Ondas Inc. (ONDS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$6.32 -8.14% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.22

Ondas Inc. (ONDS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $4.01B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ONDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Ondas Inc. (NASDAQ: ONDS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $6.32 (-8.14% 1D, market cap $4.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ONDS ranks #535 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ONDS compare to PL and VISN in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), ONDS carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.7%, and ROIC of -14.4%. By comparison, PL (Planet Labs PBC) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.0%, cap $5.21B) and VISN (Vistance Networks Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ONDS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HLIT leads on capital efficiency (3.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONDS?
β–Ό

Per ONDS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001646188), Ondas Inc. generated $50.7M in revenue (+605.3% YoY), -$133.4M in net income, and -$40.8M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $297.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.22 (-1.66%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$16 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ONDS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ONDS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ONDS SCORES 35/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.63 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 39.7% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52.2) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$6.71-9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$6.10+9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$6.65-5% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$6.32-8.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D- (35)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ONDS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ONDS currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.12) and Max Pain ($6.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.04.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ONDSβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œONDS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How ONDS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$50.7MGross Profit $20.2M (39.7%)Cost of Sales $30.6MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $20.2MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $15.7M
FY24
Rev $7.2M
FY25
Rev $50.7M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$50.7M39.7%-115.1%-$133.4M-$40.8M-25%
FY 2024$7.2M4.8%-481.1%-$38.0M-$35.1M-45%
FY 2023$15.7M39.7%-253.2%-$44.8M-$34.7M-2.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ONDS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ONDS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ONDS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.05%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $6.86H $6.88L $6.32C $6.32VOL 45.60M
RES: $6.92SUP: $5.30SMA50: $7.12SMA200: $8.98
$14.75$12.32$9.90$7.47$5.05RES $6.92SUP $5.30$6.322026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ONDS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONDS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONDS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ONDS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ONDS)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ONDS vs. PL, VISN, HLIT, UMAC)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ondas Inc. (ONDS) ranks #535 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #229 by equity capitalization ($4.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ONDS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while HLIT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.0% ROIC and 48.5% gross margin. HLIT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with ONDS at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ONDS ACTIVE
Ondas Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” 39.7% -14.4% -8.14% $4.01B Benchmark Subject
PL
Planet Labs PBC
E 32/100 β€” 56.1% -18.0% -5.87% $5.21B /pl-vs-onds β†’
VISN
Vistance Networks Inc.
E 34/100 β€” β€” 0.7% -2.24% $1.54B /visn-vs-onds β†’
HLIT
Harmonic Inc.
D 50/100 β€” 48.5% 3.0% -5.28% $1.18B /hlit-vs-onds β†’
UMAC
Unusual Machines Inc.
E 23/100 β€” 34.9% -27.7% -10.13% $863.2M /umac-vs-onds β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001646188

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ondas Inc. (ONDS) reported GAAP revenue of $50.7M (+605.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.2M , and +223.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$133.4M, operating cash flow of -$38.7M, and free cash flow of -$40.8M (-16.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONDS closed FY2025 with $1.13B in total assets against $297.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.63, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $50.7M -$133.4M -$38.7M -$40.8M $1.13B $297.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.2M -$38.0M -$33.5M -$35.1M $109.6M $33.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $15.7M -$44.8M -$34.0M -$34.7M $2.20B $515.6M

3. ONDS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ONDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Ondas Inc. (NASDAQ: ONDS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $6.32 (-8.14% 1D, market cap $4.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ONDS ranks #535 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ONDS compare to PL and VISN in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), ONDS carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.7%, and ROIC of -14.4%. By comparison, PL (Planet Labs PBC) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.0%, cap $5.21B) and VISN (Vistance Networks Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ONDS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HLIT leads on capital efficiency (3.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONDS?

