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Why NTRP Stock dropped -14.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.08 -14.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.05

NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $19.2M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NTRP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, NextTrip Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.08 (-14.30% 1D, market cap $19.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NTRP ranks #948 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NTRP compare to YTRA and TOUR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), NTRP carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, YTRA (Yatra Online Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $50.5M) and TOUR (Tuniu Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 1.1%, cap $51.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOUR leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while TOUR leads on capital efficiency (1.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTRP?
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Per NTRP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000788611), NextTrip Inc. generated $3.7M in revenue (+641.0% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and -$4.6M in free cash flow against $14.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.05 (-2.76%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.8% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE NTRP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTRP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NTRP SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (40% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$1.83-33.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$1.22+8.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$1.32-18.2% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$1.08-10.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NTRP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NTRP currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.60) and Max Pain ($1.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.04.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTRP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NTRP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NTRP Stock dropped -14.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) dropped -14.30% to $1.08, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.9 – $4.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.9 – $4.8) with RSI-14 at 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.08 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 17.6% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NTRP Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NTRP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NTRP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NTRP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.09%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $1.27H $1.27L $1.08C $1.08VOL 47.9K
RES: $2.23SUP: $1.29SMA50: $1.60SMA200: $2.26
$3.65$2.90$2.16$1.41$0.67RES $2.23SUP $1.29$1.082026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTRP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NTRP Butterfly Map → + Track NTRP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +641.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTRP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTRP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTRP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTRP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #948 of 1009 ⚔️ YTRA vs NTRP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NTRP vs. YTRA, TOUR, PAL, SRFM)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) ranks #948 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #888 by equity capitalization ($19.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TOUR leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while TOUR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.1% ROIC and 58.0% gross margin. YTRA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with NTRP at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NTRP ACTIVE
NextTrip Inc.
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -14.30% $19.2M Benchmark Subject
YTRA
Yatra Online Inc.
D 47/100 — — — +3.42% $50.5M /ytra-vs-ntrp →
TOUR
Tuniu Corporation
D- 39/100 11.5x 58.0% 1.1% +1.91% $51.2M /tour-vs-ntrp →
PAL
Proficient Auto Logistics Inc.
E 34/100 — — -11.6% +13.19% $73.4M /pal-vs-ntrp →
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -6.09% $100.3M /srfm-vs-ntrp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0000788611 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) reported GAAP revenue of $3.7M (+641.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $501.4K , and +709.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.2M, operating cash flow of -$4.6M, and free cash flow of -$4.6M (+10.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTRP closed FY2025 with $14.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-02-28 $3.7M $16.2M -$4.6M -$4.6M $14.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-28 $501.4K $10.2M -$5.1M -$5.1M $5.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-29 $458.8K $7.3M -$5.7M -$5.7M — —

3. NTRP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTRP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NextTrip Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.08 (-14.30% 1D, market cap $19.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NTRP ranks #948 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTRP compare to YTRA and TOUR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), NTRP carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, YTRA (Yatra Online Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $50.5M) and TOUR (Tuniu Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 1.1%, cap $51.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOUR leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while TOUR leads on capital efficiency (1.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTRP?

Per NTRP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000788611), NextTrip Inc. generated $3.7M in revenue (+641.0% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and -$4.6M in free cash flow against $14.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTRP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTRP last traded at $1.08 (-14.30% on volume of 115,084 shares), positioning the stock -32.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.60) and -52.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.26). Across its 52-week range of $0.90 to $4.80, NTRP sits at the 4.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.22).

Direct Sub-Reports: NTRP RQD Cockpit NTRP 12M Forecast NTRP Earnings & Move NTRP Dividends & DRIP NTRP Insiders & 13F NTRP Whale Options NTRP Profit Sankey NTRP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NTRP — NextTrip Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-02-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.08 (-14.30% 1D, market capitalization $19.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -23.58%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Transportation Services industry. FY 2025 revenue was $3.7M. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain linkages. The source data is otherwise limited on how the company earns its revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-02-28), NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) reported $3.7M in annual revenue (up from $501.4K in FY2024, +641.0% YoY) and $16.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($458.8K revenue, $7.3M net income) through FY2025, NTRP scaled operating cash flow to -$4.6M and free cash flow to -$4.6M, backed by $14.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -23.58% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.90 – $4.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. Investors should note that the company's reported JOURNY TV advertising activity, referenced in the news wire, is not mapped to any supply-chain dependency in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can NTRP sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Transportation Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.7M and free cash flow of -$4.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NTRP's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NTRP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NextTrip Inc. (NTRP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NTRP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NTRP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.08?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NTRP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NTRP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.63 (+29.4%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the news wire, JOURNY TV delivered over 307 million viewing minutes with advertising monetization gains.

The street is overcomplicating NextTrip Inc. (NTRP). Per the news wire, JOURNY TV delivered over 307 million viewing minutes with advertising monetization gains.. With an RQD score of 25/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.36.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.26 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.05 (-16.7%)
Spot @ $1.26

Per the SEC financials, operating losses widened to -$16.4M in FY 2025 while free cash flow stayed negative.

Per the SEC financials, operating losses widened to -$16.4M in FY 2025 while free cash flow stayed negative.. Look at the math on NTRP: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Transportation Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.11 before getting long.

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