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Why PBT Stock dropped -8.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$27.93 -8.10% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.47

Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.42B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Permian Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE: PBT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $27.93 (-8.10% 1D, market cap $1.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PBT ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PBT compare to NBR and KOS in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PBT carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 5.2x, ROIC 21.1%, cap $1.42B) and KOS (Kosmos Energy Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBR leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while NBR leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PBT?
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For Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #107 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.47 (-1.65%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$39 Bull$28 Base$22 Bear
📬 FREE PBT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PBT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PBT SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$34.60-2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$33.62-0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$33.40-16.4% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$27.93-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PBT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, PBT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($33.69) or 200D SMA ($26.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($27.80) toward Bear Floor ($21.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PBT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PBT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PBT Stock dropped -8.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) dropped -8.10% to $27.93, trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($16.25 – $37). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($16.25 – $37) with RSI-14 at 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.4% around $27.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $39.7M annual free cash flow.
Live PBT Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PBT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PBT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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PBT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.13%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-04O $31.62H $31.62L $27.93C $27.93VOL 111.0K
RES: $39.03SUP: $33.10SMA50: $33.69SMA200: $26.99
$38.30$32.92$27.55$22.18$16.80RES $39.03SUP $33.10$27.932026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PBT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PBT Butterfly Map → + Track PBT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PBT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PBT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PBT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PBT)

Energy Rank #107 of 211 ⚔️ NBR vs PBT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PBT vs. NBR, KOS, GFR, PDS)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) ranks #107 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #130 by equity capitalization ($1.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NBR leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while NBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.1% ROIC and — gross margin. PDS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with PBT at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PBT ACTIVE
Permian Basin Royalty Trust
D+ 57/100 — — — -8.10% $1.42B Benchmark Subject
NBR
Nabors Industries Ltd.
D 44/100 5.2x — 21.1% -4.09% $1.42B /nbr-vs-pbt →
KOS
Kosmos Energy Ltd.
D+ 52/100 — — -35.0% +4.86% $1.47B /kos-vs-pbt →
GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
C- 59/100 — — — +0.33% $1.48B /gfr-vs-pbt →
PDS
Precision Drilling Corporation
C 63/100 — — — -1.25% $1.22B /pds-vs-pbt →

2. PBT Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $1.42B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. PBT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Permian Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE: PBT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $27.93 (-8.10% 1D, market cap $1.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PBT ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PBT compare to NBR and KOS in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PBT carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 5.2x, ROIC 21.1%, cap $1.42B) and KOS (Kosmos Energy Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBR leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while NBR leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PBT?

For Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #107 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PBT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PBT last traded at $27.93 (-8.10% on volume of 279,936 shares), positioning the stock -17.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.69) and +3.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.99). Across its 52-week range of $16.25 to $37.00, PBT sits at the 56.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($25.86 to $30.00).

Direct Sub-Reports: PBT RQD Cockpit PBT 12M Forecast PBT Earnings & Move PBT Dividends & DRIP PBT Insiders & 13F PBT Whale Options PBT Profit Sankey PBT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PBT — Permian Basin Royalty Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $27.93 (-8.10% 1D, market capitalization $1.42B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Energy. Industry: Oil & Gas Production. Exchange: NYSE..5B. — for detail on products, customers, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.25 – $37.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), PBT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can PBT sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $37.00 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PBT's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PBT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PBT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PBT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $27.93?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PBT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PBT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $41.42 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9, the relatively stronger component of the RQD rating.

Don't sleep on PBT's setup in Energy. Balance-sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9, the relatively stronger component of the RQD rating.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (57/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PBT's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $25.93 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $31.62

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and the insider and 13F pillars score 9/20 each, showing weak cash generation and limited informed-holde

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on PBT: ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and the insider and 13F pillars score 9/20 each, showing weak cash generation and limited informed-holder conviction.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Oil & Gas Production triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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