Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / OSK / insiders

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Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$139.94 +3.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $140.54

Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.53B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OSK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (NYSE: OSK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $139.94 (+3.45% 1D, market cap $8.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OSK ranks #216 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OSK compare to XPEV and NIO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), OSK carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.4x, gross margin of 17.5%, and ROIC of 14.4%. By comparison, XPEV (XPeng Inc. American) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.66B) and NIO (NIO Inc. American) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OSK leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while FSS leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSK?

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Per OSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000775158), Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) generated $10.42B in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $0 in net income, and $618.0M in free cash flow against $10.07B in total assets and $1.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $140.54 (+0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 5.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OSK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OSK SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.9% FCF Margin ($618.0M FCF) & 17.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.5) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$127.57+6.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$135.53+1.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$137.93+1.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$139.94+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OSK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, OSK faces multiple-compression risk if 11.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($138.69) or 200D SMA ($146.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($144.98) toward Bear Floor ($113.08).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OSK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OSK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

OSK Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (OSK)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on OSK. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OSK Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OSK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.63%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $135.3H $139.9L $135.3C $139.9VOL 1.33M

RES: $161.7SUP: $118.8SMA50: $138.7SMA200: $146.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OSK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OSK Butterfly Map → + Track OSK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

1.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OSK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #216 of 1011 ⚔️ XPEV vs OSK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OSK vs. XPEV, NIO, VFS, FSS)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) ranks #216 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #186 by equity capitalization ($8.53B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OSK leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while FSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 28.9% gross margin. OSK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OSK ACTIVE Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company)	C+	66/100	11.4x	17.5%	14.4%	+3.45%	$8.53B	Benchmark Subject
XPEV XPeng Inc. American	D	51/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-1.52%	$8.66B	/xpev-vs-osk →
NIO NIO Inc. American	E	17/100	—	13.6%	-35.0%	-3.31%	$8.04B	/nio-vs-osk →
VFS VinFast Auto Ltd.	E	32/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-4.94%	$7.65B	/vfs-vs-osk →
FSS Federal Signal Corporation	C	63/100	28.5x	28.9%	15.5%	-2.20%	$6.87B	/fss-vs-osk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000775158

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) reported GAAP revenue of $10.42B (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.73B , and +7.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $783.4M, and free cash flow of $618.0M (+129.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSK closed FY2025 with $10.07B in total assets against $1.10B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.36, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$10.42B	$0	$783.4M	$618.0M	$10.07B	$1.10B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$10.73B	$0	$550.1M	$269.1M	$9.42B	$599.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$9.66B	$0	$599.6M	$165.0M	$11.59B	$2.71B

3. OSK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OSK compare to XPEV and NIO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSK?

Where is OSK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OSK last traded at $139.94 (+3.45% on volume of 1,326,434 shares), positioning the stock +0.90% above its 50-day simple moving average ($138.69) and -4.28% below its 200-day simple moving average ($146.19). Across its 52-week range of $116.77 to $180.49, OSK sits at the 36.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($129.86 to $150.02).

OSK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are OSK insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies OSK leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: OSK RQD Cockpit OSK 12M Forecast OSK Earnings & Move OSK Dividends & DRIP OSK Insiders & 13F OSK Whale Options OSK Profit Sankey OSK News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OSK — Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OSK scores 64 out of 100, earning a letter grade of C and the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16 of 20 (ROIC 14.4%; FCF yield 7.4%), Whale 13F Flow at 9 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 17 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9 of 20 (Beta 1.05; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 of 20 (Altman Z 3.36; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.24).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is insider conviction, which is the highest-weighted reading in the rating, alongside a cash engine that the rating credits with a 7.4% FCF yield. The weakest pillars are whale 13F flow and macro regime fit, each at 9 of 20, indicating that institutional positioning and sector sensitivity are not supportive in the rating's framework. The balance sheet scores moderately well, with leverage described by a 0.24 Debt/Equity ratio and an Altman Z of 3.36. Upside drivers in this framework are the cash generation and insider activity; valuation tradeoffs sit against a moderate macro-sensitivity profile. The overall verdict is balanced rather than decisive, which suggests the rating does not view the risk-reward as clearly favorable at the current price.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
135.27	$8.35B	11.4	10.6	8.3	11.87	1.56%	1.05	$116.77 - $180.49	14.4%

