OKE (64) CVE (68) FANG (68) DVN (80) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$64.00 +1.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.06

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $62.99B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OXY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OXY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: OXY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $64.00 (+1.57% 1D, market cap $62.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OXY ranks #55 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OXY compare to OKE and CVE in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OXY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.3%. By comparison, OKE (ONEOK Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $60.41B) and CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $60.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXY?

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Per OXY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000797468), Occidental Petroleum Corporation generated $21.57B in revenue (-5.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $4.11B in free cash flow against $84.19B in total assets and $20.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.06 (+0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 19% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OXY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OXY SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 88% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 14.1% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$61.65+2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$62.92-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$62.73+2% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$64.00+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OXY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, OXY faces multiple-compression risk if 26.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.27) or 200D SMA ($56.27) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($66.59) toward Bear Floor ($51.94).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OXY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OXY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±4.4%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OXY)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OXY.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating OXY & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on OXY
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OXY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.19%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $62.86H $64.00L $62.86C $64.00VOL 7.05M

RES: $65.20SUP: $55.48SMA50: $60.27SMA200: $56.27

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OXY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OXY Butterfly Map → + Track OXY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

20.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OXY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OXY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OXY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OXY)

Energy Rank #55 of 211 ⚔️ OKE vs OXY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OXY vs. OKE, CVE, FANG, DVN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) ranks #55 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #28 by equity capitalization ($62.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OKE leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while DVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with OXY at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OXY ACTIVE Occidental Petroleum Corporation	C+	67/100	26.9x	—	4.3%	+1.57%	$62.99B	Benchmark Subject
OKE ONEOK Inc.	C	64/100	17.8x	30.5%	8.5%	+1.31%	$60.41B	/oke-vs-oxy →
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc	C+	68/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.87%	$60.24B	/cve-vs-oxy →
FANG Diamondback Energy Inc.	C+	68/100	37.4x	—	2.0%	+2.74%	$57.81B	/fang-vs-oxy →
DVN Devon Energy Corporation	B+	80/100	21.3x	—	11.8%	+1.92%	$56.29B	/dvn-vs-oxy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000797468

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) reported GAAP revenue of $21.57B (-5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.71B , and -7.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $10.53B, and free cash flow of $4.11B (-20.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, OXY closed FY2025 with $84.19B in total assets against $20.62B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.66, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$21.57B	$0	$10.53B	$4.11B	$84.19B	$20.62B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$22.71B	$0	$11.44B	$5.18B	$85.44B	$24.98B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$23.23B	$4.70B	$12.31B	$11.26B	$34.64B	$8.11B

3. OXY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OXY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OXY compare to OKE and CVE in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXY?

Where is OXY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OXY last traded at $64.00 (+1.57% on volume of 9,115,563 shares), positioning the stock +6.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($60.27) and +13.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($56.27). Across its 52-week range of $38.80 to $67.45, OXY sits at the 88.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($61.18 to $66.82).

OXY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is OXY's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for OXY.

Direct Sub-Reports: OXY RQD Cockpit OXY 12M Forecast OXY Earnings & Move OXY Dividends & DRIP OXY Insiders & 13F OXY Whale Options OXY Profit Sankey OXY News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OXY — Occidental Petroleum Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OXY scores 67 out of 100 (letter grade C+; verdict: Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout). Its five pillars are uneven:

Fundamental Cash Engine (9 / 20): The weakest-leaning cash signal. The rating cites ROIC of 4.3% and an FCF yield of 6.52%. Low ROIC relative to the company's $62.99B market capitalization suggests that capital deployed is generating modest returns, which is a valuation tradeoff: the market is pricing in a lot of future earnings relative to current returns on invested capital.
Whale 13F Flow (17 / 20): A strong pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning as described in the rating. Institutional demand is a supportive upside driver, though the source does not itemize the specific holders (see Analyst View section).
Insider Conviction (14 / 20): A moderate pillar based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Positive but not exceptional conviction signal.
Macro Regime Fit (17 / 20): Per the rating, beta is 1.1 and sector sensitivity is a factor. The stock is slightly more volatile than the market, so it tends to amplify both sector upswings and downswings.
Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): A middling pillar. The rating cites Altman Z of 1.66, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.57. An Altman Z in this range sits in the zone the rating treats as a caution, meaning balance-sheet strength is a legitimate risk to weigh alongside the cash-flow and flow signals.

