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Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$91.51 +1.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $91.94

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.79B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OTTR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OTTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ: OTTR) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $91.51 (+1.28% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, OTTR ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OTTR compare to ELC and PAM in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), OTTR carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.5%. By comparison, ELC (Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.87B) and PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OTTR?
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Per OTTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001466593), Otter Tail Corporation generated $1.30B in revenue (-2.0% YoY), $275.9M in net income, and $386.0M in free cash flow against $3.96B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $91.94 (+0.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 29.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (13)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$114 Bull$97 Base$75 Bear
📬 FREE OTTR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OTTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OTTR SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 29.6% FCF Margin ($386.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$89.04+0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$89.86+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$90.47+1.1% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$91.51+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OTTR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, OTTR faces multiple-compression risk if 13.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($89.37) or 200D SMA ($88.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($96.86) toward Bear Floor ($75.04).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OTTR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OTTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your OTTR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $91.51: 109.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $75.04
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $96.86
$10,585
+$585 (+5.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $114.29
$12,489
+$2,489 (+24.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$10174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$10769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$8658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OTTR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
OTTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.02%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $90.42H $91.51L $90.35C $91.51VOL 200.0K
RES: $91.56SUP: $87.91SMA50: $89.37SMA200: $88.85
$95.95$92.37$88.79$85.21$81.63RES $91.56SUP $87.91$91.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OTTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OTTR Butterfly Map → + Track OTTR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
5.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OTTR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OTTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OTTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OTTR)

Utilities Rank #10 of 116 ⚔️ ELC vs OTTR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (OTTR vs. ELC, PAM, TAC, AQN)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #64 by equity capitalization ($3.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTTR leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while OTTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and — gross margin. OTTR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OTTR ACTIVE
Otter Tail Corporation
B- 71/100 13.8x — 18.5% +1.28% $3.79B Benchmark Subject
ELC
Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066
D- 43/100 — — — -0.11% $3.87B /elc-vs-ottr →
PAM
Pampa Energia S.A.
D 45/100 — — — -3.95% $3.96B /pam-vs-ottr →
TAC
TransAlta Corporation
D+ 52/100 — — — -1.62% $4.10B /tac-vs-ottr →
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
C 62/100 23.1x — 3.7% +2.75% $4.20B /aqn-vs-ottr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001466593 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.30B (-2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.33B , and -3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $275.9M, operating cash flow of $386.0M, and free cash flow of $386.0M (-14.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, OTTR closed FY2025 with $3.96B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.30B $275.9M $386.0M $386.0M $3.96B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.33B $301.7M $452.7M $452.7M $3.65B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.35B $294.2M $404.5M $404.5M — —

3. OTTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OTTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ: OTTR) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $91.51 (+1.28% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, OTTR ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OTTR compare to ELC and PAM in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), OTTR carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.5%. By comparison, ELC (Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.87B) and PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OTTR?

Per OTTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001466593), Otter Tail Corporation generated $1.30B in revenue (-2.0% YoY), $275.9M in net income, and $386.0M in free cash flow against $3.96B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OTTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OTTR last traded at $91.51 (+1.28% on volume of 198,904 shares), positioning the stock +2.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($89.37) and +2.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($88.85). Across its 52-week range of $74.15 to $95.09, OTTR sits at the 82.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.9% ($88.86 to $94.16).

Direct Sub-Reports: OTTR RQD Cockpit OTTR 12M Forecast OTTR Earnings & Move OTTR Dividends & DRIP OTTR Insiders & 13F OTTR Whale Options OTTR Profit Sankey OTTR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OTTR — Otter Tail Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $91.51 (+1.28% 1D, market capitalization $3.79B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 18.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 26.5%, and free cash flow yield of 10.17%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Electric Utilities: Central industry (Utilities sector) with an equity market capitalization of $3.79B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 26.5%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 18.5% (free cash flow yield of 10.17%). Within the Electric Utilities: Central peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) reported $1.30B in annual revenue (up from $1.33B in FY2024, -2.0% YoY) and $275.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.35B revenue, $294.2M net income) through FY2025, OTTR scaled operating cash flow to $386.0M and free cash flow to $386.0M, backed by $3.96B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 71/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $74.15 – $95.09 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 13.8x trailing P/E and 9.9x EV/EBITDA against 26.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The only sector-level context provided is the Utilities classification and the Electric Utilities: Central industry label.

  • Key Question #1: Can OTTR sustain or expand its 26.5% operating margin and 18.5% ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.30B and free cash flow of $386.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OTTR's 12.8x forward P/E multiple to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OTTR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OTTR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OTTR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $91.51?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OTTR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OTTR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $110.23 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OTTR's 18.5% ROIC and 10.17% FCF yield support a strong cash engine alongside a 17/20 insider conviction s

Picked up a starter position in OTTR in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $90.35. Per the Roarable RQD rating, OTTR's 18.5% ROIC and 10.17% FCF yield support a strong cash engine alongside a 17/20 insider conviction score.. Trading inside a $74.15–$95.09 52-week range with 10.17% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Electric Utilities: Central multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — OTTR's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $76.80 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $90.35

Per the RQD forensic pillar and SEC financials, OTTR's balance sheet scores only 10/20, and revenue and net income have declined from F

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on OTTR: Per the RQD forensic pillar and SEC financials, OTTR's balance sheet scores only 10/20, and revenue and net income have declined from FY 2023 to FY 2025.. At 13.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Electric Utilities: Central triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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