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Owens Corning Inc (OC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$125.58 +3.66% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $126.17

Owens Corning Inc (OC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.58B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Owens Corning Inc (NYSE: OC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $125.58 (+3.66% 1D, market cap $9.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, OC ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OC compare to CGNX and ONTO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), OC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.1%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, CGNX (Cognex Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 86.7x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $9.45B) and ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $9.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DRS leads on earnings multiple (38.1x) while DRS leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OC?
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Per OC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001370946), Owens Corning Inc generated $10.10B in revenue (+2.6% YoY), -$522.0M in net income, and $1.33B in free cash flow against $12.98B in total assets and $4.69B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $126.17 (+0.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 13.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$168 Bull$122 Base$95 Bear
📬 FREE OC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OC SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($1.33B FCF) & 28.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.1) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$111.26+0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$112.23+3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$115.95+8.3% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$125.58-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($122.72) and Max Pain ($131.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $167.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your OC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $125.58: 79.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $95.31
$7,590
$-2,410 (-24.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $122.19
$9,730
$-270 (-2.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $167.91
$13,371
+$3,371 (+33.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$12774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$15869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$10958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.43%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $121.6H $125.6L $121.2C $125.6VOL 867.9K
RES: $159.8SUP: $101.9SMA50: $122.7SMA200: $126.1
$163.7$148.1$132.6$117.1$101.6RES $159.8SUP $101.9$125.62026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OC Butterfly Map → + Track OC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
12.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OC)

Industrials Rank #204 of 486 ⚔️ CGNX vs OC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (OC vs. CGNX, ONTO, DRS, RRX)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Owens Corning Inc (OC) ranks #204 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #104 by equity capitalization ($9.58B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DRS leads on earnings valuation at 38.1x trailing P/E, while DRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 23.8% gross margin. CGNX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with OC at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OC ACTIVE
Owens Corning Inc
D+ 52/100 — 28.1% 3.5% +3.66% $9.58B Benchmark Subject
CGNX
Cognex Corporation
C- 59/100 86.7x 66.9% 8.9% +0.46% $9.45B /cgnx-vs-oc →
ONTO
Onto Innovation Inc.
D+ 58/100 — 49.7% 5.6% -5.04% $9.89B /onto-vs-oc →
DRS
Leonardo DRS Inc.
D+ 58/100 38.1x 23.8% 9.2% -2.02% $10.05B /drs-vs-oc →
RRX
Regal Rexnord Corporation
D+ 55/100 39.0x 37.4% 4.9% +2.35% $10.47B /rrx-vs-oc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001370946 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Owens Corning Inc (OC) reported GAAP revenue of $10.10B (+2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.85B , and +20.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$522.0M, operating cash flow of $1.79B, and free cash flow of $1.33B (-8.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, OC closed FY2025 with $12.98B in total assets against $4.69B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $10.10B -$522.0M $1.79B $1.33B $12.98B $4.69B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.85B $647.0M $1.89B $1.45B $14.07B $5.07B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.37B $1.20B $1.72B $1.34B $10.05B $2.35B

3. OC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Owens Corning Inc (NYSE: OC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $125.58 (+3.66% 1D, market cap $9.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, OC ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OC compare to CGNX and ONTO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), OC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.1%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, CGNX (Cognex Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 86.7x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $9.45B) and ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $9.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DRS leads on earnings multiple (38.1x) while DRS leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OC?

Per OC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001370946), Owens Corning Inc generated $10.10B in revenue (+2.6% YoY), -$522.0M in net income, and $1.33B in free cash flow against $12.98B in total assets and $4.69B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OC last traded at $125.58 (+3.66% on volume of 1,311,534 shares), positioning the stock +2.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($122.72) and -0.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($126.05). Across its 52-week range of $97.53 to $159.91, OC sits at the 45.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($116.04 to $135.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: OC RQD Cockpit OC 12M Forecast OC Earnings & Move OC Dividends & DRIP OC Insiders & 13F OC Whale Options OC Profit Sankey OC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OC — Owens Corning Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Owens Corning Inc (OC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $125.58 (+3.66% 1D, market capitalization $9.58B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.5%, gross margin of 28.1%, operating margin of 3.6%, and free cash flow yield of 13.85%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.04x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.05, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.22x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Owens Corning Inc Common Stock New (OC) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The source profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $9.6B. Gross margin is 28.1% and operating margin is 3.6% per the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Owens Corning Inc (OC) reported $10.10B in annual revenue (up from $9.85B in FY2024, +2.6% YoY) and -$522.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.37B revenue, $1.20B net income) through FY2025, OC scaled operating cash flow to $1.79B and free cash flow to $1.33B, backed by $12.98B in total assets against $4.69B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 13.85% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $97.53 – $159.91 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 18.7x EV/EBITDA against 3.6% operating margins and a 1.04x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), OC carries a macro regime beta of 1.04 and gross margin of 28.1%.

  • Key Question #1: Can OC sustain or expand its 3.6% operating margin and 3.5% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.10B and free cash flow of $1.33B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.69B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OC's 19.0x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.04x)?

OC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Owens Corning Inc (OC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $125.58?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $156.28 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

FCF yield of 13.85% and an insider conviction pillar score of 15/20 point to strong cash generation and insider signal support.

The street is overcomplicating Owens Corning Inc (OC). FCF yield of 13.85% and an insider conviction pillar score of 15/20 point to strong cash generation and insider signal support.. With an RQD score of 52/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $130.84.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 11/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $121.15 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $92.07 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $121.15

A macro regime fit score of 4/20, a trailing EPS of -6.6, and a DA Davidson price-target cut tied to roofing demand weigh on the outloo

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short OC above $121.15. A macro regime fit score of 4/20, a trailing EPS of -6.6, and a DA Davidson price-target cut tied to roofing demand weigh on the outlook.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (13.85%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $159.91.

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