OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$25.66 +27.35% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.98

OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (74% profit margin, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $742.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ: OSPN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $25.66 (+27.35% 1D, market cap $742.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, OSPN ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OSPN compare to TASK and PLTK in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), OSPN carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 73.8%, and ROIC of 19.0%. By comparison, TASK (TaskUs Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $743.6M) and PLTK (Playtika Holding Corp.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.3%, cap $751.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TASK leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while YEXT leads on capital efficiency (34.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSPN?
β–Ό

Per OSPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001044777), OneSpan Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+0.0% YoY), $72.9M in net income, and $50.5M in free cash flow against $397.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.98 (+5.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 20.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510071
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$32 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE OSPN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OSPN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY OSPN SCORES 71/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.8% FCF Margin ($50.5M FCF) & 73.8% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (53.6) create a -7 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$17.85-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$17.63+16.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$20.60+24.6% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$25.66+6.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ B- (71)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OSPN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, OSPN faces multiple-compression risk if 10.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 71.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.90) or 200D SMA ($14.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($27.16) toward Bear Floor ($21.04).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OSPNβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œOSPN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

OSPN Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (OSPN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on OSPN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OSPN Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OSPN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +115.09%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $20.08H $25.66L $20.08C $25.66VOL 963.7K
RES: $22.30SUP: $17.89SMA50: $17.90SMA200: $14.10
$28.61$23.81$19.02$14.23$9.43RES $22.30SUP $17.89$25.662026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OSPN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSPN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSPN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OSPN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSPN)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (OSPN vs. TASK, PLTK, NRDS, YEXT)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) ranks #87 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #387 by equity capitalization ($742.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TASK leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while YEXT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.1% ROIC and 74.5% gross margin. NRDS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with OSPN at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OSPN ACTIVE
OneSpan Inc.
B- 71/100 10.2x 73.8% 19.0% +27.35% $742.6M Benchmark Subject
TASK
TaskUs Inc. (Class A)
C+ 68/100 7.3x β€” 18.3% +2.34% $743.6M /task-vs-ospn β†’
PLTK
Playtika Holding Corp.
E 28/100 β€” 72.5% -0.3% +0.51% $751.4M /pltk-vs-ospn β†’
NRDS
NerdWallet Inc. (Class A)
B+ 78/100 14.9x 92.4% 18.6% -1.50% $725.5M /nrds-vs-ospn β†’
YEXT
Yext Inc.
B- 71/100 19.0x 74.5% 34.1% -1.64% $723.5M /yext-vs-ospn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001044777

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) reported GAAP revenue of $243.2M (+0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $243.2M , and +3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $72.9M, operating cash flow of $59.5M, and free cash flow of $50.5M (+8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSPN closed FY2025 with $397.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.47, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $243.2M $72.9M $59.5M $50.5M $397.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $243.2M $57.1M $55.7M $46.4M $338.7M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $235.1M -$29.8M -$10.7M -$10.7M β€” β€”

3. OSPN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OSPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ: OSPN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $25.66 (+27.35% 1D, market cap $742.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, OSPN ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OSPN compare to TASK and PLTK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), OSPN carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 73.8%, and ROIC of 19.0%. By comparison, TASK (TaskUs Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $743.6M) and PLTK (Playtika Holding Corp.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.3%, cap $751.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TASK leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while YEXT leads on capital efficiency (34.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSPN?

Per OSPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001044777), OneSpan Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+0.0% YoY), $72.9M in net income, and $50.5M in free cash flow against $397.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OSPN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OSPN last traded at $25.66 (+27.35% on volume of 3,760,750 shares), positioning the stock +43.35% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.90) and +81.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.10). Across its 52-week range of $10.07 to $27.45, OSPN sits at the 89.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.4% ($23.25 to $28.07).

OSPN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are OSPN insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies OSPN leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 71/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OSPN β€” OneSpan Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OSPN scores 71 / 100 (letter grade B-), labeled "Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 19% and an FCF yield of 6.8%. Investor implication: the business converts capital into returns at a level the rating treats as solid, and the FCF yield offers a cash-based reference point against the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. Investor implication: institutional interest is present but scored below the top of the range, so it is a supportive rather than dominant signal.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Investor implication: insider-side activity is the highest-scoring element of the rating, which is a potential upside driver if it persists, but the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. Investor implication: the stock is scored as moving broadly in line with the market, so it offers neither a defensive profile nor an outsized macro bet.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 5.47, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Investor implication: the balance-sheet screens are favorable, supporting the view that financial stress is not a primary concern.

Valuation tradeoff: per the market data, the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 10.2 and a forward P/E of 9.5, which is low relative to the earnings base, but EV/EBITDA of 12 and the wide 52-week range ($10.07 - $27.45) indicate the price has moved substantially within the past year. Prospective investors should weigh the low multiples against that volatility and the fact that the rating's insider and institutional pillars are not fully explained by the source data.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
20.15$742.6M10.29.5121.982.49%1.0$10.07 - $27.4519%

Business

Per the profile, OneSpan Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, classified under EDP Services. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 73.8%, an operating margin of 19.9%, and a net margin of 30%. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the six headlines are all tagged to OSPN and come from Yahoo Finance, Seeking Alpha, and Investing.com. Catalyst-tagged items reference a Rosenblatt price-target increase tied to a guidance boost (Investing.com, flagged GREEN), and several articles describe institutional positioning and fundamental catalysts in general terms. A Seeking Alpha piece titled "Muted Growth Prevents A Re-Rating" is flagged GREEN as a catalyst item, and another Seeking Alpha piece states that positives have been priced in, which points to a risk watch item regarding valuation. Two market-wire items are flagged YELLOW. The source summaries are generic and do not disclose the specific contents of the reports. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals are recorded, so no supply-chain dependency can be assessed from the source data. Sector context is limited to the Technology / EDP Services classification. The source data contains no sector correlation figures. Watch items for an investor are therefore constrained to the company's own figures: the decline in cash from $83.2M to $70.5M and the flat revenue line.

Open Questions

  • What specific transactions underlie the 17/20 insider conviction score, and over what time window?
  • What is the composition of the 13F institutional holders and the options positioning behind the 13/20 whale flow score?
  • Why does FY 2025 net income ($72.9M) exceed operating income ($48.4M), and what drove it?
  • What drove the decline in cash from $83.2M to $70.5M, and what is the debt balance (reported as N/A)?
  • What did the guidance boost referenced in the Rosenblatt price-target item consist of, and what is the current analyst consensus?

OSPN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to OSPN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OSPN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $25.66?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OSPN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OSPN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.78 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OSPN (B- β€’ RQD 71/100) a Buy at $20.15?

Welcome to the OSPN (OneSpan Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation) in EDP Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.11 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $20.15

Pump the brakes on OSPN β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OSPN, but look at what you are paying: 10.2x trailing P/E with 73.8% gross margins. Unless OneSpan Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.79 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $20.15

OSPN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OSPN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $20.15 (52-wk range $10.07 - $27.45), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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