Nexgen Energy Ltd. (NXE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.27 -4.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.19

Nexgen Energy Ltd. (NXE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.80B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NXE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Nexgen Energy Ltd. (NYSE: NXE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $8.27 (-4.39% 1D, market cap $5.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NXE ranks #83 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NXE compare to UEC and ALM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Other Metals and Minerals), NXE carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $4.04B) and ALM (Almonty Industries Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXE leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while NXE leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXE?
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For Nexgen Energy Ltd. (NXE), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #83 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.19 (-0.98%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 3.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (16)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$15 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE NXE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NXE SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$8.47+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$8.48+3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$8.80-6% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$8.27-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NXE currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.33) and Max Pain ($8.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NXE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
48.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.74>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE14% OF RANGE
L: $7$8.27H: $14
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on NXE

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

9.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.74 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NXE
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NXE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NXE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.63%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $8.94H $8.94L $8.27C $8.27VOL 5.60M
RES: $10.48SUP: $7.77SMA50: $9.33SMA200: $10.73
$13.34$11.85$10.36$8.88$7.39RES $10.48SUP $7.77$8.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXE)

Materials Rank #83 of 270 ⚔️ UEC vs NXE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NXE vs. UEC, ALM, DNN, CCJ)

Industry: Other Metals and Minerals (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nexgen Energy Ltd. (NXE) ranks #83 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #66 by equity capitalization ($5.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NXE leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while NXE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. NXE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NXE ACTIVE
Nexgen Energy Ltd.
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -4.39% $5.80B Benchmark Subject
UEC
Uranium Energy Corp.
D- 40/100 — 36.6% -5.9% -5.40% $4.04B /uec-vs-nxe →
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -6.45% $2.68B /alm-vs-nxe →
DNN
Denison Mines Corp (Canada)
D 47/100 — — — -6.75% $2.15B /dnn-vs-nxe →
CCJ
Cameco Corporation
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -7.88% $36.36B /ccj-vs-nxe →

2. NXE Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Nexgen Energy Ltd. (NXE) operates in Other Metals and Minerals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $5.80B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. NXE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Nexgen Energy Ltd. (NYSE: NXE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $8.27 (-4.39% 1D, market cap $5.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NXE ranks #83 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NXE compare to UEC and ALM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Other Metals and Minerals), NXE carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $4.04B) and ALM (Almonty Industries Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXE leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while NXE leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXE?

For Nexgen Energy Ltd. (NXE), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #83 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NXE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXE last traded at $8.27 (-4.39% on volume of 8,089,803 shares), positioning the stock -11.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.33) and -22.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.73). Across its 52-week range of $7.33 to $13.96, NXE sits at the 14.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($7.58 to $8.96).

NXE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NXE stock right now?

Nexgen Energy Ltd. (NXE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NXE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NXE's 12-month base price target is $8.08 (range $6.3 to $14.66), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NXE — Nexgen Energy Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:11:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NXE scores 53 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation case is modest rather than weak; the return on invested capital is positive but does not by itself signal a standout cash engine.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. This pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. Its low score indicates the rating does not find strong institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The middling score suggests insider signals are neither a clear tailwind nor a clear warning.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.07 and sector sensitivity is weighted here. The low score means the rating views the stock as poorly positioned relative to the current macro backdrop it measures.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. This is the strongest pillar. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 3.74, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.39. For a prospective investor, the balance sheet is the most defensible element of the thesis, offering a floor against financial distress even as other pillars lag.

Taken together, the balance sheet strength is offset by weak institutional flow, macro misfit, and a valuation that the market data presents at a premium (P/E TTM of 32.8). A prospective investor should weigh the upside drivers (balance sheet resilience, catalysts in the news wire) against the valuation tradeoff and the rating's recommendation to trim.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
8.65$5.8B32.827.6210.260%1.07$7.33 - $13.969.9%

Business

Nexgen Energy Ltd. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, Other Metals and Minerals industry. Per the profile section, its market capitalization is $5.8B. Not available in source data regarding specific products, customers, or revenue model.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines were published across roughly a 15-hour window, all related to NXE and tagged with YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact:

  • Per StockInvest.us, a forecast piece asks whether to buy NXE.TO.
  • Per Benzinga, an article discusses energy stocks that may move in October.
  • Per Seeking Alpha, a piece addresses the Rook I build and financing structure.
  • Per Simply Wall St, a stock forecast and analyst predictions piece was published.
  • Per kalkine.ca, the stock rose 6.11% as uranium hit a 19-year high and the Rook I build stayed on track.
  • Per Benzinga, a Q2 2026 earnings call transcript is referenced.

Risk watch items: the Seeking Alpha headline frames financing as a central concern for the Rook I build, and the market data shows the price down 3.24% on the session. Proprietary signals: Not available in source data (the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no proprietary signals).

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links. Not available in source data regarding upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations beyond the sector and industry classification. The one ripple the news wire points to is the uranium price move referenced in the kalkine.ca headline, which suggests commodity-price sensitivity, but the source data does not quantify this linkage.

Open Questions

  • What is the revenue and operating income history behind the 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC? Financial statements are not provided.
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price target range? Analyst data is not provided.
  • What insider, 13F institutional, or Congressional trades underpin the 6/20 whale flow and 12/20 insider pillar scores? Holder data is not provided.
  • How does the Rook I financing structure affect dilution and per-share value, as raised in the news wire?
  • What is the gross margin of 0% reporting, and does it reflect the company's revenue model or a data gap?

NXE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nexgen Energy Ltd. (NXE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NXE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NXE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.27?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NXE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NXE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $9.34 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NXE (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $8.65?

Welcome to the NXE (Nexgen Energy Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Other Metals and Minerals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.75 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $8.65

Pump the brakes on NXE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NXE, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Nexgen Energy Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.38 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $8.65

NXE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NXE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Metals and Minerals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.65 (52-wk range $7.33 - $13.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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