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Stock Ratings / Industrials / NWL / news
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Why NWL Stock surged +15.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$5.96 +15.06% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.11

Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.21B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Newell Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: NWL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $5.96 (+15.06% 1D, market cap $2.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NWL ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NWL compare to MYE and KRT in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), NWL carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.8%, and ROIC of 0.5%. By comparison, MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.11B) and KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWI leads on earnings multiple (22.5x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NWL?
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Per NWL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000814453), Newell Brands Inc. generated $7.20B in revenue (-5.0% YoY), -$285.0M in net income, and $264.0M in free cash flow against $10.71B in total assets and $4.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.11 (+2.52%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 3.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510040
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$7 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE NWL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NWL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NWL SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0.5% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$5.59+1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$5.68-5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$5.39+10.6% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$5.96-7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NWL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NWL currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.64) and Max Pain ($6.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NWL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NWL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NWL Stock surged +15.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) surged +15.06% to $5.96, trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($3.07 – $7.13). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($3.07 – $7.13) with RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.4% around $5.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 33.8% gross margin and $264.0M annual free cash flow.
Live NWL Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREThe Globe and Mail • 1d ago
UBS Remains a Hold on Newell Brands (NWL)

The Globe and Mail report covering Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NWL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NWL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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NWL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.28%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $5.08H $5.96L $5.08C $5.96VOL 13.41M
RES: $5.70SUP: $4.88SMA50: $5.64SMA200: $4.85
$7.41$6.27$5.13$3.99$2.85RES $5.70SUP $4.88$5.962026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NWL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NWL Butterfly Map → + Track NWL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NWL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NWL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NWL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NWL)

Industrials Rank #338 of 486 ⚔️ MYE vs NWL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NWL vs. MYE, KRT, SWIM, AWI)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) ranks #338 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #202 by equity capitalization ($2.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AWI leads on earnings valuation at 22.5x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with NWL at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NWL ACTIVE
Newell Brands Inc.
D- 40/100 — 33.8% 0.5% +15.06% $2.21B Benchmark Subject
MYE
Myers Industries Inc.
C- 61/100 32.7x 33.4% 10.4% -2.20% $1.11B /mye-vs-nwl →
KRT
Karat Packaging Inc.
B+ 78/100 34.4x 36.8% 29.3% -1.72% $1.08B /krt-vs-nwl →
SWIM
Latham Group Inc.
D+ 57/100 76.8x 33.4% 3.5% +2.05% $860.0M /swim-vs-nwl →
AWI
Armstrong World Industries Inc
B- 71/100 22.5x 40.6% 28.7% +2.86% $6.96B /awi-vs-nwl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000814453 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) reported GAAP revenue of $7.20B (-5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.58B , and -11.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$285.0M, operating cash flow of $264.0M, and free cash flow of $264.0M (-46.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NWL closed FY2025 with $10.71B in total assets against $4.54B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.44, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.20B -$285.0M $264.0M $264.0M $10.71B $4.54B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.58B -$216.0M $496.0M $496.0M $11.00B $4.51B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.13B -$388.0M $930.0M $930.0M — —

3. NWL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Newell Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: NWL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $5.96 (+15.06% 1D, market cap $2.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NWL ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NWL compare to MYE and KRT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), NWL carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.8%, and ROIC of 0.5%. By comparison, MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.11B) and KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWI leads on earnings multiple (22.5x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NWL?

Per NWL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000814453), Newell Brands Inc. generated $7.20B in revenue (-5.0% YoY), -$285.0M in net income, and $264.0M in free cash flow against $10.71B in total assets and $4.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NWL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NWL last traded at $5.96 (+15.06% on volume of 16,044,356 shares), positioning the stock +5.67% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.64) and +22.89% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.85). Across its 52-week range of $3.07 to $7.13, NWL sits at the 71.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($5.40 to $6.52).

Direct Sub-Reports: NWL RQD Cockpit NWL 12M Forecast NWL Earnings & Move NWL Dividends & DRIP NWL Insiders & 13F NWL Whale Options NWL Profit Sankey NWL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 40/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NWL — Newell Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 40/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.96 (+15.06% 1D, market capitalization $2.21B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.5%, gross margin of 33.8%, operating margin of 0.5%, and free cash flow yield of 12.20%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.44, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.90x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Newell Brands Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Industrials sector and the Plastic Products industry, . Revenue for FY 2025 is reported at $7.20B which indicates the scale of operations.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) reported $7.20B in annual revenue (up from $7.58B in FY2024, -5.0% YoY) and -$285.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.13B revenue, -$388.0M net income) through FY2025, NWL scaled operating cash flow to $264.0M and free cash flow to $264.0M, backed by $10.71B in total assets against $4.54B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 40/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 12.20% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.07 – $7.13 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against 0.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or supply-chain links are mapped (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). Investors should therefore treat second-order ripple analysis as unavailable from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can NWL sustain or expand its 0.5% operating margin and 0.5% ROIC against Plastic Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.20B and free cash flow of $264.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.54B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NWL's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NWL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NWL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NWL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.96?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NWL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NWL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.01 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow yield of 12.2% and a 5.55% dividend yield offer substantial cash-return potential if the business stabilizes.

Picked up a starter position in NWL in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $5.18. Free cash flow yield of 12.2% and a 5.55% dividend yield offer substantial cash-return potential if the business stabilizes.. Trading inside a $3.07–$7.13 52-week range with 12.2% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Plastic Products multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 40/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $5.18 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.82.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.35 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $5.18

Altman Z-Score of 0.44, Debt/Equity of 1.9, and a 0.5% ROIC signal a fragile balance sheet with weak returns on capital.

Careful chasing NWL at $5.18. Altman Z-Score of 0.44, Debt/Equity of 1.9, and a 0.5% ROIC signal a fragile balance sheet with weak returns on capital.. Gross margin is 33.8%, but operating margin is 0.5%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $4.35 on multiple compression.

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