Per ONDS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001646188), Ondas Inc. generated $50.7M in revenue (+605.3% YoY), -$133.4M in net income, and -$40.8M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $297.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ONDS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ONDS last traded at $6.32 (-8.14% on volume of 41,150,477 shares), positioning the stock -11.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.12) and -29.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.98). Across its 52-week range of $4.95 to $15.28, ONDS sits at the 13.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.2% ($5.55 to $7.09).

ONDS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Ondas Inc. (ONDS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ONDS converted $50.7M of revenue into a 39.7% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 35/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ONDS β€” Ondas Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ONDS holds an RQD Score of 35 out of 100 and a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -14.4% and an FCF yield of -1.02%. For a prospective investor, these figures indicate that the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or positive free cash flow, so the stock's value depends on future operating improvement rather than present cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow (8 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F detail is not itemized in the source data, so the investor cannot verify the direction or size of institutional positioning from this brief alone.
  • Insider Conviction (5 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Insider conviction is scored low, which means the source data does not show insider-side confidence strong enough to offset the fundamental weakness.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.22 and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity. A beta above 1 suggests the stock is likely to move more than the broader market in both directions, which raises volatility risk in an adverse macro regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.63, the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.63. These are the strongest pillar readings, indicating a relatively more stable balance sheet than the cash-flow and insider pillars, though the Piotroski score is not top-tier.

Investor implications: The upside case rests on the gap between current losses and any future margin recovery, plus the balance-sheet resilience implied by the forensic pillar. The valuation tradeoff is that a Forward P/E of 31 is present in the source data while trailing earnings are negative, so the market is pricing in future earnings that the historical figures do not yet show. The stock's weak cash-flow and insider pillars suggest the investor would be relying on execution rather than on demonstrated cash generation.

Business

Ondas Inc. (ONDS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and the Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment industry, per the profile section. The company's products, customer base, and revenue model are not described in the source data. Per the profile, the market capitalization is $4.0B. Not available in source data for additional business description detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$50.7M$-58.4M$-133.4MN/A$-40.8M$550.7M$297.6M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$7.2M$-34.6M$-38.0MN/A$-35.1M$30.0M$33.2M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$15.7M$-39.7M$-44.8MN/A$-34.7MN/A$515.6M

Per the market data, gross margin is 39.7%, while operating margin and net margin are each -60%, and ROIC is -14.4%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.63 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Debt/Equity is 0.63 per the RQD forensic pillar. Revenue rose from $7.2M in FY 2024 to $50.7M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, while net losses widened from $-38.0M to $-133.4M over the same period. Reported cash increased to $550.7M in FY 2025 from $30.0M in FY 2024, against debt of $297.6M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Catalyst (GREEN): A headline cites a $56M ESAD order and a Citizens price-upside view, per the Stocktwits item in the news wire.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): Items reference market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts; the Yahoo! Finance Canada and Seeking Alpha items cover a defense-prime assembly thesis.
  • Risk watch (RED): A Trefis item is flagged as a risk-watch headline about a single risk investors should know.
  • Market sentiment: A TradingView item reports a third consecutive red week alongside retail interest in drone defense.

Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's specific product and revenue mix behind the jump from $7.2M to $50.7M in reported revenue?
  • What drove the net loss increase to $-133.4M in FY 2025, and what is the path to positive operating income?
  • Does the $550.7M cash position reflect financing rather than operations, given FCF of $-40.8M?
  • What are the institutional 13F and insider Form 4 positions behind the RQD whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What is the basis for the Forward P/E of 31 given negative trailing EPS of -0.23?

ONDS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ondas Inc. (ONDS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ONDS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ONDS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $6.32?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ONDS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ONDS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.05 (-12.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ONDS (D- β€’ RQD 35/100) a Buy at $6.88?

Welcome to the ONDS (Ondas Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 35/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.23 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $6.88

Pump the brakes on ONDS β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ONDS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 39.7% gross margins. Unless Ondas Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.74 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $6.88

ONDS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ONDS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.88 (52-wk range $4.95 - $15.28), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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