Why NXPI Stock dropped -2.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$259.61 -2.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $259.11

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (55% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $67.05B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NXPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ: NXPI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $259.61 (-2.40% 1D, market cap $67.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NXPI ranks #61 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NXPI compare to MPWR and ALAB in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), NXPI carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.2x, gross margin of 54.7%, and ROIC of 13.6%. By comparison, MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 94.8x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $58.91B) and ALAB (Astera Labs Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.4%, cap $50.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXPI?
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Per NXPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001413447), NXP Semiconductors N.V. generated $12.27B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), $2.02B in net income, and $2.42B in free cash flow against $26.56B in total assets and $10.97B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $259.12 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 19.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (16)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$357 Bull$276 Base$213 Bear
📬 FREE NXPI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXPI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NXPI SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 19.7% FCF Margin ($2.42B FCF) & 54.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (66.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$226.32+5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$237.60+6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$253.50+2.4% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$259.61+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NXPI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, NXPI faces multiple-compression risk if 33.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($234.66) or 200D SMA ($246.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($275.97) toward Bear Floor ($212.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXPI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NXPI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NXPI Stock dropped -2.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) dropped -2.40% to $259.61, trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($183 – $339.95). High-quality cash engine (55% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($183 – $339.95) with RSI-14 at 66.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.6% around $259.61 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 54.7% gross margin and $2.4B annual free cash flow.
Live NXPI Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
MarketBeat Week in Review – 10/26 - 10/30

Stocks wavered after the Fed held rates steady and Alphabet's earnings missed on Search revenue, fueling AI bubble concerns despite strong results from Microsoft and resilient earnings elsewhere.

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NXPI Tape Review)

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NXPI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.71%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $251.7H $266.0L $251.7C $259.6VOL 5.99M
RES: $265.8SUP: $219.3SMA50: $234.7SMA200: $246.9
$348.6$312.6$276.6$240.6$204.6RES $265.8SUP $219.3$259.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXPI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXPI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXPI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXPI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXPI)

Technology Rank #61 of 714 ⚔️ MPWR vs NXPI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NXPI vs. MPWR, ALAB, UMC, ASX)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) ranks #61 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #55 by equity capitalization ($67.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UMC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while UMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ASX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with NXPI at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NXPI ACTIVE
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
B 72/100 33.2x 54.7% 13.6% -2.40% $67.05B Benchmark Subject
MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems Inc.
C- 61/100 94.8x 55.2% 12.2% +1.07% $58.91B /mpwr-vs-nxpi →
ALAB
Astera Labs Inc.
C+ 68/100 — 75.7% 3.4% -10.92% $50.39B /alab-vs-nxpi →
UMC
United Microelectronics Corporation
C 65/100 21.7x — 14.9% -7.54% $45.42B /umc-vs-nxpi →
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co. Ltd. American
B 75/100 21.7x — 14.9% -11.34% $99.21B /asx-vs-nxpi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001413447

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) reported GAAP revenue of $12.27B (-2.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.61B , and -7.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.02B, operating cash flow of $2.82B, and free cash flow of $2.42B (+17.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXPI closed FY2025 with $26.56B in total assets against $10.97B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.45, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.27B $2.02B $2.82B $2.42B $26.56B $10.97B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.61B $2.51B $2.78B $2.06B $24.39B $10.35B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $13.28B $2.80B $3.51B $2.92B $36.88B $8.63B

3. NXPI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ: NXPI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $259.61 (-2.40% 1D, market cap $67.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NXPI ranks #61 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NXPI compare to MPWR and ALAB in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), NXPI carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.2x, gross margin of 54.7%, and ROIC of 13.6%. By comparison, MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 94.8x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $58.91B) and ALAB (Astera Labs Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.4%, cap $50.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXPI?

Per NXPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001413447), NXP Semiconductors N.V. generated $12.27B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), $2.02B in net income, and $2.42B in free cash flow against $26.56B in total assets and $10.97B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NXPI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXPI last traded at $259.61 (-2.40% on volume of 9,009,044 shares), positioning the stock +10.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($234.66) and +5.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($246.90). Across its 52-week range of $183.00 to $339.95, NXPI sits at the 48.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($234.69 to $284.53).

