Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why OFRM Stock dropped -5.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is OFRM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Once Upon a Farm PBC (NYSE: OFRM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $15.02 (-5.95% 1D, market cap $630.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, OFRM ranks #101 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does OFRM compare to SMPL and BRBR in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), OFRM carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMPL (The Simply Good Foods Company) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $977.2M) and BRBR (BellRing Brands Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 4.9x, ROIC 46.3%, cap $1.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRBR leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while BRBR leads on capital efficiency (46.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OFRM?
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Per OFRM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001696556), Once Upon a Farm PBC generated $48.9M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $116.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 36.1% FCF Margin ($17.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OFRM Turnaround Squeeze
While OFRM currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.53) and Max Pain ($15.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.35.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why OFRM Stock dropped -5.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) dropped -5.95% to $15.02, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($14 – $27). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($14 – $27) with RSI-14 at 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.9% around $15.02 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $17.7M annual free cash flow.
Moomoo report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com India report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Once Upon A Farm, PBC (OFRM) Shareholder/Analyst Call November 2, 2026 8:30 AM ESTCompany ParticipantsBrian HollandJohn Foraker - Co-Founder, CEO &...
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1696556/000119312526442776/ofrm-20261102.htm
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OFRM)
- ✓Walkthrough of OFRM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
OFRM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OFRM today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OFRM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OFRM)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (OFRM vs. SMPL, BRBR, VITL, SENEB)
Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) ranks #101 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #81 by equity capitalization ($630.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRBR leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while BRBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.3% ROIC and 33.3% gross margin. BRBR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with OFRM at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFRM
ACTIVE
Once Upon a Farm PBC | D- | 42/100 | — | — | — | -5.95% | $630.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| SMPL The Simply Good Foods Company | C | 64/100 | 8.9x | 36.2% | 6.4% | +5.54% | $977.2M | /smpl-vs-ofrm → |
| BRBR BellRing Brands Inc. | B | 74/100 | 4.9x | 33.3% | 46.3% | +1.21% | $1.07B | /brbr-vs-ofrm → |
| VITL Vital Farms Inc. | D- | 43/100 | 6.0x | 37.6% | 23.1% | -6.67% | $372.2M | /vitl-vs-ofrm → |
| SENEB Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B) | D+ | 53/100 | 9.4x | — | 16.1% | 0.00% | $1.08B | /seneb-vs-ofrm → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001696556 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) reported GAAP revenue of $48.9M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, OFRM closed FY2025 with $116.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $48.9M | $0 | — | — | $116.4M | — |
3. OFRM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OFRM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Once Upon a Farm PBC (NYSE: OFRM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $15.02 (-5.95% 1D, market cap $630.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, OFRM ranks #101 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OFRM compare to SMPL and BRBR in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), OFRM carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMPL (The Simply Good Foods Company) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $977.2M) and BRBR (BellRing Brands Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 4.9x, ROIC 46.3%, cap $1.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRBR leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while BRBR leads on capital efficiency (46.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OFRM?
Per OFRM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001696556), Once Upon a Farm PBC generated $48.9M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $116.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OFRM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OFRM last traded at $15.02 (-5.95% on volume of 384,989 shares), positioning the stock -9.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.53) and -14.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.47). Across its 52-week range of $14.00 to $27.00, OFRM sits at the 7.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($13.53 to $16.51).
OFRM — Once Upon a Farm PBC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $15.02 (-5.95% 1D, market capitalization $630.7M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) is listed on the NYSE and classified under the Consumer Staples sector and the Packaged Foods industry. The profile describes it as a Consumer Staples issuer with a market capitalization of $0.7B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) reported $48.9M in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $116.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.00 – $27.00 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals for OFRM. An investor should treat supplier concentration, co-manufacturer dependence, and product-recall exposure as open questions, since the recall item in the news section is the only documented operational event and its supply-chain ripple effects are not mapped.
- Key Question #1: Can OFRM sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $48.9M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is OFRM's equity valuation to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
OFRM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com India report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
OFRM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.02?
Balance-sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, and cash of $10.9M is reported.
Picked up a starter position in OFRM in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $15.02. Balance-sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, and cash of $10.9M is reported.. Trading inside a $14.00–$27.00 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Packaged Foods multiples expand this quarter.
Both sides have a point here — OFRM's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
ROIC 0% and FCF yield 0% drive the cash-engine pillar to 10/20, with all reported margins at 0% and a red-flag recall item in the news.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on OFRM: ROIC 0% and FCF yield 0% drive the cash-engine pillar to 10/20, with all reported margins at 0% and a red-flag recall item in the news.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.