Yahoo Finance report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ONT Stock surged +5.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Onterris Inc. (ONT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ONT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, Onterris Inc. (NYSE: ONT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $15.80 (+5.90% 1D, market cap $524.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ONT ranks #713 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ONT compare to RMR and KELYA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), ONT carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.3%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, RMR (The RMR Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 31.2x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $534.5M) and KELYA (Kelly Services Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $576.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RMR leads on earnings multiple (31.2x) while RMR leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONT?
▼
Per ONT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001643615), Onterris Inc. generated $830.5M in revenue (+19.3% YoY), -$843.0K in net income, and $91.2M in free cash flow against $981.3M in total assets and $277.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 1.18 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ONT Turnaround Squeeze
While ONT currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.54) and Max Pain ($16.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.50.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ONT Stock surged +5.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Onterris Inc. (ONT) surged +5.90% to $15.80, trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($12.26 – $30). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($12.26 – $30) with RSI-14 at 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.2% around $15.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 40.3% gross margin and $91.2M annual free cash flow.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockStory report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Conestoga Capital Advisors, an asset management company, released its third-quarter 2026 investor letter. The letter can be downloaded here. Conestoga Capital Advisors released its third-quarter 2026 investor letter, out
Conestoga Micro Cap Composite reports 3Q26 performance highlights and portfolio adjustments. Review the latest leadership and laggard insights here.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ONT)
- ✓Walkthrough of ONT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ONT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ONT)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ONT vs. RMR, KELYA, ROMA, BWMN)
Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Onterris Inc. (ONT) ranks #713 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #577 by equity capitalization ($524.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RMR leads on earnings valuation at 31.2x trailing P/E, while RMR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and — gross margin. KELYA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with ONT at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONT
ACTIVE
Onterris Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 40.3% | 1.3% | +5.90% | $524.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| RMR The RMR Group Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 57/100 | 31.2x | — | 18.0% | +2.04% | $534.5M | /rmr-vs-ont → |
| KELYA Kelly Services Inc. (Class A) | C | 63/100 | — | 20.1% | -5.8% | +1.51% | $576.2M | /kelya-vs-ont → |
| ROMA Roma Green Finance Limited (Class A) | E | 30/100 | — | 17.1% | — | +1.71% | $383.0M | /roma-vs-ont → |
| BWMN Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. | C- | 60/100 | 57.8x | 53.4% | 6.2% | -0.02% | $743.7M | /bwmn-vs-ont → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001643615 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Onterris Inc. (ONT) reported GAAP revenue of $830.5M (+19.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $696.4M , and +33.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$843.0K, operating cash flow of $107.5M, and free cash flow of $91.2M (+10006.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONT closed FY2025 with $981.3M in total assets against $277.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.18, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $830.5M | -$843.0K | $107.5M | $91.2M | $981.3M | $277.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $696.4M | -$62.3M | $22.2M | $902.0K | $990.4M | $204.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $624.2M | -$30.9M | $56.0M | $56.0M | — | — |
3. ONT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ONT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Onterris Inc. (NYSE: ONT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $15.80 (+5.90% 1D, market cap $524.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ONT ranks #713 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ONT compare to RMR and KELYA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), ONT carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.3%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, RMR (The RMR Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 31.2x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $534.5M) and KELYA (Kelly Services Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $576.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RMR leads on earnings multiple (31.2x) while RMR leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONT?
Per ONT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001643615), Onterris Inc. generated $830.5M in revenue (+19.3% YoY), -$843.0K in net income, and $91.2M in free cash flow against $981.3M in total assets and $277.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ONT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ONT last traded at $15.80 (+5.90% on volume of 675,930 shares), positioning the stock +1.67% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.54) and -18.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.27). Across its 52-week range of $12.26 to $30.00, ONT sits at the 20.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($14.03 to $17.57).
ONT — Onterris Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Onterris Inc. (ONT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $15.80 (+5.90% 1D, market capitalization $524.0M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.3%, gross margin of 40.3%, operating margin of 1.4%, and free cash flow yield of 17.42%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.18, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.61x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Onterris Inc. (ONT) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Professional Services industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $524.0M. The business operates with a gross margin of 40.3%, an operating margin of 1.4%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.3% (free cash flow yield of 17.42%). Within the Professional Services peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Onterris Inc. (ONT) reported $830.5M in annual revenue (up from $696.4M in FY2024, +19.3% YoY) and -$843.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($624.2M revenue, -$30.9M net income) through FY2025, ONT scaled operating cash flow to $107.5M and free cash flow to $91.2M, backed by $981.3M in total assets against $277.1M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 17.42% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.26 – $30.00 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 30.8x EV/EBITDA against 1.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context is the Consumer Discretionary / Professional Services classification and the environmental-services headlines in the news feed.
- Key Question #1: Can ONT sustain or expand its 1.4% operating margin and 1.3% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $830.5M and free cash flow of $91.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $277.1M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ONT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
ONT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Onterris Inc. (ONT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockStory report covering Onterris Inc. (ONT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ONT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.80?
Strong 17.42% FCF yield and an 8/9 Piotroski F-Score signal solid cash generation and financial quality despite weak returns.
Don't sleep on ONT's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Strong 17.42% FCF yield and an 8/9 Piotroski F-Score signal solid cash generation and financial quality despite weak returns.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (41/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
Both sides have a point here — ONT's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
A 1.18 Altman Z-Score, 1.3% ROIC, and rising debt to $277.1M against $11.2M cash point to financial fragility.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ONT: A 1.18 Altman Z-Score, 1.3% ROIC, and rising debt to $277.1M against $11.2M cash point to financial fragility.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Professional Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.