NXPI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is NXPI stock moving today?

Why NXPI Stock dropped -2.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (55% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NXPI — NXP Semiconductors N.V.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NXPI scores 72 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 16 of 20, supported by ROIC of 13.6% and an FCF yield of 3.61%, which points to a business generating solid returns on capital, though the FCF yield is modest relative to the stock's valuation multiples. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 16 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning as described in the rating. The insider conviction pillar scores 15 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 11 of 20, the weakest of the five, reflecting a beta of 1.15 and sector sensitivity, meaning the stock is expected to move more than the broad market in either direction. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 14 of 20, with an Altman Z-Score of 3.45, a Piotroski F-Score of 7 of 9, and Debt/Equity of 1.09.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the combination of high margins, positive insider and institutional flow, and a balance sheet that the forensic metrics place in a reasonable range. The valuation tradeoff is material: trailing P/E of 33.2 and EV/EBITDA of 22.1 leave limited margin for disappointment, and the macro regime pillar signals that broader market weakness or sector rotation could weigh on the shares disproportionately. The rating is a structured summary of these factors and is not a recommendation to act.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
266$67.05B33.230.922.18.021.53%1.15$183 - $339.9513.6%

Business

NXP Semiconductors N.V. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Semiconductors industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its specific product lines, customer base, or revenue model. Its profitability profile is reflected in a gross margin of 54.7%, an operating margin of 24.8%, and a net margin of 16.5%, per the market data section. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$12269.0M$3047.0M$2021.0MN/A$2423.0M$3267.0M$10972.0M
FY 2024$12614.0M$3417.0M$2510.0MN/A$2055.0M$3292.0M$10354.0M
FY 2023$13276.0M$3661.0M$2797.0MN/A$2915.6MN/A$8628.8M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $13276.0M in FY 2023 to $12269.0M in FY 2025, and net income fell from $2797.0M to $2021.0M over the same span. Debt rose from $8628.8M to $10972.0M across the three reported periods. The Altman Z-Score of 3.45 and Piotroski F-Score of 7 of 9 are reported in the Roarable RQD rating forensic pillar, and the Debt/Equity ratio of 1.09 appears in the same source. Free cash flow was $2423.0M in FY 2025 versus $2055.0M in FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged as market wire with a YELLOW light, and all referencing NXPI. Headlines include a Seeking Alpha report stating that the stock "tumbles as investors sell chip giant after mixed guidance," a GuruFocus report describing the stock as up 4.7% and still undervalued with a GF Score of 93/100, and a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Slightly Undervalued, But Not Cheap Enough To Buy." Other items are generic Yahoo Finance quote pages. Key watch items from the wire are the reported mixed guidance and the divergence between the GuruFocus valuation view and the Seeking Alpha caution. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific products, end markets, and customer concentration driving NXP's revenue, given that the source data contains no business description beyond sector and industry?
  • What drove the decline in revenue and net income from FY 2023 through FY 2025, and is the rise in debt from $8628.8M to $10972.0M tied to a specific capital allocation decision?
  • What were the terms of the "mixed guidance" referenced in the news wire, and how do they compare with consensus expectations?
  • What is the composition of the institutional accumulation and insider cluster flow cited in the RQD pillars, since the holders and analyst data sections are empty?
  • How does the reported EPS of N/A for each fiscal year reconcile with the EPS (TTM) of 8.02 in the market data?

NXPI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NXPI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NXPI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $259.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NXPI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NXPI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $313.88 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NXPI (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $266.00?

Welcome to the NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (33.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $212.80 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $266.00

Pump the brakes on NXPI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NXPI, but look at what you are paying: 33.2x trailing P/E with 54.7% gross margins. Unless NXP Semiconductors N.V. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $327.18 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $266.00

NXPI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NXPI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $266.00 (52-wk range $183.00 - $339.95), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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