Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$9.07 -11.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.87

Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $417.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OFIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Orthofix Medical Inc. (NASDAQ: OFIX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $9.07 (-11.43% 1D, market cap $417.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OFIX ranks #346 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OFIX compare to SI and CARL in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), OFIX carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 68.8%, and ROIC of -12.2%. By comparison, SI (Shoulder Innovations Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $425.5M) and CARL (Carlsmed Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $430.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFIX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OFIX leads on capital efficiency (-12.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OFIX?
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Per OFIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000884624), Orthofix Medical Inc. generated $822.3M in revenue (+2.9% YoY), -$92.2M in net income, and $33.3M in free cash flow against $850.6M in total assets and $157.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.87 (-2.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$18 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE OFIX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OFIX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OFIX SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.02 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$9.28+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$9.59+2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$9.78-7.3% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$9.07-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OFIX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OFIX currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.39) and Max Pain ($9.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OFIX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OFIX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your OFIX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $9.07: 1102.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.72
$7,409
$-2,591 (-25.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.62
$9,504
$-496 (-5.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $17.84
$19,669
+$9,669 (+96.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OFIX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OFIX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OFIX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.48%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $10.04H $10.24L $9.07C $9.07VOL 399.3K
RES: $10.56SUP: $8.32SMA50: $9.39SMA200: $11.08
$14.29$12.72$11.15$9.58$8.01RES $10.56SUP $8.32$9.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OFIX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OFIX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OFIX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OFIX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OFIX)

Health Care Rank #346 of 1016 ⚔️ SI vs OFIX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (OFIX vs. SI, CARL, NPCE, MOBI)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX) ranks #346 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #475 by equity capitalization ($417.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OFIX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OFIX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.2% ROIC and 68.8% gross margin. MOBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with OFIX at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OFIX ACTIVE
Orthofix Medical Inc.
D 47/100 — 68.8% -12.2% -11.43% $417.1M Benchmark Subject
SI
Shoulder Innovations Inc.
D 48/100 — 76.5% -16.1% -6.41% $425.5M /si-vs-ofix →
CARL
Carlsmed Inc.
D- 41/100 — 75.3% -35.0% -5.20% $430.6M /carl-vs-ofix →
NPCE
Neuropace Inc.
E 23/100 — 77.2% -23.0% -5.46% $446.6M /npce-vs-ofix →
MOBI
Mobia Medical Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — — -6.12% $375.2M /mobi-vs-ofix →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000884624

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX) reported GAAP revenue of $822.3M (+2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $799.5M , and +10.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$92.2M, operating cash flow of $33.3M, and free cash flow of $33.3M (+29.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OFIX closed FY2025 with $850.6M in total assets against $157.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.02, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $822.3M -$92.2M $33.3M $33.3M $850.6M $157.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $799.5M -$126.0M $25.8M $25.8M $893.3M $157.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $746.6M -$151.4M -$45.8M -$45.8M — —

3. OFIX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OFIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Orthofix Medical Inc. (NASDAQ: OFIX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $9.07 (-11.43% 1D, market cap $417.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OFIX ranks #346 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OFIX compare to SI and CARL in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), OFIX carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 68.8%, and ROIC of -12.2%. By comparison, SI (Shoulder Innovations Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $425.5M) and CARL (Carlsmed Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $430.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFIX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OFIX leads on capital efficiency (-12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OFIX?

Per OFIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000884624), Orthofix Medical Inc. generated $822.3M in revenue (+2.9% YoY), -$92.2M in net income, and $33.3M in free cash flow against $850.6M in total assets and $157.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OFIX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OFIX last traded at $9.07 (-11.43% on volume of 657,871 shares), positioning the stock -3.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.39) and -18.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.08). Across its 52-week range of $8.50 to $16.99, OFIX sits at the 6.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($8.30 to $9.84).

OFIX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is OFIX's 12-month stock price target?

Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.62 (-5% from $9.07), with a bull-case target of $17.84 and a bear-case floor of $6.72.

Is OFIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates OFIX D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 47/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OFIX — Orthofix Medical Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The RQD Score is 47 out of 100, graded D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -12.2% and an FCF yield of 7.99%. Negative ROIC means the business is not currently earning returns above its cost of capital, while the positive FCF yield indicates some cash generation relative to market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow (9 / 20): Scored on institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F detail is not provided in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (11 / 20): Scored on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying trade detail is not provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 1.02, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.35.

For a prospective investor, the aggregate picture is weak. The highest-scoring pillar (insider conviction, 11/20) is still below half marks, and the two weakest pillars (cash engine and macro fit, 8 and 9 out of 20) point to the core difficulty: the business is currently loss-making at the operating line, so the stock's upside case depends on a turnaround that the rating does not yet credit. The balance-sheet pillar is moderate: the Piotroski reading is comparatively healthy, but the Altman Z reading of 1.02 sits in a range typically associated with financial distress, which constrains the valuation case. The verdict label itself flags distribution risk, so a prospective investor should weigh the downside signals heavily relative to the price-momentum evidence in the news feed.

Business

Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating within the Medical/Dental Instruments industry (per the company profile). Per the market data, gross margin is 68.8%, which indicates the product mix carries high gross profitability. The source data does not describe the specific products, customers, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$822.3M$-81.4M$-92.2MN/A$33.3M$82.0M$157.4M
FY 2024$799.5M$-84.6M$-126.0MN/A$25.8M$83.2M$157.0M
FY 2023$746.6M$-139.1M$-151.4MN/A$-45.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $746.6M (FY 2023) to $822.3M (FY 2025), while operating and net losses narrowed over the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is -9.9% and the net margin is -11.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -12.2%, the Altman Z-Score is 1.02, and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt/Equity is 0.35 per the Roarable RQD rating. Reported FY 2025 cash of $82.0M against debt of $157.4M shows the company carries net debt in the source figures.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the items include:

  • Governance / legal watch (YELLOW): Two items reference possible breaches of fiduciary duties by insiders or officers and directors, including an investigation notice from a plaintiff firm. These are flagged as risk items; the source data does not establish any finding.
  • Earnings catalyst (YELLOW): The company announced it will report third-quarter 2026 financial results. The results themselves are not in the source data.
  • Product/fair-value catalyst (GREEN): A Yahoo Finance item is framed around a competitor (OrthoPediatrics) and references higher growth and new product wins; it is the only GREEN-flagged item.
  • Segment analysis (YELLOW): A Simply Wall St item states that roughly 80% of spine sales drive the upside. The percentage is as reported in the headline summary.

The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the EPS and P/E figures, given that EPS and all valuation multiples are missing from the source data?
  • What is the outcome and scope of the reported governance and fiduciary-duty investigation?
  • What are the Q3 2026 results and do they confirm or reverse the FY 2025 operating loss trend?
  • What products and customers drive the 68.8% gross margin, and what share of revenue comes from spine?
  • What is the composition of the reported debt and how does it relate to the Altman Z-Score reading of 1.02?

OFIX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OFIX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OFIX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.07?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OFIX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OFIX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $11.06 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OFIX (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $10.24?

Welcome to the OFIX (Orthofix Medical Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.99 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $10.24

Pump the brakes on OFIX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OFIX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 68.8% gross margins. Unless Orthofix Medical Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.80 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $10.24

OFIX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OFIX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.24 (52-wk range $8.50 - $16.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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