Yahoo Finance report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NREF Stock slipped -0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
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Is NREF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NYSE: NREF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $14.97 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $282.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, NREF ranks #736 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does NREF compare to ARI and KREF in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NREF carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ARI (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $296.2M) and KREF (KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $300.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARI leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while ARI leads on capital efficiency (6.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NREF?
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Per NREF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786248), NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. generated $2.23B in revenue (-1.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $22.9M in free cash flow against $5.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1% FCF Margin ($22.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NREF Turnaround Squeeze
While NREF currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.04) and Max Pain ($15.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.35.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why NREF Stock slipped -0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) slipped -0.93% to $14.97, trading at 41% of its 52-week range ($12.6 – $18.43). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 41% of its 52-week range ($12.6 – $18.43) with RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $14.97 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $22.9M annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PennyMac Mortgage (PMT) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +12.90% and -62.11%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NREF)
- ✓Walkthrough of NREF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NREF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NREF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NREF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NREF)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NREF vs. ARI, KREF, PINE, LAND)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) ranks #736 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #825 by equity capitalization ($282.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARI leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while ARI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ARI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with NREF at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NREF
ACTIVE
NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -0.93% | $282.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc | D+ | 55/100 | 6.5x | — | 6.8% | -0.86% | $296.2M | /ari-vs-nref → |
| KREF KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -4.0% | -0.76% | $300.9M | /kref-vs-nref → |
| PINE Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | 3.8% | +3.23% | $303.6M | /pine-vs-nref → |
| LAND Gladstone Land Corporation | D- | 43/100 | 24.9x | — | 2.0% | +0.14% | $320.1M | /land-vs-nref → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001786248 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) reported GAAP revenue of $2.23B (-1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.27B ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $22.9M, and free cash flow of $22.9M (-21.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NREF closed FY2025 with $5.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.23B | $0 | $22.9M | $22.9M | $5.32B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.27B | $0 | $29.3M | $29.3M | $5.42B | — |
3. NREF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NREF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NYSE: NREF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $14.97 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $282.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, NREF ranks #736 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NREF compare to ARI and KREF in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NREF carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ARI (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $296.2M) and KREF (KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $300.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARI leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while ARI leads on capital efficiency (6.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NREF?
Per NREF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786248), NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. generated $2.23B in revenue (-1.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $22.9M in free cash flow against $5.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NREF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NREF last traded at $14.97 (-0.93% on volume of 75,001 shares), positioning the stock -6.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.04) and -2.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.41). Across its 52-week range of $12.60 to $18.43, NREF sits at the 40.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($14.13 to $15.81).
NREF — NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.97 (-0.93% 1D, market capitalization $282.2M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 7.94%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
And profile, NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) is a NYSE-listed company in the Financials sector and Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $0.3B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) reported $2.23B in annual revenue (up from $2.27B in FY2024, -1.8% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($2.27B revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, NREF scaled operating cash flow to $22.9M and free cash flow to $22.9M, backed by $5.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 7.94% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.60 – $18.43 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
No upstream or downstream links are identified (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). The source data therefore provides no supplier, customer, or sector-correlation ripples. Investors should note that this absence reflects missing graph data, not confirmed independence from other companies.
- Key Question #1: Can NREF sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.23B and free cash flow of $22.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is NREF's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
NREF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
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Yahoo Finance report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. (NREF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PennyMac Mortgage (PMT) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +12.90% and -62.11%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
NREF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.97?
A 7.94% FCF yield and cash rising from $3.9M to $31.1M give the stock a cash-generation signal despite weak earnings metrics.
Don't sleep on NREF's setup in Financials. A 7.94% FCF yield and cash rising from $3.9M to $31.1M give the stock a cash-generation signal despite weak earnings metrics.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (47/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 47/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $15.11 and keeping dry powder in case we test $14.05.
A 0% ROIC, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a D-grade RQD rating flag a distribution warning with weak institutional support.
I respect the product at NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc., but the stock at $15.11 is a different story. A 0% ROIC, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a D-grade RQD rating flag a distribution warning with weak institutional support.. FCF yield is 7.94% and RQD sits at 47/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?