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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PATK / news
DAN (47) LCII (63) PHIN (59) VGNT (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Why PATK Stock surged +5.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$81.75 +5.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.37

Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.49B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PATK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PATK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Patrick Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: PATK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $81.75 (+5.24% 1D, market cap $2.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PATK ranks #263 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PATK compare to DAN and LCII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), PATK carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 23.1%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, DAN (Dana Incorporated) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 29.6%, cap $2.49B) and LCII (LCI Industries) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PATK?
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Per PATK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000076605), Patrick Industries Inc. generated $3.95B in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $135.1M in net income, and $246.5M in free cash flow against $3.08B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.36 (+0.75%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C+ · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$156 Bull$84 Base$65 Bear
📬 FREE PATK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PATK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PATK SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64.4) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$63.31+6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$67.30+3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$69.93+16.9% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$81.75+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PATK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, PATK faces multiple-compression risk if 17.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($71.83) or 200D SMA ($94.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($83.59) toward Bear Floor ($65.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PATK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PATK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PATK Stock surged +5.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) surged +5.24% to $81.75, trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($63 – $148.5). Solid 23.1% gross margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 18x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($63 – $148.5) with RSI-14 at 64.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.2% around $81.75 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 23.1% gross margin and $246.5M annual free cash flow.
Live PATK Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PATK Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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PATK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.97%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $75.18H $81.75L $75.18C $81.75VOL 1.09M
RES: $78.22SUP: $58.06SMA50: $71.83SMA200: $94.83
$114.4$100.4$86.52$72.60$58.68RES $78.22SUP $58.06$81.752026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PATK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PATK Butterfly Map → + Track PATK →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PATK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PATK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PATK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PATK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #263 of 1009 ⚔️ DAN vs PATK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PATK vs. DAN, LCII, PHIN, VGNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) ranks #263 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #385 by equity capitalization ($2.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LCII leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while DAN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.6% ROIC and 8.0% gross margin. PATK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PATK ACTIVE
Patrick Industries Inc.
C 63/100 17.9x 23.1% 8.9% +5.24% $2.49B Benchmark Subject
DAN
Dana Incorporated
D 47/100 31.5x 8.0% 29.6% -0.95% $2.49B /dan-vs-patk →
LCII
LCI Industries
C 63/100 12.8x 23.8% 10.6% +3.14% $2.41B /lcii-vs-patk →
PHIN
PHINIA Inc.
C- 59/100 17.2x 21.9% 9.1% +12.51% $2.26B /phin-vs-patk →
VGNT
Versigent PLC
D 48/100 — — — -0.19% $2.91B /vgnt-vs-patk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000076605 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) reported GAAP revenue of $3.95B (+6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.72B , and +13.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $135.1M, operating cash flow of $329.4M, and free cash flow of $246.5M (-1.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, PATK closed FY2025 with $3.08B in total assets against $1.28B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.00, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.95B $135.1M $329.4M $246.5M $3.08B $1.28B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.72B $138.4M $326.8M $251.2M $3.02B $1.31B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.47B $142.9M $408.7M $252.6M $4.16B $973.8M

3. PATK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PATK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Patrick Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: PATK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $81.75 (+5.24% 1D, market cap $2.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PATK ranks #263 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PATK compare to DAN and LCII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), PATK carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 23.1%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, DAN (Dana Incorporated) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 29.6%, cap $2.49B) and LCII (LCI Industries) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PATK?

Per PATK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000076605), Patrick Industries Inc. generated $3.95B in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $135.1M in net income, and $246.5M in free cash flow against $3.08B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PATK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PATK last traded at $81.75 (+5.24% on volume of 1,171,403 shares), positioning the stock +13.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($71.83) and -13.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($94.83). Across its 52-week range of $63.00 to $148.50, PATK sits at the 21.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($74.23 to $89.27).

Direct Sub-Reports: PATK RQD Cockpit PATK 12M Forecast PATK Earnings & Move PATK Dividends & DRIP PATK Insiders & 13F PATK Whale Options PATK Profit Sankey PATK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PATK — Patrick Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $81.75 (+5.24% 1D, market capitalization $2.49B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.9%, gross margin of 23.1%, operating margin of 7.0%, and free cash flow yield of 10.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.00, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.08x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Auto Parts:O.E.M. Industry..4B. —: product lines, customer base, and specific revenue-generation mechanics.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) reported $3.95B in annual revenue (up from $3.72B in FY2024, +6.3% YoY) and $135.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.47B revenue, $142.9M net income) through FY2025, PATK scaled operating cash flow to $329.4M and free cash flow to $246.5M, backed by $3.08B in total assets against $1.28B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $63.00 – $148.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 17.9x trailing P/E and 10.6x EV/EBITDA against 7.0% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. —: specific sector correlations and 2nd-order bottlenecks. The merger reference in the news wire is the only identifiable corporate dependency to monitor.

  • Key Question #1: Can PATK sustain or expand its 7.0% operating margin and 8.9% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.95B and free cash flow of $246.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.28B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PATK's 16.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?

PATK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PATK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PATK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $81.75?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PATK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PATK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $89.33 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 7/9, Altman Z 3) and a 10.21% FCF yield support the cash engine.

Strong forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 7/9, Altman Z 3) and a 10.21% FCF yield support the cash engine.. When you look under the hood at PATK, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 23.1% gross margins and 8.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (10/20) has been quietly accumulating below $148.50. My 12M target is $89.33.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 63/100 quality, though with 0.96 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $77.68 and keeping dry powder in case we test $72.24.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $64.47 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $77.68

Weakest pillar is macro regime fit at 7/20, and net income declined from $142.9M to $135.1M while debt rose from $973.8M to $1.28B.

Weakest pillar is macro regime fit at 7/20, and net income declined from $142.9M to $135.1M while debt rose from $973.8M to $1.28B.. Look at the math on PATK: paying 17.9x trailing P/E for 8.9% ROIC and 7.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Auto Parts:O.E.M. demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $68.36 before getting long.

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