How profitable is OGE Energy Corp (OGE)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), OGE converted $3.2B of revenue into a 60.5% gross margin, 25.1% operating margin, and $993.5M in free cash flow (31.1% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Utilities / OGE / financials

BEPC (56) AES (34) ENLT (46) IDA (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

OGE Energy Corp (OGE) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$50.21 +1.50% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.25

OGE Energy Corp (OGE) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $10.23B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OGE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, OGE Energy Corp (NYSE: OGE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $50.21 (+1.50% 1D, market cap $10.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, OGE ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OGE compare to BEPC and AES in the Utilities sector?

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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), OGE carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of 60.5%, and ROIC of 6.1%. By comparison, BEPC (Brookfield Renewable Corporation Brookfield Renewable Corporation Class A Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $10.07B) and AES (The AES Corporation) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $10.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AES leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while BEPC leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGE?

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Per OGE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001021635), OGE Energy Corp generated $3.19B in revenue (+9.4% YoY), $470.7M in net income, and $993.5M in free cash flow against $14.37B in total assets and $5.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.25 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 31.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OGE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OGE SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$47.51+0.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$47.95+1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$48.87+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$50.21+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OGE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, OGE faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 58.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.72) or 200D SMA ($47.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.70) toward Bear Floor ($41.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OGE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OGE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How OGE Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$993.5M (31.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $2.61B

FY24

Rev $2.92B

FY25

Rev $3.19B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$3.19B	60.5%	25.1%	$470.7M	$993.5M	6.1%
FY 2024	$2.92B	63.1%	25.6%	$441.5M	$681.6M	6.1%
FY 2023	$2.61B	60.5%	24.9%	$416.8M	$1.11B	15.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OGE)

✓Walkthrough of OGE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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OGE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.95%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $49.37H $50.21L $49.37C $50.21VOL 2.16M

RES: $50.49SUP: $42.77SMA50: $46.72SMA200: $47.23

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OGE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OGE Butterfly Map → + Track OGE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OGE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OGE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OGE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OGE)

Utilities Rank #14 of 116 ⚔️ BEPC vs OGE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (OGE vs. BEPC, AES, ENLT, IDA)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OGE Energy Corp (OGE) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #44 by equity capitalization ($10.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AES leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while BEPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. OGE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OGE ACTIVE OGE Energy Corp	C+	69/100	21.7x	60.5%	6.1%	+1.50%	$10.23B	Benchmark Subject
BEPC Brookfield Renewable Corporation Brookfield Renewable Corporation Class A Subordinate Voting Shares	D+	56/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+4.77%	$10.07B	/bepc-vs-oge →
AES The AES Corporation	E	34/100	11.8x	18.1%	6.7%	+0.47%	$10.58B	/aes-vs-oge →
ENLT Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.	D	46/100	—	—	—	+0.27%	$9.25B	/enlt-vs-oge →
IDA IDACORP Inc.	D	45/100	25.7x	—	4.2%	+1.12%	$8.56B	/ida-vs-oge →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001021635 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OGE Energy Corp (OGE) reported GAAP revenue of $3.19B (+9.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.92B , and +22.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $470.7M, operating cash flow of $1.14B, and free cash flow of $993.5M (+45.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OGE closed FY2025 with $14.37B in total assets against $5.37B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.39, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.19B	$470.7M	$1.14B	$993.5M	$14.37B	$5.37B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.92B	$441.5M	$812.8M	$681.6M	$13.72B	$5.02B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.61B	$416.8M	$1.23B	$1.11B	$5.61B	$1.31B

3. OGE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OGE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OGE compare to BEPC and AES in the Utilities sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGE?

Where is OGE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OGE last traded at $50.21 (+1.50% on volume of 2,439,750 shares), positioning the stock +7.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($46.72) and +6.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($47.23). Across its 52-week range of $41.70 to $50.59, OGE sits at the 95.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.5% ($48.45 to $51.97).

Direct Sub-Reports: OGE RQD Cockpit OGE 12M Forecast OGE Earnings & Move OGE Dividends & DRIP OGE Insiders & 13F OGE Whale Options OGE Profit Sankey OGE News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OGE — OGE Energy Corp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

OGE Energy Corp (OGE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $50.21 (+1.50% 1D, market capitalization $10.23B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.1%, gross margin of 60.5%, operating margin of 25.1%, and free cash flow yield of 9.73%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.55x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.39, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.08x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Utilities. Industry: Electric Utilities: Central. OGE Energy Corp is listed on the NYSE..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), OGE Energy Corp (OGE) reported $3.19B in annual revenue (up from $2.92B in FY2024, +9.4% YoY) and $470.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.61B revenue, $416.8M net income) through FY2025, OGE scaled operating cash flow to $1.14B and free cash flow to $993.5M, backed by $14.37B in total assets against $5.37B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $41.70 – $50.59 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 21.7x trailing P/E and 16.9x EV/EBITDA against 25.1% operating margins and a 0.55x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Within the news wire, the tariff risk reference and the weather-driven demand reference are the only items touching second-order drivers, and the source does not detail how they transmit to OGE's cost base or revenue.

Key Question #1: Can OGE sustain or expand its 25.1% operating margin and 6.1% ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.19B and free cash flow of $993.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.37B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is OGE's 20.2x forward P/E multiple to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.55x)?

OGE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OGE Energy Corp (OGE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OGE Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Is Hot Summer Demand Altering The Investment Case For OGE Energy Stock (OGE)?

Yahoo Finance report covering OGE Energy Corp (OGE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

Why is OGE Energy stock sliding today?

Investing.com report covering OGE Energy Corp (OGE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago

OGE Energy Corp Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to $50.09, Implies 2% Upside

TradingView report covering OGE Energy Corp (OGE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

OGE Energy (OGE) Stock Shrugs Off Q3 Results As Margin Gains Meet Tariff Risk

Yahoo Finance report covering OGE Energy Corp (OGE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

OGE Energy downgraded at Barclays as catalysts likely already priced in (OGE:NYSE)

Seeking Alpha report covering OGE Energy Corp (OGE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Morningstar • 1d ago

OGE Energy Earnings: Hot Summer Weather Boosts Earnings, Shows Need for More Investment

Morningstar report covering OGE Energy Corp (OGE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

Wells Fargo Sticks to Their Hold Rating for OGE Energy (OGE)

The Globe and Mail report covering OGE Energy Corp (OGE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

OGE Energy Corp Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $49.45, Implies 6% Upside

TradingView report covering OGE Energy Corp (OGE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OGE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $50.21?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OGE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.81 (+31.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (16/20) and a 9.73% FCF yield with 0.55 beta offer a defensive, cash-generative profile with a 3.35% dividend yield.

Don't sleep on OGE's setup in Utilities. Insider conviction (16/20) and a 9.73% FCF yield with 0.55 beta offer a defensive, cash-generative profile with a 3.35% dividend yield.. Beta of 0.55 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (69/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on 21.7x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Electric Utilities: Central. If gross margin (60.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.59 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $49.47

Debt rose from $1.31B to $5.37B against $0.2M of cash, with Debt/Equity at 1.08 and Altman Z at 1.39, while the Barclays downgrade

I respect the product at OGE Energy Corp, but the stock at $49.47 is a different story. Debt rose from $1.31B to $5.37B against $0.2M of cash, with Debt/Equity at 1.08 and Altman Z at 1.39, while the Barclays downgrade flags catalysts as already priced in.. FCF yield is 9.73% and RQD sits at 69/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?