Yahoo Finance report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NXST Stock surged +3.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NXST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NASDAQ: NXST) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $177.54 (+3.56% 1D, market cap $5.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NXST ranks #72 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does NXST compare to VSNT and SIRI in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), NXST carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 63.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.4%. By comparison, VSNT (Versant Media Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.6x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B) and SIRI (SiriusXM Holdings Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $9.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VSNT leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while TME leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXST?
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Per NXST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001142417), Nexstar Media Group Inc. generated $4.95B in revenue (-8.5% YoY), $83.0M in net income, and $743.0M in free cash flow against $10.85B in total assets and $6.22B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15% FCF Margin ($743.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58.6) create a -14 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXST Turnaround Squeeze
While NXST currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($166.96) and Max Pain ($186.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $267.02.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why NXST Stock surged +3.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) surged +3.56% to $177.54, trading at 24% of its 52-week range ($153.17 – $254.3). Stretched risk/reward at 63x P/E (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 24% of its 52-week range ($153.17 – $254.3) with RSI-14 at 58.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6% around $177.54 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $743.0M annual free cash flow.
MarketBeat report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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IRVING, Texas, October 29, 2026--Nexstar Media Group and Mission Broadcasting television stations in Texas to air University Interscholastic League (UIL) State Football Championships.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXST)
- ✓Walkthrough of NXST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NXST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXST today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXST)
1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NXST vs. VSNT, SIRI, TME, FWONA)
Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) ranks #72 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #37 by equity capitalization ($5.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VSNT leads on earnings valuation at 4.6x trailing P/E, while TME leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SIRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with NXST at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXST
ACTIVE
Nexstar Media Group Inc. | D | 45/100 | 63.1x | — | 8.4% | +3.56% | $5.28B | Benchmark Subject |
| VSNT Versant Media Group Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | 4.6x | — | 9.0% | +2.93% | $4.36B | /vsnt-vs-nxst → |
| SIRI SiriusXM Holdings Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 12.0x | 52.4% | 6.4% | +1.93% | $9.76B | /siri-vs-nxst → |
| TME Tencent Music Entertainment Group American | D+ | 55/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +5.95% | $13.24B | /tme-vs-nxst → |
| FWONA Formula One Group (Series A) | C | 63/100 | 41.8x | — | 3.9% | +1.90% | $21.34B | /fwona-vs-nxst → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001142417 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) reported GAAP revenue of $4.95B (-8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.41B , and +0.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $83.0M, operating cash flow of $891.0M, and free cash flow of $743.0M (-32.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXST closed FY2025 with $10.85B in total assets against $6.22B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.61, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.95B | $83.0M | $891.0M | $743.0M | $10.85B | $6.22B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $5.41B | $683.0M | $1.25B | $1.10B | $11.47B | $6.40B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.93B | $270.0M | $999.0M | $777.0M | $5.92B | $1.39B |
3. NXST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NXST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NASDAQ: NXST) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $177.54 (+3.56% 1D, market cap $5.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NXST ranks #72 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NXST compare to VSNT and SIRI in the Communication Services sector?
Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), NXST carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 63.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.4%. By comparison, VSNT (Versant Media Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.6x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B) and SIRI (SiriusXM Holdings Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $9.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VSNT leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while TME leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXST?
Per NXST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001142417), Nexstar Media Group Inc. generated $4.95B in revenue (-8.5% YoY), $83.0M in net income, and $743.0M in free cash flow against $10.85B in total assets and $6.22B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NXST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NXST last traded at $177.54 (+3.56% on volume of 433,161 shares), positioning the stock +6.34% above its 50-day simple moving average ($166.96) and -7.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($191.72). Across its 52-week range of $153.17 to $254.30, NXST sits at the 24.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($166.89 to $188.19).
NXST — Nexstar Media Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $177.54 (+3.56% 1D, market capitalization $5.28B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 17.2%, and free cash flow yield of 14.18%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.61, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 3.01x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Communication Services sector, Broadcasting industry. The profile describes the company as operating in Broadcasting with a market capitalization of $5.2B. — for detailed product and customer description.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) reported $4.95B in annual revenue (up from $5.41B in FY2024, -8.5% YoY) and $83.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.93B revenue, $270.0M net income) through FY2025, NXST scaled operating cash flow to $891.0M and free cash flow to $743.0M, backed by $10.85B in total assets against $6.22B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 14.18% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $153.17 – $254.30 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 63.1x trailing P/E and 11.5x EV/EBITDA against 17.2% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
— supply_chain is NONE and butterfly_links is empty. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks are mapped in the source. Investors should watch how the TEGNA hold-separate and the merger setback (referenced in the news wire) could affect the company's footprint, though the source does not quantify any such effect.
- Key Question #1: Can NXST sustain or expand its 17.2% operating margin and 8.4% ROIC against Broadcasting peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.95B and free cash flow of $743.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.22B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is NXST's 58.7x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?
NXST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
NXST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $177.54?
Fundamental cash engine scores 13/20 with a 14.18% FCF yield, the strongest pillar in the rating.
Picked up a starter position in NXST in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $171.44. Fundamental cash engine scores 13/20 with a 14.18% FCF yield, the strongest pillar in the rating.. Trading inside a $153.17–$254.30 52-week range with 14.18% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Broadcasting multiples expand this quarter.
@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 45/100 quality, though with 0.99 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $171.44 and keeping dry powder in case we test $159.44.
Forensic balance sheet scores 6/20 with Altman Z 1.61 and Debt/Equity 3.01, alongside a 63.1 trailing P/E.
Forensic balance sheet scores 6/20 with Altman Z 1.61 and Debt/Equity 3.01, alongside a 63.1 trailing P/E.. Look at the math on NXST: paying 63.1x trailing P/E for 8.4% ROIC and 17.2% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Broadcasting demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $150.87 before getting long.