Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. (PACB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.61 -10.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.56

Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. (PACB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $901.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PACB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PACB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. (NASDAQ: PACB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.61 (-10.17% 1D, market cap $901.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, PACB ranks #432 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PACB compare to CTKB and NAUT in the Health Care sector?
▼

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments), PACB carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CTKB (Cytek Biosciences Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.7%, cap $818.9M) and NAUT (Nautilus Biotechnology Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $399.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PACB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTKB leads on capital efficiency (-12.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACB?
▼

Per PACB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001299130), Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. generated $160.0M in revenue (+3.9% YoY), -$546.4M in net income, and -$113.9M in free cash flow against $784.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.56 (-2.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (16)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.1% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE PACB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PACB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PACB SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 28.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$2.10-12.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$1.84+22.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$2.25+16% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$2.61-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PACB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PACB currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.86) and Max Pain ($2.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PACB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PACB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.33 Expected Swing
$2.28 (-12.5%)Spot $2.61$2.94 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PACB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 44/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (44/100)Model Risk Weight (56/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$160.0M-$546.4M-$113.9M28.6%
FY 20242024-12-31$154.0M-$309.9M-$212.2M24.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$306.7M-$259.2M28.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PACB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PACB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PACB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +68.39%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $2.83H $2.90L $2.61C $2.61VOL 11.97M
RES: $3.81SUP: $1.05SMA50: $1.86SMA200: $1.61
$3.61$2.92$2.23$1.54$0.86RES $3.81SUP $1.05$2.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PACB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PACB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PACB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PACB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PACB)

Health Care Rank #432 of 1016 ⚔️ CTKB vs PACB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (PACB vs. CTKB, NAUT, ALMR, LAB)

Industry: Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. (PACB) ranks #432 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #376 by equity capitalization ($901.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PACB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CTKB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.7% ROIC and 51.8% gross margin. ALMR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with PACB at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PACB ACTIVE
Pacific Biosciences of California Inc.
D 44/100 — 28.6% -35.0% -10.17% $901.4M Benchmark Subject
CTKB
Cytek Biosciences Inc.
D 45/100 — 51.8% -12.7% -2.70% $818.9M /ctkb-vs-pacb →
NAUT
Nautilus Biotechnology Inc.
D- 43/100 — — -35.0% -13.06% $399.9M /naut-vs-pacb →
ALMR
Alamar Biosciences Inc.
C- 61/100 — — — -10.11% $2.36B /almr-vs-pacb →
LAB
Standard BioTools Inc.
E 27/100 — 49.9% -28.7% -1.61% $244.7M /lab-vs-pacb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001299130

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. (PACB) reported GAAP revenue of $160.0M (+3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $154.0M ) , GAAP net income of -$546.4M, operating cash flow of -$111.2M, and free cash flow of -$113.9M (+46.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PACB closed FY2025 with $784.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $160.0M -$546.4M -$111.2M -$113.9M $784.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $154.0M -$309.9M -$206.1M -$212.2M $1.26B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$306.7M -$259.2M -$259.2M — —

3. PACB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PACB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. (NASDAQ: PACB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.61 (-10.17% 1D, market cap $901.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, PACB ranks #432 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PACB compare to CTKB and NAUT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments), PACB carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CTKB (Cytek Biosciences Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.7%, cap $818.9M) and NAUT (Nautilus Biotechnology Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $399.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PACB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTKB leads on capital efficiency (-12.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACB?

Per PACB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001299130), Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. generated $160.0M in revenue (+3.9% YoY), -$546.4M in net income, and -$113.9M in free cash flow against $784.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PACB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PACB last traded at $2.61 (-10.17% on volume of 13,737,065 shares), positioning the stock +40.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.86) and +62.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.61). Across its 52-week range of $1.07 to $3.44, PACB sits at the 65.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.28 to $2.94).

PACB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PACB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. (PACB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PACB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for PACB, spanning a range between $2.28 and $2.94.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PACB — Pacific Biosciences of California Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PACB scores 44 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -12.64%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is currently consuming cash relative to its market value rather than generating it, which removes the cash-flow support that typically anchors valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar and indicates some institutional interest, which is a potential upside driver, though the source data does not itemize the holders behind it.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score is the weakest signal in the rating and suggests insider activity is not supportive of the stock.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock moves in line with the broad market, so it offers no defensive cushion in a downturn.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The weak Piotroski reading points to deteriorating financial quality, though leverage itself is moderate.

Taken together, the valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a $901.4M market capitalization against sustained operating losses, so upside depends on a turnaround in cash generation that the current data does not yet show. The main upside driver is the institutional positioning pillar; the main downside risk is the combination of negative FCF yield and weak forensic scores.

Business

Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. (PACB) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments, per the company profile. The source data does not detail its product lines, customer base, or revenue model beyond reported revenue. The profile identifies its market capitalization as $0.9B. Revenue reported in the SEC financials was $160.0M for FY 2025.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$160.0M$-553.9M$-546.4MN/A$-113.9M$63.7MN/A
FY 2024$154.0M$-474.3M$-309.9MN/A$-212.2M$55.4MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-334.5M$-306.7MN/A$-259.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in each period shown, with operating income of $-553.9M in FY 2025. Per the market data, operating margin and net margin are both -60% and gross margin is 28.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%, and the forensic inputs are an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Cash rose from $55.4M to $63.7M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while free cash flow remained negative in every period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the catalysts consist of market-wire coverage from Yahoo Finance, CNN, StockInvest.us, TradingView, and Investing.com, each tagged with a YELLOW signal. The headlines describe the stock declining more than the market, a Pacific Biosciences CFO reporting a $2.05m stock sale, and PacBio shares trading up on a given day. Per the news feed, these items are general market coverage rather than company-specific fundamental announcements, and the source data does not describe the underlying events.

Risk watch items include the CFO stock sale, which is an insider-selling signal, and the recent 52-week decline toward the low end of the range. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, there are no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-sector correlations. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means the sector sensitivity referenced in the RQD Macro Regime pillar is not traced to specific counterparties in this dataset.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's revenue drivers and customer concentration, given that the source data provides only aggregate reported revenue?
  • What is the path to positive free cash flow, given negative FCF in all three reported periods?
  • What is the composition of the institutional holders behind the 16/20 whale flow score, since the holders section is empty?
  • What do the CFO stock sale and the insider flow score imply about management's view of the business?
  • What drives the gap between the $63.7M cash balance and the reported debt, which is not disclosed in the source data?

PACB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. (PACB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PACB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PACB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.61?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PACB 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PACB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.55 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PACB (D • RQD 44/100) a Buy at $2.90?

Welcome to the PACB (Pacific Biosciences of California Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.38 (-17.9%)
Spot @ $2.90

Pump the brakes on PACB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PACB, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 28.6% gross margins. Unless Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.65 (+25.9%)
Spot @ $2.90

PACB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PACB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.90 (52-wk range $1.07 - $3.44), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%