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One Liberty Properties Inc. (OLP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$21.93 -1.35% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.84

One Liberty Properties Inc. (OLP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $485.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OLP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, One Liberty Properties Inc. (NYSE: OLP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $21.93 (-1.35% 1D, market cap $485.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, OLP ranks #464 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OLP compare to FBRT and NXRT in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), OLP carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.3x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 13.3%. By comparison, FBRT (Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $461.6M) and NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.8%, cap $460.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while OLP leads on capital efficiency (13.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLP?
β–Ό

Per OLP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000712770), One Liberty Properties Inc. generated $134.1M in revenue (-4.0% YoY), $25.5M in net income, and $37.5M in free cash flow against $857.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.84 (-0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 28% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C Β· Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$27 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE OLP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OLP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY OLP SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28% FCF Margin ($37.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$21.91-1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$21.69+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$22.07-0.6% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$21.93+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OLP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, OLP faces multiple-compression risk if 19.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.66) or 200D SMA ($23.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.93) toward Bear Floor ($17.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OLPβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œOLP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±4.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OLP)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OLP.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OLP)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of OLP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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OLP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.69%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $22.31H $22.31L $21.93C $21.93VOL 80.5K
RES: $22.79SUP: $20.46SMA50: $22.66SMA200: $23.23
$26.19$24.90$23.61$22.31$21.02RES $22.79SUP $20.46$21.932026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OLP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ OLP Butterfly Map β†’ + Track OLP β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
12.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OLP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OLP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OLP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OLP)

Financials Rank #464 of 1097 βš”οΈ FBRT vs OLP Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OLP vs. FBRT, NXRT, FVR, TRTX)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, One Liberty Properties Inc. (OLP) ranks #464 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #707 by equity capitalization ($485.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBRT leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while OLP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. OLP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OLP ACTIVE
One Liberty Properties Inc.
D+ 58/100 19.3x β€” 13.3% -1.35% $485.2M Benchmark Subject
FBRT
Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.
D 49/100 5.5x β€” 5.8% +1.48% $461.6M /fbrt-vs-olp β†’
NXRT
NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” β€” 7.8% -8.65% $460.9M /nxrt-vs-olp β†’
FVR
FrontView REIT Inc.
D 45/100 β€” β€” -1.2% -0.11% $459.8M /fvr-vs-olp β†’
TRTX
TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.
D+ 54/100 8.1x β€” 5.6% -0.29% $517.9M /trtx-vs-olp β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000712770 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), One Liberty Properties Inc. (OLP) reported GAAP revenue of $134.1M (-4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $139.7M , and -4.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.5M, operating cash flow of $37.5M, and free cash flow of $37.5M (-3.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, OLP closed FY2025 with $857.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $134.1M $25.5M $37.5M $37.5M $857.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $139.7M $30.4M $39.1M $39.1M $767.0M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $140.9M $29.6M $46.1M $46.1M β€” β€”

3. OLP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OLP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, One Liberty Properties Inc. (NYSE: OLP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $21.93 (-1.35% 1D, market cap $485.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, OLP ranks #464 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OLP compare to FBRT and NXRT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), OLP carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.3x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 13.3%. By comparison, FBRT (Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $461.6M) and NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.8%, cap $460.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while OLP leads on capital efficiency (13.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLP?

Per OLP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000712770), One Liberty Properties Inc. generated $134.1M in revenue (-4.0% YoY), $25.5M in net income, and $37.5M in free cash flow against $857.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OLP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OLP last traded at $21.93 (-1.35% on volume of 63,106 shares), positioning the stock -3.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.66) and -5.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.23). Across its 52-week range of $19.86 to $25.88, OLP sits at the 34.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.5% ($20.94 to $22.92).

Direct Sub-Reports: OLP RQD Cockpit OLP 12M Forecast OLP Earnings & Move OLP Dividends & DRIP OLP Insiders & 13F OLP Whale Options OLP Profit Sankey OLP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OLP β€” One Liberty Properties Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

One Liberty Properties Inc. (OLP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $21.93 (-1.35% 1D, market capitalization $485.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.3%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of 7.63%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

One Liberty Properties Inc. (OLP) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, with a market capitalization of $0.5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), One Liberty Properties Inc. (OLP) reported $134.1M in annual revenue (up from $139.7M in FY2024, -4.0% YoY) and $25.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($140.9M revenue, $29.6M net income) through FY2025, OLP scaled operating cash flow to $37.5M and free cash flow to $37.5M, backed by $857.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 58/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 7.63% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.86 – $25.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 19.3x trailing P/E and 10.0x EV/EBITDA against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” for upstream or downstream dependency mapping. Sector and industry context is limited to Financials and Real Estate Investment Trusts, with a beta of 1.0 per the market data, which is the only available indicator of sector-level sensitivity.

  • Key Question #1: Can OLP sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and 13.3% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $134.1M and free cash flow of $37.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OLP's 17.9x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OLP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for One Liberty Properties Inc. (OLP) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to OLP Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OLP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $21.93?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OLP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OLP:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.00 (+30.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 16 of 20 and the stock carries a 7.93% dividend yield with a forward P/E of 17.9 below its trailing 19.3.

Here is why I am bullish on OLP here at $22.31: Insider conviction scores 16 of 20 and the stock carries a 7.93% dividend yield with a forward P/E of 17.9 below its trailing 19.3.. Compare OLP's 0.0% operating margin and 13.3% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate Investment Trusts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $21.19 are getting bought.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 19.3x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.29 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $22.31

Operating income, net income, and FCF have declined each year from FY 2023 to FY 2025 while cash fell from $42.3M to $14.4M.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short OLP above $22.31. Operating income, net income, and FCF have declined each year from FY 2023 to FY 2025 while cash fell from $42.3M to $14.4M.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20) and FCF yield (7.63%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $25.88.

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