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Stock Ratings / Energy / PBR / options
CNQ (72) TTE (71) E (71) EOG (87) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS (PBR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$22.05 +0.69% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.04

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS (PBR) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $141.13B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PBR Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS (NYSE: PBR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $22.05 (+0.69% 1D, market cap $141.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PBR ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PBR compare to CNQ and TTE in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PBR carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CNQ (Canadian Natural Resources Limited) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $113.97B) and TTE (TotalEnergies SE) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $205.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EOG leads on earnings multiple (17.1x) while EOG leads on capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PBR?
β–Ό

For Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS (PBR), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #52 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.03 (-0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- Β· Rk B+
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$28 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PBR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PBR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PBR SCORES 67/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 71% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$25.50+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$25.70-13.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$22.30-1.1% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$22.05+1.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B+ (75) β†’ C+ (67)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PBR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, PBR faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.11) or 200D SMA ($19.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.94) toward Bear Floor ($17.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PBRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPBR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PBR)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PBR.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PBR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PBR
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
PBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.18%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $22.03H $22.05L $21.90C $22.05VOL 28.42M
RES: $24.85SUP: $19.51SMA50: $22.11SMA200: $19.23
$27.22$23.77$20.31$16.85$13.40RES $24.85SUP $19.51$22.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ PBR Butterfly Map β†’ + Track PBR β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PBR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PBR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PBR)

Energy Rank #52 of 211 βš”οΈ CNQ vs PBR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PBR vs. CNQ, TTE, E, EOG)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS (PBR) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #7 by equity capitalization ($141.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.1x trailing P/E, while EOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.7% ROIC and β€” gross margin. EOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 87/100 (A) compared with PBR at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PBR ACTIVE
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS
C+ 67/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.69% $141.13B Benchmark Subject
CNQ
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
B 72/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +1.85% $113.97B /cnq-vs-pbr β†’
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
B- 71/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +1.38% $205.16B /tte-vs-pbr β†’
E
ENI S.p.A.
B- 71/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +1.03% $94.69B /e-vs-pbr β†’
EOG
EOG Resources Inc.
A 87/100 17.1x β€” 14.7% +2.05% $85.09B /eog-vs-pbr β†’

2. PBR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS (PBR) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $141.13B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. PBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS (NYSE: PBR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $22.05 (+0.69% 1D, market cap $141.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PBR ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PBR compare to CNQ and TTE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PBR carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CNQ (Canadian Natural Resources Limited) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $113.97B) and TTE (TotalEnergies SE) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $205.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EOG leads on earnings multiple (17.1x) while EOG leads on capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PBR?

For Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS (PBR), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #52 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PBR last traded at $22.05 (+0.69% on volume of 24,229,711 shares), positioning the stock -0.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.11) and +14.66% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.23). Across its 52-week range of $11.43 to $26.39, PBR sits at the 71.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.8% ($20.77 to $23.33).

PBR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is PBR's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PBR.

Direct Sub-Reports: PBR RQD Cockpit PBR 12M Forecast PBR Earnings & Move PBR Dividends & DRIP PBR Insiders & 13F PBR Whale Options PBR Profit Sankey PBR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 67/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PBR β€” Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PBR scores 67 out of 100, a C+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. Per the market data, these are the main cash-generation indicators behind this pillar. The FCF yield is modest, which suggests that the price already reflects substantial expectations relative to current free cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow (12/20): Institutional accumulation and options positioning are rated moderately. The source does not provide the underlying 13F holdings, so the score cannot be traced to specific fund activity.
  • Insider Conviction (12/20): SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow are rated moderately. No individual transactions are supplied in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20): Beta of 0.9 and sector sensitivity are the basis. A beta below 1.0 indicates that, historically per the source metric, the stock has moved less than the broad market, which may appeal to investors seeking lower market sensitivity.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): The strongest pillar, based on Altman Z of 3.74, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39. These figures point to a balance sheet the source rates as relatively healthy.

For a prospective investor, the main upside driver is the combination of a strong forensic balance sheet and a 52-week range of $11.43 to $26.39, with the current price of 21.9 near the upper portion of that range. The main valuation tradeoff is the P/E (TTM) of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21, which are elevated relative to the cash-generation metrics (FCF yield of 2.21%). The verdict's "Watch for Breakout" language indicates the rating model is neutral today and sees potential movement dependent on upcoming developments. This analysis is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price21.9
Market Cap$141.13B
P/E (TTM)32.8
Forward P/E27.6
EV/EBITDA21
EPS (TTM)0.67
Dividend Yield0%
Beta0.9
52-Wk Range$11.43 - $26.39
ROIC %9.9%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, one item is listed: a headline reading "PBR Q2 2026 Earnings: 18.5% EPS Beat Fails to Lift Shares as Stock Falls 15.2% - Low Estimate Range," tagged as a GREEN light and CATALYST, published 1h ago. The headline reports an EPS beat that did not lift the share price. The item's summary field references an unrelated source domain and does not add substantive detail. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items per the data: the headline indicates the stock declined despite the earnings beat, and the source offers no further detail on the cause.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, free cash flow, cash, and debt figures across recent periods? The financial statements are absent from the source.
  • What caused the stock to fall 15.2% following the Q2 2026 EPS beat, as referenced in the news headline?
  • What institutional 13F positions and insider or Congressional transactions underlie the Whale and Insider pillar scores of 12/20 each?
  • What are the analyst consensus rating and price targets, and how do they compare to the current price of 21.9?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0%, and how does it reconcile with the stated operating margin of 13.9%?

PBR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS (PBR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PBR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PBR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $22.05?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PBR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PBR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $23.65 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PBR (C+ β€’ RQD 67/100) a Buy at $21.90?

Welcome to the PBR (Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.18 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $21.90

Pump the brakes on PBR β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PBR, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $26.28 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $21.90

PBR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PBR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.90 (52-wk range $11.43 - $26.39), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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