Yahoo Finance report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why OI Stock dropped -3.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
O-I Glass Inc. (OI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is OI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, O-I Glass Inc. (NYSE: OI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $5.12 (-3.21% 1D, market cap $814.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OI ranks #785 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does OI compare to PACK and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), OI carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, PACK (Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.2%, cap $291.6M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OI?
▼
Per OI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000812074), O-I Glass Inc. generated $6.43B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), -$129.0M in net income, and $168.0M in free cash flow against $9.24B in total assets and $4.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.6% FCF Margin ($168.0M FCF) & 17.3% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (35.5) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OI Turnaround Squeeze
While OI currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.24) and Max Pain ($5.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.76.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why OI Stock dropped -3.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
O-I Glass Inc. (OI) dropped -3.21% to $5.12, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($5 – $16.91). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($5 – $16.91) with RSI-14 at 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.1% around $5.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 17.3% gross margin and $168.0M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The National Law Review report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OI)
- ✓Walkthrough of OI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
OI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OI)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OI vs. PACK, GPK, SON, REYN)
Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, O-I Glass Inc. (OI) ranks #785 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #534 by equity capitalization ($814.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while REYN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and 24.6% gross margin. REYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with OI at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OI
ACTIVE
O-I Glass Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 17.3% | -10.0% | -3.21% | $814.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| PACK Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) | D- | 36/100 | — | 39.3% | -2.2% | -6.47% | $291.6M | /pack-vs-oi → |
| GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company | D+ | 53/100 | 5.9x | 18.2% | 7.8% | +1.59% | $2.61B | /gpk-vs-oi → |
| SON Sonoco Products Company | D+ | 52/100 | 4.9x | 20.9% | 11.4% | +0.14% | $4.93B | /son-vs-oi → |
| REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 16.5x | 24.6% | 13.4% | +0.13% | $4.97B | /reyn-vs-oi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000812074In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), O-I Glass Inc. (OI) reported GAAP revenue of $6.43B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.53B , and -9.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$129.0M, operating cash flow of $600.0M, and free cash flow of $168.0M (+231.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OI closed FY2025 with $9.24B in total assets against $4.84B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $6.43B | -$129.0M | $600.0M | $168.0M | $9.24B | $4.84B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $6.53B | -$106.0M | $489.0M | -$128.0M | $8.65B | $4.55B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $7.11B | -$103.0M | $818.0M | $818.0M | — | — |
3. OI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, O-I Glass Inc. (NYSE: OI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $5.12 (-3.21% 1D, market cap $814.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OI ranks #785 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OI compare to PACK and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), OI carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, PACK (Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.2%, cap $291.6M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OI?
Per OI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000812074), O-I Glass Inc. generated $6.43B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), -$129.0M in net income, and $168.0M in free cash flow against $9.24B in total assets and $4.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OI last traded at $5.12 (-3.21% on volume of 6,600,698 shares), positioning the stock -17.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.24) and -45.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.42). Across its 52-week range of $5.00 to $16.91, OI sits at the 1.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($4.55 to $5.69).
OI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OI stock moving today?
Why OI Stock dropped -3.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
OI — O-I Glass Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, OI scores 37 out of 100 with a letter grade of D- and a verdict of "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars break down as follows:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -10% alongside an FCF yield of 20.63%. The negative ROIC indicates the business is not currently earning returns above its cost of capital, while the high FCF yield suggests cash generation is large relative to the market value shown in the source data. An investor should weigh whether the FCF yield reflects durable cash generation or a temporary figure, since the source data does not break out its composition.
- Whale / 13F Flow: 4 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score signals weak institutional support in the source data. Holder-level detail is not available in source data.
- Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The below-midpoint score indicates limited insider conviction signals in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. The low score indicates the stock's macro positioning is weak in the rating's framework; an investor should expect its performance to track broader market and sector conditions rather than offer a clear regime tailwind.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 3.74. Leverage is the most visible risk: a Debt/Equity of 3.74 means lenders hold a large claim relative to equity, which amplifies downside if operating performance weakens.
Taken together, the rating points to a stock where cash generation is a relative strength but is outweighed by weak returns, high leverage, and limited institutional and insider conviction. The upside case depends on the cash engine persisting and deleveraging; the valuation tradeoff is that a low market price paired with high debt leaves little margin for operating error.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $6426.0M | $0.0M | $-129.0M | N/A | $168.0M | $759.0M | $4837.0M |
| FY 2024 | $6531.0M | $38.0M | $-106.0M | N/A | $-128.0M | $734.0M | $4553.0M |
| FY 2023 | $7105.0M | $67.0M | $-103.0M | N/A | $818.0M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $7105.0M in FY 2023 to $6426.0M in FY 2025, and net income was negative in each reported period. Market data shows operating margin of 0% and net margin of -2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -10%, Altman Z is 2.5, and Piotroski F is 4/9. Debt rose from $4553.0M to $4837.0M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while cash rose from $734.0M to $759.0M, leaving the balance sheet heavily levered.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Earnings preview (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW): Headline states Q3 earnings are expected to decline.
- Valuation commentary (Seeking Alpha, YELLOW): Headline characterizes the stock as cheap despite troubles.
- Price action (Investing.com, YELLOW): Headline addresses a sharp decline in the stock.
- Analyst downgrade (GuruFocus, RED — RISK WATCH): Headline reports UBS downgraded OI to Neutral and cut its price target amid a European EBIT decline.
- Price target cut (TradingView, RED — RISK WATCH): Headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $6.5, implying 15% upside.
- Litigation (Morningstar, RED — RISK WATCH): Headline references a securities fraud lawsuit with a lead-plaintiff opportunity for investors.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What drove the European EBIT decline cited in the UBS downgrade, and how large is that segment relative to total revenue?
- What are the terms and maturity profile of the $4837.0M in debt, and how does it compare to cash generation?
- Does the 20.63% FCF yield reflect sustainable cash generation, given FY 2024 FCF was $-128.0M?
- What is the scope and status of the securities fraud lawsuit referenced in the news wire?
- What are the EPS and P/E figures, which the source data marks as unavailable?
OI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for O-I Glass Inc. (OI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The National Law Review report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
OI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.12?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OI (D- • RQD 37/100) a Buy at $5.29?
Welcome to the OI (O-I Glass Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Containers/Packaging. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on OI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 17.3% gross margins. Unless O-I Glass Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
OI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Containers/Packaging and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $5.29 (52-wk range $5.00 - $16.91), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.