Yahoo Finance report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why OGS Stock advanced +0.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is OGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, ONE Gas Inc. (NYSE: OGS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $78.54 (+0.56% 1D, market cap $4.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OGS ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does OGS compare to SR and NJR in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), OGS carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, SR (Spire Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $5.13B) and NJR (NewJersey Resources Corporation) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 16.3%, cap $5.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGS?
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Per OGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001587732), ONE Gas Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $264.2M in net income, and -$128.4M in free cash flow against $8.85B in total assets and $2.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.2) create a -13 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OGS Turnaround Squeeze
While OGS currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($76.16) and Max Pain ($82.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $95.32.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why OGS Stock advanced +0.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) advanced +0.56% to $78.54, trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($70.37 – $90.78). Stretched risk/reward at 19x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($70.37 – $90.78) with RSI-14 at 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.6% around $78.54 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Atmos (ATO) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
ONE Gas (OGS) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OGS)
- ✓Walkthrough of OGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
OGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OGS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OGS)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OGS vs. SR, NJR, EE, UGP)
Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) ranks #141 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #84 by equity capitalization ($4.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NJR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. NJR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with OGS at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGS
ACTIVE
ONE Gas Inc. | D | 49/100 | 18.6x | — | 6.2% | +0.56% | $4.91B | Benchmark Subject |
| SR Spire Inc. | D- | 43/100 | 18.9x | 58.8% | 5.3% | +1.48% | $5.13B | /sr-vs-ogs → |
| NJR NewJersey Resources Corporation | B- | 71/100 | 16.1x | — | 16.3% | +0.19% | $5.39B | /njr-vs-ogs → |
| EE Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) | C | 64/100 | 23.8x | — | 8.1% | +0.86% | $3.98B | /ee-vs-ogs → |
| UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share) | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | -2.68% | $6.64B | /ugp-vs-ogs → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001587732In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $264.2M, operating cash flow of $578.8M, and free cash flow of -$128.4M (+61.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, OGS closed FY2025 with $8.85B in total assets against $2.36B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $264.2M | $578.8M | -$128.4M | $8.85B | $2.36B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $222.8M | $368.4M | -$334.8M | $8.43B | $2.39B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $231.2M | $939.5M | $939.5M | — | — |
3. OGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, ONE Gas Inc. (NYSE: OGS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $78.54 (+0.56% 1D, market cap $4.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OGS ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OGS compare to SR and NJR in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), OGS carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, SR (Spire Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $5.13B) and NJR (NewJersey Resources Corporation) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 16.3%, cap $5.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGS?
Per OGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001587732), ONE Gas Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $264.2M in net income, and -$128.4M in free cash flow against $8.85B in total assets and $2.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OGS last traded at $78.54 (+0.56% on volume of 635,450 shares), positioning the stock +3.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($76.16) and -2.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($80.91). Across its 52-week range of $70.37 to $90.78, OGS sits at the 40.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($75.71 to $81.37).
OGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OGS stock moving today?
Why OGS Stock advanced +0.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 19x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
OGS — ONE Gas Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, OGS scores 49 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 6.2%; FCF yield -2.62%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.68). Taken together, the weakest pillars (insider conviction and macro fit) and the negative free-cash-flow yield point to limited near-term upside drivers from the rating's perspective, while the balance-sheet pillar is the strongest of the five. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: an 18.6x trailing P/E and 6.9x EV/EBITDA sit alongside a 3.27% dividend yield, so income-oriented readers may weigh the yield against a negative FCF yield. This is an educational summary of the rating's components, not personalized advice.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $457.5M | $264.2M | N/A | $-128.4M | $10.6M | $2356.0M |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $398.9M | $222.8M | N/A | $-334.8M | $58.0M | $2385.3M |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $377.6M | $231.2M | N/A | $939.5M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $222.8M in FY 2024 to $264.2M in FY 2025, while reported revenue is shown as $0.0M for all periods. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0%, and ROIC is 6.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.68. Reported cash declined from $58.0M to $10.6M while debt moved from $2385.3M to $2356.0M across the two most recent years.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news section, the wire includes six items on OGS. Item OGS-rss-2, a Seeking Alpha report, is flagged RED / RISK WATCH and references a Jefferies downgrade tied to interest-rate concerns and Texas uncertainty. Items OGS-rss-1 and OGS-rss-4 are flagged GREEN / CATALYST, covering dividend growth and a rate-base growth narrative. Items OGS-rss-0, OGS-rss-3, and OGS-rss-5 are flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What is the company's reported revenue, given that revenue is shown as $0.0M across all periods while margins are listed as 0%?
- What explains the negative FCF yield of -2.62% alongside positive net income in FY 2025 and FY 2024?
- What is the basis and timing of the Jefferies downgrade referenced in the RED-flagged news item?
- What are the cash and debt balances for FY 2023, which are shown as N/A?
- What institutional or insider holdings exist, given that holders data is absent?
OGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ONE Gas Inc. (OGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
OGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $78.54?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OGS (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $78.10?
Welcome to the OGS (ONE Gas Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Oil/Gas Transmission. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on OGS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OGS, but look at what you are paying: 18.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless ONE Gas Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
OGS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OGS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil/Gas Transmission and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $78.10 (52-wk range $70.37 - $90.78), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.