Why OXLC Stock dropped -2.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$6.43 -2.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.39

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.15B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OXLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: OXLC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $6.43 (-2.58% 1D, market cap $1.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OXLC ranks #877 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OXLC compare to ETW and RPC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), OXLC carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ETW (Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.05B) and RPC (Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 52.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $1.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSBD leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while RPC leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXLC?
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For Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #877 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.39 (-0.65%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
$17 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE OXLC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OXLC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OXLC SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.8% FCF Margin ($32.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$8.60-12.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$7.54-12.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$6.63-3% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$6.43-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OXLC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OXLC currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.61) and Max Pain ($6.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OXLC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OXLC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why OXLC Stock dropped -2.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) dropped -2.58% to $6.43, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.29 – $15.87). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.29 – $15.87) with RSI-14 at 20.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.2% around $6.43 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $32.1M annual free cash flow.
Live OXLC Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OXLC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OXLC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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OXLC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.59%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $6.58H $6.60L $6.43C $6.43VOL 1.44M
RES: $9.57SUP: $6.65SMA50: $8.61SMA200: $9.45
$14.43$12.23$10.02$7.81$5.61RES $9.57SUP $6.65$6.432026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OXLC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OXLC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OXLC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OXLC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OXLC)

Financials Rank #877 of 1096 ⚔️ ETW vs OXLC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OXLC vs. ETW, RPC, GSBD, FMN)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) ranks #877 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #527 by equity capitalization ($1.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSBD leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while RPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and — gross margin. RPC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with OXLC at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OXLC ACTIVE
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
D- 43/100 — — — -2.58% $1.15B Benchmark Subject
ETW
Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of
D 50/100 — — — -2.41% $1.05B /etw-vs-oxlc →
RPC
Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 52.5x — 13.8% -0.75% $1.02B /rpc-vs-oxlc →
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC Inc.
D+ 52/100 8.6x — 8.4% -1.43% $1.02B /gsbd-vs-oxlc →
FMN
Federated Hermes Premier Municipal Income Fund
D 46/100 — — — +0.29% $903.1M /fmn-vs-oxlc →

2. OXLC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) operates in Investment Managers (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $1.15B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. OXLC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OXLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: OXLC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $6.43 (-2.58% 1D, market cap $1.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OXLC ranks #877 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OXLC compare to ETW and RPC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), OXLC carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ETW (Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.05B) and RPC (Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 52.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $1.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSBD leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while RPC leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXLC?

For Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #877 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OXLC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OXLC last traded at $6.43 (-2.58% on volume of 1,794,315 shares), positioning the stock -25.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.61) and -31.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.45). Across its 52-week range of $6.29 to $15.87, OXLC sits at the 1.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 20.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($5.97 to $6.89).

OXLC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is OXLC stock moving today?

Why OXLC Stock dropped -2.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OXLC — Oxford Lane Capital Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:13:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OXLC scores 43 out of 100 with a letter grade of D- and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 11/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow scores 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction scores 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit scores 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are institutional flow and cash generation. The rating reports zero ROIC and zero FCF yield, which means the current source data shows no measurable return on invested capital or free cash generation to support the valuation. The balance sheet pillar is the relative strength: an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6 out of 9 indicate a moderate, not distressed, financial position, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 is reported. Upside drivers in this framework would need to come from improving cash generation or a reversal in institutional flow, neither of which the source data quantifies. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. Second-order risk comes from the combination of a 0% dividend yield in market data, a 52-week range of $6.29 to $15.87 with the current price at $6.6, and a flow-weak rating; price is near the bottom of its reported range.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the most recent item (1h ago) is a Yahoo Finance headline, "Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Prices Preferred Stock Offering," flagged YELLOW under MARKET WIRE. A 24/7 Wall St. item (3h ago), "A 29.4% Yield and a History of Cuts: 3 Dividend Stocks Worth a Closer Look," is flagged RED under RISK WATCH. A Seeking Alpha item (6h ago), "OXLC: Income Investors Delight As Another Distribution Cut Comes Within Sight," is flagged RED under RISK WATCH. A TradingView item (9h ago), "Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Estimates – NASDAQ:OXLC," is flagged YELLOW under MARKET WIRE. A GuruFocus item (12h ago) reports that Eagle Point Credit Management LLC added 687,060 shares of Oxford, flagged YELLOW under MARKET WIRE. A MarketBeat item (15h ago), "Oxford Lane Capital (NASDAQ:OXLC) Stock Falls 4.6% - Should You Sell?", is flagged RED under RISK WATCH.

Per the feed, three of six items are RED-flagged risk watch items centered on yield and distribution cuts and a reported 4.6% decline. Per the GuruFocus item, one holder added 687,060 shares. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is reported as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are not available in source data. Sector correlations are not available in source data beyond the Financials / Investment Managers classification and Beta of 1.0. Second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. A prospective investor should monitor the distribution-cut and yield headlines in the news feed as the most directly referenced risk theme, since those items are the only ripple-type signals in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's reported revenue, operating income, and net income for recent periods? The financials section is reported as NONE.
  • What are the current P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA multiples, which are reported as not available in source data?
  • What is the basis for the reported 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and do they reflect a true zero or missing data?
  • What distribution or dividend policy changes are referenced in the news feed, and what is the current dividend status given a reported 0% dividend yield?
  • What is the composition and size of institutional and insider ownership, given that holders and analyst data are both NONE?

OXLC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OXLC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OXLC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.43?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OXLC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OXLC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.81 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OXLC (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $6.60?

Welcome to the OXLC (Oxford Lane Capital Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.21 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $6.60

Pump the brakes on OXLC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OXLC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Oxford Lane Capital Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.85 (+18.9%)
Spot @ $6.60

OXLC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OXLC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.60 (52-wk range $6.29 - $15.87), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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