3M net income) through FY2025, NNN scaled operating cash flow to $667.1M and free cash flow to $625.5M, backed by $9.38B in total assets against $2.24B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C β€’ RQD 64/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $38.90 – $50.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 20.4x trailing P/E and 16.1x EV/EBITDA against 63.6% operating margins and a 1.10x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), NNN carries a macro regime beta of 1.10 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can NNN sustain or expand its 63.6% operating margin and 7.2% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $926.2M and free cash flow of $625.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.24B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NNN's 19.0x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.10x)?

NNN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NNN REIT Inc. (NNN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NNN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NNN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $41.70?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NNN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NNN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $47.56 (+16.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (16/20) and a 7.85% FCF yield with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to strong cash generation and balance-sheet disc

Picked up a starter position in NNN in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $41.00. Insider conviction (16/20) and a 7.85% FCF yield with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to strong cash generation and balance-sheet discipline.. Trading inside a $38.90–$50.00 52-week range with 7.85% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Real Estate Investment Trusts multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 20.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.62 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $41.00

Reported debt more than doubled from $1.03B to $2.24B while cash fell to $5.0M, and institutional whale flow scores only 8/20.

Reported debt more than doubled from $1.03B to $2.24B while cash fell to $5.0M, and institutional whale flow scores only 8/20.. Look at the math on NNN: paying 20.4x trailing P/E for 7.2% ROIC and 63.6% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Real Estate Investment Trusts demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $36.08 before getting long.

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