Yahoo Finance report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why OLLI Stock dropped -2.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (41% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is OLLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: OLLI) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $90.26 (-2.34% 1D, market cap $5.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OLLI ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does OLLI compare to PSMT and M in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), OLLI carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.8x, gross margin of 40.5%, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, PSMT (PriceSmart Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 34.5x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $5.11B) and M (Macy's Inc) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 10.1x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $6.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, M leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while PSMT leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLLI?
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Per OLLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001639300), Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. generated $2.65B in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $240.6M in net income, and $194.7M in free cash flow against $2.95B in total assets and $480.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 5.31 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.3% FCF Margin ($194.7M FCF) & 40.5% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58.7) create a -7 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OLLI Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, OLLI faces multiple-compression risk if 22.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 38.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($83.06) or 200D SMA ($86.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($97.57) toward Bear Floor ($74.01).
Why OLLI Stock dropped -2.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) dropped -2.34% to $90.26, trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($60.29 – $130.4). High-quality cash engine (41% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($60.29 – $130.4) with RSI-14 at 58.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.5% around $90.26 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 40.5% gross margin and $194.7M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) is likely to exceed consensus expectations in the second half of 2026,
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OLLI Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
OLLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OLLI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OLLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OLLI)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OLLI vs. PSMT, M, MNSO, KSS)
Industry: Department/Specialty Retail Stores (11 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) ranks #58 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #255 by equity capitalization ($5.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, M leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while PSMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and 17.4% gross margin. OLLI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLLI
ACTIVE
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 22.8x | 40.5% | 11.3% | -2.34% | $5.49B | Benchmark Subject |
| PSMT PriceSmart Inc. | C | 63/100 | 34.5x | 17.4% | 14.8% | +0.34% | $5.11B | /psmt-vs-olli → |
| M Macy's Inc | B | 75/100 | 10.1x | 38.0% | 11.8% | -2.47% | $6.46B | /m-vs-olli → |
| MNSO MINISO Group Holding Limited each representing four | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | +3.65% | $3.05B | /mnso-vs-olli → |
| KSS Kohl's Corporation | B+ | 76/100 | 10.2x | 40.6% | 10.2% | -0.78% | $2.78B | /kss-vs-olli → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001639300In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.65B (+16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.27B , and +26.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $240.6M, operating cash flow of $296.5M, and free cash flow of $194.7M (+82.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, OLLI closed FY2025 with $2.95B in total assets against $480.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.31, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-31 | $2.65B | $240.6M | $296.5M | $194.7M | $2.95B | $480.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-02-01 | $2.27B | $199.8M | $227.5M | $106.9M | $2.56B | $389.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-02-03 | $2.10B | $181.4M | $254.5M | $159.9M | $3.02B | $706.6M |
3. OLLI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OLLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: OLLI) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $90.26 (-2.34% 1D, market cap $5.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OLLI ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OLLI compare to PSMT and M in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), OLLI carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.8x, gross margin of 40.5%, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, PSMT (PriceSmart Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 34.5x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $5.11B) and M (Macy's Inc) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 10.1x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $6.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, M leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while PSMT leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLLI?
Per OLLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001639300), Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. generated $2.65B in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $240.6M in net income, and $194.7M in free cash flow against $2.95B in total assets and $480.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OLLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OLLI last traded at $90.26 (-2.34% on volume of 1,250,453 shares), positioning the stock +8.67% above its 50-day simple moving average ($83.06) and +3.95% above its 200-day simple moving average ($86.83). Across its 52-week range of $60.29 to $130.40, OLLI sits at the 42.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($81.69 to $98.83).
OLLI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OLLI stock moving today?
Why OLLI Stock dropped -2.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (41% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
OLLI — Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, OLLI scores 76 out of 100, a B+ grade, labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 (ROIC 11.3%; FCF yield 3.55%), Whale 13F Flow at 14/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13/20 (beta 1.14; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20 (Altman Z 5.31; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.24).
For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the balance sheet, which per the RQD rating and forensic metrics indicates low leverage and a strong financial-health profile, reducing solvency risk. The cash-engine pillar is solid but not exceptional: a 3.55% FCF yield implies the market is paying a moderate multiple for free cash generation, which is a valuation tradeoff rather than a discount. The macro-fit pillar (13/20) is the weakest, reflecting a beta of 1.14, meaning the stock has historically moved somewhat more than the broader market, so drawdowns in risk-off environments are a plausible scenario. Insider and institutional flow pillars are moderately positive, supporting the thesis of constructive positioning, though the source data does not provide the underlying transaction detail behind these scores. Upside drivers are the cash-generation trend and balance-sheet strength; valuation tradeoffs are visible in a trailing P/E of 22.8 against a forward P/E of 19.2. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Business
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Department/Specialty Retail Stores industry, per the company profile. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 40.5%, an operating margin of 11.2%, and a net margin of 9.1%. The source data does not describe the company's product assortment, customer base, or store footprint, so further detail on what it sells and to whom is not available in source data.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2649.2M | $297.7M | $240.6M | N/A | $194.7M | $259.7M | $480.1M |
| FY 2024 | $2271.7M | $249.5M | $199.8M | N/A | $106.9M | $205.1M | $389.6M |
| FY 2023 | $2102.7M | $227.8M | $181.4M | N/A | $159.9M | N/A | $706.6M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $2102.7M (FY 2023) to $2649.2M (FY 2025), and net income rose from $181.4M to $240.6M over the same span. Per the Roarable RQD rating and forensic metrics, ROIC is 11.3%, the Altman Z-Score is 5.31, and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.24. Debt was reported at $706.6M in FY 2023 and $480.1M in FY 2025, a decline, while FY 2025 cash was $259.7M. EPS is listed as N/A for all three reported periods in the financial data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news wire, six items are tagged related to OLLI, all marked GREEN with a CATALYST impact label:
- A Yahoo Finance report on the stock reclaiming its 200-day moving average.
- A Seeking Alpha report on the stock gaining after adding to its buyback firepower.
- A TradingView estimates page for the company.
- An Investing.com report that RBC Capital raised its price target to $125.
- A GuruFocus piece asking whether the stock is a bargain after a five-year view.
- A Yahoo Finance report on new store openings in seven states in October.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Consumer Discretionary, the industry is Department/Specialty Retail Stores, and the supply-chain field is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items are not enumerated in the news data; the headlines are uniformly catalyst-tagged, so no explicit negative catalysts are identified in source data.
Open Questions
- What is the company's store count, product mix, and customer base, given that the source data does not describe the business model in detail?
- Why is EPS reported as N/A for every period, and how does reported net income reconcile to per-share figures?
- What drove the decline in debt from $706.6M (FY 2023) to $480.1M (FY 2025), and what is the current debt maturity profile?
- What are the specific insider and 13F transactions underlying the Insider Conviction and Whale Flow pillar scores?
- What is the consensus analyst rating and price-target range, given that analyst data is unavailable?
OLLI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
OLLI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $90.26?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OLLI (B+ • RQD 76/100) a Buy at $92.42?
Welcome to the OLLI (Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 76/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Department/Specialty Retail Stores. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on OLLI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OLLI, but look at what you are paying: 22.8x trailing P/E with 40.5% gross margins. Unless Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
OLLI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OLLI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Department/Specialty Retail Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $92.42 (52-wk range $60.29 - $130.40), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.