Business

Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) common stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker OSK. Per the profile, the company operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector within the Auto Manufacturing industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond this classification. Market capitalization is reported at $8.4B in the profile and $8.35B in market data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$10422.3M	$939.5M	$0.0M	N/A	$618.0M	$479.8M	$1100.3M
FY 2024	$10730.2M	$1010.7M	$0.0M	N/A	$269.1M	$204.9M	$599.5M
FY 2023	$9657.9M	$837.6M	$0.0M	N/A	$165.0M	N/A	$2711.9M

Per the SEC financials, revenue moved from $9657.9M in FY 2023 to $10730.2M in FY 2024 and then to $10422.3M in FY 2025, while operating income ran $837.6M, $1010.7M, and $939.5M across the same periods. Per the market data, gross margin is 17.5%, operating margin 9%, and net margin 7%, with ROIC at 14.4%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.36 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 9, both per the RQD rating. Debt declined from $2711.9M in FY 2023 to $599.5M in FY 2024 before rising to $1100.3M in FY 2025, and FY 2025 FCF of $618.0M is the highest of the three reported periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the single headline is "Oshkosh Defense Begins Production of First DXPV Prototype for Netherlands Ministry of Defence," attributed to Oshkosh Defense, published one hour before the data timestamp, and flagged with a yellow light and a "MARKET WIRE" impact label. The summary is generic and provides no quantified impact. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain dependencies or proprietary signals are recorded for OSK.

Open Questions

What products and end markets generate OSK's revenue, and how is that mix reflected in the reported segments?
Why are net income and EPS reported as $0.0M and N/A across all three periods, while operating income is positive?
What is the source of the FY 2023 cash gap, and what drove the swing in debt from $2711.9M to $599.5M and back to $1100.3M?
What is the scope and size of the Netherlands defense prototype program relative to total company revenue?
What is the current analyst consensus, price target range, and institutional or insider ownership breakdown?

OSK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OSK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Oshkosh Defense • 16h ago

Oshkosh Defense Begins Production of First DXPV Prototype for Netherlands Ministry of Defence

Oshkosh Defense report covering Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 19h ago

Oshkosh Defense and Grid Aero Announce Strategic Partnership

OSHKOSH, Wis., November 02, 2026--Oshkosh Defense, an Oshkosh Corporation [NYSE: OSK] company, and Grid Aero, a Silicon Valley-based autonomous aircraft company, today announced a strategic partnership to bring cutting-e

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 23h ago

Oshkosh Defense And Grid Aero Partner To Bring Autonomous Modular Payload Aircraft Technology Into Production-Ready Reality For America's Defense Needs

Collaboration Pairs Silicon Valley Innovation with Midwest Manufacturing Excellence to Deliver Advanced Autonomous Logistics CapabilitiesOshkosh Defense, an Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) company, and Grid Aero, a

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 2d ago

OSK Q3 deep dive: fire truck production headwinds and backlog growth shape outlook

Specialty vehicles contractor Oshkosh (NYSE:OSK) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q3 2026, but sales rose 5.7% year on year to $2.84 billion. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $11 billion at t

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 2d ago

Oshkosh (OSK) Stock Cheers Q3 Results Despite Lower EPS Outlook

Oshkosh just dropped its Q3 2026 scorecard and the trading floor liked the headline. The stock closed at US$139.94, up 3.5% on the day, as investors latched onto raised free cash flow guidance of US$600 million to US$700

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 3d ago

JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Oshkosh, Raises Price Target to $145

JP Morgan analyst Tami Zakaria maintains Oshkosh (NYSE:OSK) with a Neutral and raises the price target from $132 to $145.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 3d ago

Truist Securities Reiterates Buy on Oshkosh, Lowers Price Target to $161

Truist Securities analyst Jamie Cook reiterates Oshkosh (NYSE:OSK) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $174 to $161.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 3d ago

Why Did Caterpillar Stock Fall?

For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OSK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $139.94?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OSK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $146.09 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OSK (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $135.27?

Welcome to the OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $106.86 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $135.27

Pump the brakes on OSK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OSK, but look at what you are paying: 11.4x trailing P/E with 17.5% gross margins. Unless Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $154.21 (+14.0%)

Spot @ $135.27

OSK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OSK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $135.27 (52-wk range $116.77 - $180.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.