Oscar Health Inc. (OSCR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$30.37 -1.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.24

Oscar Health Inc. (OSCR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.50B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OSCR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Oscar Health Inc. (NYSE: OSCR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $30.37 (-1.36% 1D, market cap $9.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OSCR ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OSCR compare to HSIC and CAI in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), OSCR carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HSIC (Henry Schein Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $9.63B) and CAI (Caris Life Sciences Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.4%, cap $10.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MOH leads on earnings multiple (22.0x) while MOH leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSCR?
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Per OSCR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001568651), Oscar Health Inc. generated $28.6M in revenue (+39.0% YoY), -$443.2M in net income, and $1.09B in free cash flow against $6.33B in total assets and $430.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.24 (-0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 3824.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (11)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$37 Bull$30 Base$23 Bear
📬 FREE OSCR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OSCR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OSCR SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 81% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$33.79-0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$33.66-6.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$31.35-3.1% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$30.37-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OSCR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OSCR currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($31.67) and Max Pain ($31.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OSCR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OSCR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.45>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE81% OF RANGE
L: $11$30.37H: $35
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on OSCR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 11.51% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 0.45 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (62)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OSCR
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OSCR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OSCR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OSCR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +63.54%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $30.48H $30.79L $30.37C $30.37VOL 3.51M
RES: $35.41SUP: $30.09SMA50: $31.67SMA200: $23.74
$36.46$30.44$24.42$18.40$12.38RES $35.41SUP $30.09$30.372026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OSCR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +39.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSCR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSCR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OSCR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSCR)

Health Care Rank #253 of 1016 ⚔️ HSIC vs OSCR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (OSCR vs. HSIC, CAI, MOH, GRAL)

Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oscar Health Inc. (OSCR) ranks #253 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #118 by equity capitalization ($9.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MOH leads on earnings valuation at 22.0x trailing P/E, while MOH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and 13.1% gross margin. CAI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with OSCR at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OSCR ACTIVE
Oscar Health Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — -35.0% -1.36% $9.50B Benchmark Subject
HSIC
Henry Schein Inc.
C- 60/100 23.0x 31.1% 11.2% -1.80% $9.63B /hsic-vs-oscr →
CAI
Caris Life Sciences Inc.
B 73/100 — — 4.4% -5.01% $10.21B /cai-vs-oscr →
MOH
Molina Healthcare Inc
D+ 54/100 22.0x 13.1% 17.2% +2.93% $10.39B /moh-vs-oscr →
GRAL
GRAIL Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — -18.0% -9.75% $7.10B /gral-vs-oscr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001568651

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Oscar Health Inc. (OSCR) reported GAAP revenue of $28.6M (+39.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.6M , and +33.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$443.2M, operating cash flow of $1.09B, and free cash flow of $1.09B (+11.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSCR closed FY2025 with $6.33B in total assets against $430.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.45, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $28.6M -$443.2M $1.09B $1.09B $6.33B $430.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $20.6M $25.4M $978.2M $977.3M $4.84B $299.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $21.4M -$270.7M -$272.2M -$273.1M $5.23B $1.22B

3. OSCR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OSCR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Oscar Health Inc. (NYSE: OSCR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $30.37 (-1.36% 1D, market cap $9.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OSCR ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OSCR compare to HSIC and CAI in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), OSCR carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HSIC (Henry Schein Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $9.63B) and CAI (Caris Life Sciences Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.4%, cap $10.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MOH leads on earnings multiple (22.0x) while MOH leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSCR?

Per OSCR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001568651), Oscar Health Inc. generated $28.6M in revenue (+39.0% YoY), -$443.2M in net income, and $1.09B in free cash flow against $6.33B in total assets and $430.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OSCR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OSCR last traded at $30.37 (-1.36% on volume of 3,639,145 shares), positioning the stock -4.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.67) and +27.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.74). Across its 52-week range of $10.69 to $35.01, OSCR sits at the 80.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($27.67 to $33.07).

OSCR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OSCR stock right now?

Oscar Health Inc. (OSCR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is OSCR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OSCR's 12-month base price target is $29.69 (range $23.16 to $36.76), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OSCR — Oscar Health Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OSCR scores 53 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of D+ and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 8/20, reflecting ROIC of -35% alongside an FCF yield of 11.51%; the positive FCF yield contrasts sharply with negative returns on invested capital, so an investor should weigh cash generation against value destruction on the capital base. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 11/20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, indicating only moderate institutional support. The insider conviction pillar scores 13/20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, a middling reading. The macro regime fit pillar scores 13/20, with beta of 0.97 suggesting market-like sensitivity. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 8/20, reflecting Altman Z of 0.45, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.44; the low Altman Z sits in a range that warrants caution regarding financial distress risk. Taken together, the sub-60 composite and weak fundamental and forensic pillars translate to limited margin of safety for a prospective investor evaluating the stock at current levels. Upside drivers would need to come from sustained operating improvement, and the rating frames the current setup as weak rather than compelling.

Business

Oscar Health Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Health Care sector and Medical Specialities industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Market capitalization is listed at $9.5B. Revenue reported in the SEC financials is small relative to the company's cash and cash flow figures, but the source data does not explain the business mix.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$28.6M$-396.4M$-443.2MN/A$1093.6M$2774.2M$430.1M
FY 2024$20.6M$57.3M$25.4MN/A$977.3M$1527.2M$299.6M
FY 2023$21.4M$-235.6M$-270.7MN/A$-273.1MN/A$1223.1M

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 shows an operating loss and net loss after a profitable FY 2024, with operating margin at -60% and net margin at -60% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%, and the Altman Z-Score is 0.45 and Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 0.44 per the forensic balance sheet pillar, and the SEC financials show debt of $430.1M against cash of $2774.2M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference OSCR, with headlines from Yahoo Finance, TradingView, and ChartMill. Three items are tagged CATALYST with GREEN signal, referencing a "raised 2026 outlook," "new plans roll out," and "growth surges," though the summaries are generic descriptions of market action and institutional positioning. Two items are tagged MARKET WIRE with YELLOW signal, including one headline stating the stock "sinks as market gains." Risk watch items per the feed include the stock move and valuation-related framing. The Butterfly supply-chain graph shows no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals in the sector of Health Care and industry of Medical Specialities. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. Beta of 0.97 per the market data is the only sensitivity measure supplied.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between FY 2024 net income of $25.4M and FY 2025 net loss of $-443.2M, and is the FY 2025 loss a recurring pattern?
  • Why is the EPS for each reported fiscal year listed as N/A, and what is the basis for the EPS (TTM) of -1.44?
  • What explains the swing in cash from $1527.2M to $2774.2M and the FCF of $1093.6M given negative operating income?
  • What are the company's revenue sources, given reported revenue of $28.6M against a $9.5B market capitalization?
  • What is the P/E (TTM) and EV/EBITDA, which are not available in source data?

OSCR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Oscar Health Inc. (OSCR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OSCR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OSCR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $30.37?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OSCR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OSCR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $33.25 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OSCR (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $30.79?

Welcome to the OSCR (Oscar Health Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Medical Specialities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $25.56 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $30.79

Pump the brakes on OSCR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OSCR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Oscar Health Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $38.49 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $30.79

OSCR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OSCR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical Specialities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $30.79 (52-wk range $10.69 - $35.01), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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