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Stock Ratings / Utilities / OKLO / options
CIG (45) AQN (62) CWEN (46) POR (41) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$23.52 -6.85% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.19

Oklo Inc. (OKLO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $4.70B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OKLO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OKLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Oklo Inc. (NYSE: OKLO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $23.52 (-6.85% 1D, market cap $4.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, OKLO ranks #100 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OKLO compare to CIG and AQN in the Utilities sector?
▼

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), OKLO carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -16.0%. By comparison, CIG (Comp En De Mn Cemig ADS) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.24B) and AQN (Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $4.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POR leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while POR leads on capital efficiency (6.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OKLO?
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Per OKLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001849056), Oklo Inc. generated $390.0M in revenue (+163.8% YoY), -$105.7M in net income, and -$115.4M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.19 (-1.42%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510035
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (5)SEC (14)Macro (5)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$139 Bull$21 Base$16 Bear
📬 FREE OKLO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OKLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OKLO SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (40% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (17% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$29.04-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$27.73-2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$27.12-13.3% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$23.52-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OKLO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OKLO currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.58) and Max Pain ($24.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $138.72.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OKLO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OKLO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±11.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OKLO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OKLO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OKLO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OKLO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OKLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -65.71%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $26.81H $26.81L $23.52C $23.52VOL 10.16M
RES: $34.09SUP: $11.67SMA50: $34.58SMA200: $52.87
$90.92$72.65$54.39$36.12$17.85RES $34.09SUP $11.67$23.522026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OKLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OKLO Butterfly Map → + Track OKLO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
24.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +163.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OKLO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OKLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OKLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OKLO)

Utilities Rank #100 of 116 ⚔️ CIG vs OKLO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (OKLO vs. CIG, AQN, CWEN, POR)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oklo Inc. (OKLO) ranks #100 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #58 by equity capitalization ($4.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POR leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while POR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.1% ROIC and — gross margin. AQN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with OKLO at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OKLO ACTIVE
Oklo Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -16.0% -6.85% $4.70B Benchmark Subject
CIG
Comp En De Mn Cemig ADS
D 45/100 — — — -0.55% $5.24B /cig-vs-oklo →
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
C 62/100 23.1x — 3.7% +2.75% $4.20B /aqn-vs-oklo →
CWEN
Clearway Energy Inc. (Class C)
D 46/100 31.9x 62.9% 0.9% +5.84% $5.25B /cwen-vs-oklo →
POR
Portland General Electric Co
D- 41/100 12.0x — 6.1% +2.48% $5.29B /por-vs-oklo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001849056 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Oklo Inc. (OKLO) reported GAAP revenue of $390.0M (+163.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $147.8M , and +647.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$105.7M, operating cash flow of -$82.2M, and free cash flow of -$115.4M (-197.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OKLO closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $390.0M -$105.7M -$82.2M -$115.4M $1.53B $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $147.8M -$73.6M -$38.4M -$38.7M $281.7M $13.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $52.2M -$32.2M -$16.0M -$16.0M $2.74B $641.8M

3. OKLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OKLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Oklo Inc. (NYSE: OKLO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $23.52 (-6.85% 1D, market cap $4.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, OKLO ranks #100 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OKLO compare to CIG and AQN in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), OKLO carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -16.0%. By comparison, CIG (Comp En De Mn Cemig ADS) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.24B) and AQN (Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $4.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POR leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while POR leads on capital efficiency (6.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OKLO?

Per OKLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001849056), Oklo Inc. generated $390.0M in revenue (+163.8% YoY), -$105.7M in net income, and -$115.4M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OKLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OKLO last traded at $23.52 (-6.85% on volume of 8,627,507 shares), positioning the stock -31.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.58) and -55.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($52.87). Across its 52-week range of $24.49 to $132.11, OKLO sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($20.89 to $26.15).

Direct Sub-Reports: OKLO RQD Cockpit OKLO 12M Forecast OKLO Earnings & Move OKLO Dividends & DRIP OKLO Insiders & 13F OKLO Whale Options OKLO Profit Sankey OKLO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 35/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OKLO — Oklo Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Oklo Inc. (OKLO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 35/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $23.52 (-6.85% 1D, market capitalization $4.70B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -16.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -10.0%, and free cash flow yield of -2.31%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.77x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 26.00, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Oklo Inc. (OKLO) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Electric Utilities: Central industry (Utilities sector) with an equity market capitalization of $4.70B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of -10%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -16% (free cash flow yield of -2.31%). Within the Electric Utilities: Central peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Oklo Inc. (OKLO) reported $390.0M in annual revenue (up from $147.8M in FY2024, +163.8% YoY) and -$105.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($52.2M revenue, -$32.2M net income) through FY2025, OKLO scaled operating cash flow to -$82.2M and free cash flow to -$115.4M, backed by $1.53B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 35/100): Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.31% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $24.49 – $132.11 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -10.0% operating margins and a 0.77x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. Within the source data, the most relevant second-order factor is the dilution theme in the news feed: repeated equity issuance can pressure per-share metrics for a company with negative EPS and negative free cash flow. Investors should watch whether funding needs continue to be met through equity issuance.

  • Key Question #1: Can OKLO sustain or expand its -10.0% operating margin and -16.0% ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $390.0M and free cash flow of -$115.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OKLO's 32.0x forward P/E multiple to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.77x)?

OKLO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Oklo Inc. (OKLO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OKLO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OKLO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $23.52?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OKLO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OKLO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $32.57 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet is the strongest pillar (14/20), with cash of $788.4M against $0.0M debt and an Altman Z-Score of 26.

The street is overcomplicating Oklo Inc. (OKLO). The balance sheet is the strongest pillar (14/20), with cash of $788.4M against $0.0M debt and an Altman Z-Score of 26.. With an RQD score of 35/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $27.27.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — OKLO's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.70 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $25.25

Operating losses widened to -$139.3M in FY 2025 with negative free cash flow and no reported revenue, scoring only 6/20 on the cash eng

I respect the product at Oklo Inc., but the stock at $25.25 is a different story. Operating losses widened to -$139.3M in FY 2025 with negative free cash flow and no reported revenue, scoring only 6/20 on the cash engine pillar.. FCF yield is -2.31% and RQD sits at 35/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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