Taken together, the rating reads as a stock with strong flow support but a fundamental cash engine and balance sheet that have not yet caught up. The "Watch for Breakout" label implies the investment case depends on whether cash returns improve. For a prospective investor, the key question is whether the strong institutional and insider flow can persist while ROIC and balance-sheet metrics improve. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
63.01	$62.99B	26.9	25	9.6	2.35	0%	1.1	$38.8 - $67.45	4.3%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$21569.0M	$3036.9M	$0.0M	N/A	$4105.0M	$1968.0M	$20623.0M
FY 2024	$22710.0M	$6268.5M	$0.0M	N/A	$5176.0M	$2125.0M	$24978.0M
FY 2023	$23230.0M	$5541.3M	$4696.0M	N/A	$11262.6M	N/A	$8106.4M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $23230.0M (FY 2023) to $21569.0M (FY 2025), and operating income fell from $6268.5M (FY 2024) to $3036.9M (FY 2025). Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9% and net margin is 10.9%, with ROIC at 4.3%. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 1.66 and a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.57. Debt in the SEC financials is reported at $20623.0M for FY 2025, down from $24978.0M in FY 2024. Note that the FY 2025 and FY 2024 net income values are reported as $0.0M while the EPS column is N/A, so the period-level profitability picture is incomplete in the source.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items relate to OXY, all from aggregator and wire sources:

Market-wire coverage (YELLOW): Yahoo! Finance Canada and Yahoo Finance items cover market action and institutional positioning, with no specific event detailed in the summaries.
Analyst action (GREEN, catalyst): A Seeking Alpha item reports Roth raising OXY to Buy, framed as one of the better ways to play oil upside.
Institutional activity (GREEN, catalyst): A MarketBeat item reports a holder sale by Curated Wealth Partners LLC.
Valuation screen (YELLOW): A TradingView item lists OXY among value stocks with attractive EV-to-EBITDA ratios.
Earnings estimates (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance item headlines surging earnings estimates as a signal of upside.

Risk watch items: the holder sale and the declining revenue and operating income in the SEC financials are the main points of caution. The butterfly supply-chain graph contains no links or proprietary signals (see next section).

Open Questions

What drives the decline in FY 2025 operating income ($6268.5M to $3036.9M) and revenue ($22710.0M to $21569.0M)?
Why are FY 2025 and FY 2024 net income reported as $0.0M while FY 2023 shows $4696.0M, and why is EPS N/A for all periods?
What are the specific holders behind the institutional accumulation credited in the 13F pillar, and what is the size of the Curated Wealth Partners sale?
What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, and does the Roth upgrade fit within a broader analyst distribution?
What is the company's specific product mix and customer base that would allow the sector sensitivity to be assessed?

OXY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OXY Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 7h ago

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 10h ago

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Yahoo Finance report covering Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 13h ago

Occidental Petroleum raised to Buy at Roth as one of better ways to play oil upside (OXY:NYSE)

Seeking Alpha report covering Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 16h ago

Occidental Petroleum Corporation $OXY Stock Sold by Curated Wealth Partners LLC

MarketBeat report covering Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 19h ago

5 Value Stocks With Attractive EV-to-EBITDA Ratios to Scoop Up

TradingView report covering Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Surging Earnings Estimates Signal Upside for Occidental (OXY) Stock

Yahoo Finance report covering Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Occidental Petroleum points to higher energy prices impacting Q3 results (NYSE:OXY)

Seeking Alpha report covering Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) Stock Sees Heavy Call Option Buying

MarketBeat report covering Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OXY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $64.00?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OXY 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $68.05 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OXY (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $63.01?

Welcome to the OXY (Occidental Petroleum Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $52.93 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $63.01

Pump the brakes on OXY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OXY, but look at what you are paying: 26.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Occidental Petroleum Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $74.98 (+19.0%)

Spot @ $63.01

OXY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OXY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $63.01 (52-wk range $38.80 - $67.45), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.