Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.9% Move

$115.62 -0.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.74

Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $1.54B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NRP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Natural Resource Partners LP (NYSE: NRP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $115.62 (-0.75% 1D, market cap $1.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NRP ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NRP compare to AMR and BTU in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), NRP carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $2.05B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRP?
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Per NRP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001171486), Natural Resource Partners LP generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $165.9M in free cash flow against $748.4M in total assets and $18.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.74 (+0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$144 Bull$122 Base$95 Bear
📬 FREE NRP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NRP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NRP SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 61% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$111.11+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$113.70+2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$116.62-0.9% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$115.62+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NRP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, NRP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($111.59) or 200D SMA ($111.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($121.86) toward Bear Floor ($94.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NRP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NRP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.9% Swing Band

±$4.51 Expected Swing
$111.11 (-3.9%)Spot $115.62$120.13 (+3.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NRP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$0$165.9M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$232.4M$0$248.5M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$278.7M$0$311.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NRP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NRP
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NRP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.50%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $117.5H $117.5L $115.6C $115.6VOL 12.1K
RES: $118.2SUP: $107.4SMA50: $111.6SMA200: $111.2
$121.5$114.5$107.4$100.4$93.32RES $118.2SUP $107.4$115.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NRP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NRP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NRP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NRP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NRP)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NRP vs. AMR, BTU, CNR, HCC)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) ranks #39 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #128 by equity capitalization ($1.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NRP ACTIVE
Natural Resource Partners LP
B- 70/100 — — 18.4% -0.75% $1.54B Benchmark Subject
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.
D- 43/100 — — -4.1% -1.62% $2.05B /amr-vs-nrp →
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
E 24/100 — — -2.1% -0.22% $2.71B /btu-vs-nrp →
CNR
Core Natural Resources Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -4.0% -0.25% $4.33B /cnr-vs-nrp →
HCC
Warrior Met Coal Inc.
D+ 56/100 79.3x 22.4% 1.8% +0.41% $4.52B /hcc-vs-nrp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001171486

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $232.4M , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $165.9M, and free cash flow of $165.9M (-33.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NRP closed FY2025 with $748.4M in total assets against $18.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 $165.9M $165.9M $748.4M $18.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $232.4M $0 $248.5M $248.5M $772.9M $127.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $278.7M $0 $311.0M $311.0M — —

3. NRP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NRP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Natural Resource Partners LP (NYSE: NRP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $115.62 (-0.75% 1D, market cap $1.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NRP ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NRP compare to AMR and BTU in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), NRP carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $2.05B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRP?

Per NRP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001171486), Natural Resource Partners LP generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $165.9M in free cash flow against $748.4M in total assets and $18.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NRP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NRP last traded at $115.62 (-0.75% on volume of 27,217 shares), positioning the stock +3.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($111.59) and +4.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($111.16). Across its 52-week range of $95.51 to $128.60, NRP sits at the 60.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($111.11 to $120.13).

NRP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NRP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NRP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.9% event move for NRP, spanning a range between $111.11 and $120.13.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NRP — Natural Resource Partners LP: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NRP scores 70 out of 100 (letter grade B-, verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation"). The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 14 of 20, supported by ROIC of 18.4% and an FCF yield of 10.74%; this is the strongest cash-generation signal in the rating and points to returns on invested capital well above typical cost-of-capital thresholds, though it does not establish durability. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 12 of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, a moderate reading that indicates some institutional interest without a decisive consensus. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 15 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the second-highest pillar, suggesting insider activity that leans constructive. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 16 of 20 with a beta of 1.0, the highest pillar, indicating market-level sensitivity and sector-relative positioning that the rating treats as favorable for the current regime. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 on Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.03; the low leverage is a clear positive, while the middling Piotroski reading signals mixed operating-quality signals. For a prospective investor, the upside drivers cited in the rating are cash yield, insider and institutional flow, and a low-leverage balance sheet; the valuation tradeoff is that the stock's EV/EBITDA of 10.6 and the absence of P/E and EPS data limit a direct earnings-based valuation check. Because the sources do not provide margin, EPS, or analyst coverage detail, these pillar readings should be treated as a structured summary of the data rather than a complete investment case.

Business

Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Energy sector and Coal Mining industry, per the company profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reports no revenue figure for FY 2025 ($0.0M), with prior-period revenue of $232.4M for FY 2024 and $278.7M for FY 2023. Specific customers, products, and revenue-generation mechanics are not described in the source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$144.4M$0.0MN/A$165.9M$30.1M$18.9M
FY 2024$232.4M$199.2M$0.0MN/A$248.5M$30.4M$127.9M
FY 2023$278.7M$292.5M$0.0MN/A$311.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income declined from $292.5M (FY 2023) to $199.2M (FY 2024) to $144.4M (FY 2025), and FCF moved from $311.0M to $248.5M to $165.9M over the same periods. Net income is reported as $0.0M across all three periods and margin percentages are reported as 0%, so profitability cannot be assessed from the source data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 18.4% and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Per the RQD forensic pillar, Debt/Equity is 0.03, and the reported debt fell from $127.9M (FY 2024) to $18.9M (FY 2025).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains five items, all relating to NRP. Per the recent news feed, the headlines cover a one-year share-price gain of 16.9% (framed as a buy question), a third-quarter 2026 earnings conference call scheduling announcement, and several trading-commentary pieces from Stock Traders Daily and TradingView. Three items are tagged GREEN/CATALYST and two are tagged YELLOW/MARKET WIRE. The earnings-call scheduling item is the only one that identifies a specific dated event; the date and content of that call are not available in source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals for this ticker, so no graph-derived catalysts or risk flags are available. Several news items are generic aggregator summaries and do not contain company-specific operational detail.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. An investor should note that the absence of graph data is not evidence of the absence of such linkages; it means the sources do not document them. Investors may wish to independently examine the company's coal-related exposure and any commodity-price or customer concentration, none of which are addressed in the provided sources.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported net income and EPS figures, given the source data shows $0.0M net income and N/A EPS for all periods?
  • What explains the decline in operating income and FCF from FY 2023 through FY 2025, and is the trend continuing into 2026?
  • What is the composition of the reported debt and cash balances, and what is the nature of the debt reduction from FY 2024 to FY 2025?
  • What coal-related commodity, customer, and royalty-structure exposures drive the company's revenue, and which are concentrated?
  • What were the content and outcome of the scheduled third-quarter 2026 earnings call, and do the source data reflect any post-call results?

NRP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NRP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NRP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $115.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NRP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NRP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $137.47 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NRP (B- • RQD 70/100) a Buy at $116.50?

Welcome to the NRP (Natural Resource Partners LP) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Coal Mining. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $87.38 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $116.50

Pump the brakes on NRP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NRP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Natural Resource Partners LP expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $149.12 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $116.50

NRP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NRP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Coal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $116.50 (52-wk range $95.51 - $128.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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