Stock Titan report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NPCE Stock advanced +0.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NPCE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Neuropace Inc. (NASDAQ: NPCE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $12.34 (+0.33% 1D, market cap $422.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, NPCE ranks #967 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NPCE compare to CARL and SI in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), NPCE carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 77.2%, and ROIC of -23.0%. By comparison, CARL (Carlsmed Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $408.2M) and SI (Shoulder Innovations Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $398.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPCE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CERS leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPCE?
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Per NPCE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001528287), Neuropace Inc. generated $100.0M in revenue (+25.1% YoY), -$21.5M in net income, and -$11.3M in free cash flow against $105.6M in total assets and $58.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 77.2% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NPCE Turnaround Squeeze
While NPCE currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.62) and Max Pain ($12.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.58.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why NPCE Stock advanced +0.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) advanced +0.33% to $12.34, trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($9.22 – $19.6). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($9.22 – $19.6) with RSI-14 at 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.1% around $12.34 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 77.2% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
MarketBeat report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif., October 29, 2026--NeuroPace, Inc. (Nasdaq: NPCE), a medical device company focused on transforming the lives of people living with epilepsy, today announced it will report financial results for the
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NPCE)
- ✓Walkthrough of NPCE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NPCE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +25.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NPCE today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NPCE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NPCE)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NPCE vs. CARL, SI, BWAY, CERS)
Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) ranks #967 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #465 by equity capitalization ($422.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NPCE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CERS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. SI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with NPCE at 21/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NPCE
ACTIVE
Neuropace Inc. | E | 21/100 | — | 77.2% | -23.0% | +0.33% | $422.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| CARL Carlsmed Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | 75.3% | -35.0% | +0.47% | $408.2M | /carl-vs-npce → |
| SI Shoulder Innovations Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | 76.5% | -16.1% | +0.99% | $398.3M | /si-vs-npce → |
| BWAY BrainsWay Ltd. | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -2.38% | $455.9M | /bway-vs-npce → |
| CERS Cerus Corporation | E | 27/100 | — | — | -15.5% | +3.51% | $459.5M | /cers-vs-npce → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001528287 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) reported GAAP revenue of $100.0M (+25.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $79.9M , and +52.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$21.5M, operating cash flow of -$11.0M, and free cash flow of -$11.3M (+37.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NPCE closed FY2025 with $105.6M in total assets against $58.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $100.0M | -$21.5M | -$11.0M | -$11.3M | $105.6M | $58.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $79.9M | -$27.1M | -$17.9M | -$18.3M | $94.6M | $59.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $65.4M | -$33.0M | -$19.7M | -$19.7M | — | — |
3. NPCE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NPCE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Neuropace Inc. (NASDAQ: NPCE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $12.34 (+0.33% 1D, market cap $422.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, NPCE ranks #967 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NPCE compare to CARL and SI in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), NPCE carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 77.2%, and ROIC of -23.0%. By comparison, CARL (Carlsmed Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $408.2M) and SI (Shoulder Innovations Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $398.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPCE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CERS leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPCE?
Per NPCE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001528287), Neuropace Inc. generated $100.0M in revenue (+25.1% YoY), -$21.5M in net income, and -$11.3M in free cash flow against $105.6M in total assets and $58.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NPCE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NPCE last traded at $12.34 (+0.33% on volume of 120,470 shares), positioning the stock -9.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.62) and -17.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.94). Across its 52-week range of $9.22 to $19.60, NPCE sits at the 30.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($11.22 to $13.46).
NPCE — Neuropace Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 21/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $12.34 (+0.33% 1D, market capitalization $422.2M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -23.0%, gross margin of 77.2%, operating margin of -16.3%, and free cash flow yield of -2.54%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 3.09x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector and Medical/Dental Instruments industry, with a market capitalization of $0.4B. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 77.2%.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) reported $100.0M in annual revenue (up from $79.9M in FY2024, +25.1% YoY) and -$21.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($65.4M revenue, -$33.0M net income) through FY2025, NPCE scaled operating cash flow to -$11.0M and free cash flow to -$11.3M, backed by $105.6M in total assets against $58.9M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 21/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.54% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.22 – $19.60 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -16.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
A prospective investor should note that the leverage indicated by Debt/Equity of 3.
- Key Question #1: Can NPCE sustain or expand its -16.3% operating margin and -23.0% ROIC against Medical/Dental Instruments peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $100.0M and free cash flow of -$11.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $58.9M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is NPCE's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
NPCE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Stock Titan report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif., October 29, 2026--NeuroPace, Inc. (Nasdaq: NPCE), a medical device company focused on transforming the lives of people living with epilepsy, today announced it will report financial results for the
NPCE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.34?
Revenue grew from $65.4M in FY 2023 to $100.0M in FY 2025 while the operating loss narrowed from -$27.2M to -$16.3M.
Don't sleep on NPCE's setup in Health Care. Revenue grew from $65.4M in FY 2023 to $100.0M in FY 2025 while the operating loss narrowed from -$27.2M to -$16.3M.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (21/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 21/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $12.30 and keeping dry powder in case we test $11.44.
ROIC of -23%, FCF yield of -2.54%, Altman Z of 0.2, and Debt/Equity of 3.09 together signal forensic and cash-generation risk.
I respect the product at Neuropace Inc., but the stock at $12.30 is a different story. ROIC of -23%, FCF yield of -2.54%, Altman Z of 0.2, and Debt/Equity of 3.09 together signal forensic and cash-generation risk.. FCF yield is -2.54% and RQD sits at 21/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?