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Stock Ratings / Energy / NOA / earnings
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North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.5% Move

$11.99 -4.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.87

North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $332.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NYSE: NOA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $11.99 (-4.39% 1D, market cap $332.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NOA ranks #154 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NOA compare to RNGR and NGS in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NOA carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $356.1M) and NGS (Natural Gas Services Group Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $417.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOA?
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For North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #154 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.87 (-0.98%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$18 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE NOA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NOA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NOA SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($9.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$11.82-3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$11.45+7.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$12.30-2.5% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$11.99-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NOA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NOA currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.45) and Max Pain ($12.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NOA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NOA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.5% Swing Band

±$0.78 Expected Swing
$11.21 (-6.5%)Spot $11.99$12.77 (+6.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NOA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NOA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NOA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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NOA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.59%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $12.54H $12.54L $11.99C $11.99VOL 82.7K
RES: $16.21SUP: $10.31SMA50: $12.45SMA200: $13.92
$16.56$15.02$13.47$11.92$10.37RES $16.21SUP $10.31$11.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NOA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NOA Butterfly Map → + Track NOA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NOA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NOA)

Energy Rank #154 of 211 ⚔️ RNGR vs NOA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NOA vs. RNGR, NGS, CLB, TUSK)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) ranks #154 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #162 by equity capitalization ($332.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLB leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while CLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and 20.7% gross margin. CLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NOA at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NOA ACTIVE
North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)
D 46/100 — — — -4.39% $332.2M Benchmark Subject
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 29.4x — 4.2% -1.44% $356.1M /rngr-vs-noa →
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group Inc.
E 33/100 21.3x — 10.7% -1.46% $417.9M /ngs-vs-noa →
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
C- 59/100 16.1x 20.7% 12.6% +2.31% $488.2M /clb-vs-noa →
TUSK
Mammoth Energy Services Inc.
D- 37/100 30.5x — -29.0% +9.28% $153.0M /tusk-vs-noa →

2. NOA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) operates in Oilfield Services/Equipment (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $332.2M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. NOA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NYSE: NOA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $11.99 (-4.39% 1D, market cap $332.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NOA ranks #154 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NOA compare to RNGR and NGS in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NOA carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $356.1M) and NGS (Natural Gas Services Group Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $417.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOA?

For North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #154 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NOA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NOA last traded at $11.99 (-4.39% on volume of 82,687 shares), positioning the stock -3.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.45) and -13.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.92). Across its 52-week range of $10.85 to $17.26, NOA sits at the 17.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($11.21 to $12.77).

Direct Sub-Reports: NOA RQD Cockpit NOA 12M Forecast NOA Earnings & Move NOA Dividends & DRIP NOA Insiders & 13F NOA Whale Options NOA Profit Sankey NOA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NOA — North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $11.99 (-4.39% 1D, market capitalization $332.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (no par) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within the Oilfield Services/Equipment industry..3B.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.85 – $17.26 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector classification is Energy and industry is Oilfield Services/Equipment.

  • Key Question #1: Can NOA sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Oilfield Services/Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $17.26 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NOA's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NOA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NOA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NOA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NOA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NOA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.71 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet pillar scores highest at 13 / 20, citing an Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.

Don't sleep on NOA's setup in Energy. Forensic balance sheet pillar scores highest at 13 / 20, citing an Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (46/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 46/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $11.99 and keeping dry powder in case we test $11.15.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.11 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $11.99

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, and insider and whale flow pillars score 9 and 8 out of 20.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on NOA: ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, and insider and whale flow pillars score 9 and 8 out of 20.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Oilfield Services/Equipment triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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