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Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$21.95 -0.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.90

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.46B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PEB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PEB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (NYSE: PEB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $21.95 (-0.23% 1D, market cap $2.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, PEB ranks #546 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PEB compare to IVT and LTC in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PEB carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.5%. By comparison, IVT (InvenTrust Properties Corp.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $2.44B) and LTC (LTC Properties Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 19.3x, ROIC 15.2%, cap $2.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LTC leads on earnings multiple (19.3x) while LTC leads on capital efficiency (15.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEB?
▼

Per PEB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001474098), Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of generated $1.48B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), -$65.8M in net income, and $249.7M in free cash flow against $5.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
🎯 PEB TRADE EXECUTION LEVELS + TODAY'S TOP 3 TRADES EXACT ENTRY • HARD STOP-LOSS (SUP) • TARGET (RES) • WHY

Where to Enter $PEB, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades

🏆 RECENT ALERT WINNERS: $XYZ +15.6% (2d) $PLTR +13.7% (4d) $VRT +8.4% (2d)
CURRENT TICKER SETUP • $PEB R/R 2.2 : 1 • RQD 54/100 (D+)
$PEB
Spot $21.95
1. GET IN (ENTRY)
$21.82–$22.06
2. HARD STOP (SUP)
$20.81 (-5.2%)
3. GET OUT (T1/T2)
$23.38 / $24.47
STOP-LOSS FLOOR (SUP $20.81): Hard stop sits 5.2% below spot to cap downside below key institutional support. If $PEB closes a daily candle below $20.81, step aside.
PROFIT TARGETS (RES $23.38 / $24.47): Scale out 50% at T1 (+6.5%) and trail stop to breakeven for T2 (+11.5%).
Want this $PEB sheet + Today's Top 3 Trades emailed free? Paper Trade $PEB →
⚡ TODAY'S TOP 3 SUGGESTED TRADES OF THE DAY (100% FREE CHEAT SHEET) Trade #1 Unlocked • Enter Email Below to Unblur #2 & #3 + Get $PEB Sheet
#1 • $MU R/R 3.2 : 1
Micron Technology, Inc.
IN
$108.50
STOP
$103.90
OUT
$117.50
#2 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.4 : 1
AI Liquid-Cooling Leader
Target: +8.53% to +14.86% | Stop: -3.89%
#3 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.1 : 1
Cash-Flow Buyback Machine
Target: +8.38% to +14.53% | Stop: -3.93%
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.90 (-0.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 16.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (18)SEC (8)Macro (9)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$25 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE PEB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PEB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PEB SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16.9% FCF Margin ($249.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$19.11+10.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$21.10+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$21.47+2.2% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$21.95-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PEB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PEB currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.18) and Max Pain ($23.05) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.43.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PEB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PEB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PEB Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $21.95: 455.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $16.81
$7,658
$-2,342 (-23.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $21.55
$9,818
$-182 (-1.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $25.43
$11,585
+$1,585 (+15.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PEB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PEB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PEB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +53.28%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-04O $21.54H $22.00L $21.54C $21.95VOL 3.91M
RES: $20.06SUP: $16.92🎯 Entry / Stop & Top 3 Trades ↑SMA50: $19.18SMA200: $16.23
$22.72$19.73$16.73$13.74$10.74RES $20.06SUP $16.92$21.952026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PEB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PEB Butterfly Map → + Track PEB →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
43.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PEB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PEB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PEB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PEB)

Financials Rank #546 of 1097 ⚔️ IVT vs PEB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PEB vs. IVT, LTC, FCPT, AKR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) ranks #546 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #404 by equity capitalization ($2.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LTC leads on earnings valuation at 19.3x trailing P/E, while LTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.2% ROIC and — gross margin. LTC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with PEB at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PEB ACTIVE
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of
D+ 54/100 — — 1.5% -0.23% $2.46B Benchmark Subject
IVT
InvenTrust Properties Corp.
D+ 54/100 21.7x — 2.6% -0.77% $2.44B /ivt-vs-peb →
LTC
LTC Properties Inc.
B+ 79/100 19.3x — 15.2% +1.46% $2.43B /ltc-vs-peb →
FCPT
Four Corners Property Trust Inc.
C 62/100 21.8x — 6.9% -0.22% $2.55B /fcpt-vs-peb →
AKR
Acadia Realty Trust
D 48/100 155.0x — 1.8% -1.24% $2.66B /akr-vs-peb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001474098 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (+1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.45B , and +3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$65.8M, operating cash flow of $249.7M, and free cash flow of $249.7M (-9.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PEB closed FY2025 with $5.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.48B -$65.8M $249.7M $249.7M $5.35B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.45B -$4.2M $275.0M $275.0M $5.69B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.42B -$78.0M $236.2M $236.2M — —

3. PEB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PEB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (NYSE: PEB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $21.95 (-0.23% 1D, market cap $2.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, PEB ranks #546 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PEB compare to IVT and LTC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PEB carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.5%. By comparison, IVT (InvenTrust Properties Corp.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $2.44B) and LTC (LTC Properties Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 19.3x, ROIC 15.2%, cap $2.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LTC leads on earnings multiple (19.3x) while LTC leads on capital efficiency (15.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEB?

Per PEB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001474098), Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of generated $1.48B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), -$65.8M in net income, and $249.7M in free cash flow against $5.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PEB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PEB last traded at $21.95 (-0.23% on volume of 2,697,938 shares), positioning the stock +14.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.18) and +35.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.23). Across its 52-week range of $9.99 to $22.00, PEB sits at the 99.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($20.37 to $23.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: PEB RQD Cockpit PEB 12M Forecast PEB Earnings & Move PEB Dividends & DRIP PEB Insiders & 13F PEB Whale Options PEB Profit Sankey PEB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PEB — Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $21.95 (-0.23% 1D, market capitalization $2.46B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 3.0%, and free cash flow yield of 10.19%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of operates in the Financials sector within the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry and is listed on the NYSE. Revenue was $1.48B in FY 2025, $1.45B in FY 2024, and $1.42B in FY 2023.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) reported $1.48B in annual revenue (up from $1.45B in FY2024, +1.5% YoY) and -$65.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.42B revenue, -$78.0M net income) through FY2025, PEB scaled operating cash flow to $249.7M and free cash flow to $249.7M, backed by $5.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 54/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 10.19% and institutional whale pillar of 18/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.99 – $22.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 51.8x EV/EBITDA against 3.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), PEB carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can PEB sustain or expand its 3.0% operating margin and 1.5% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.48B and free cash flow of $249.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PEB's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PEB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PEB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PEB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.95?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PEB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PEB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $28.00 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong institutional accumulation signals (Whale 13F Flow pillar at 17 of 20) combined with a 10.19% FCF yield support the cash-generat

Here is why I am bullish on PEB here at $21.54: Strong institutional accumulation signals (Whale 13F Flow pillar at 17 of 20) combined with a 10.19% FCF yield support the cash-generation case.. Compare PEB's 3.0% operating margin and 1.5% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate Investment Trusts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $20.46 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PEB's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.80 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $21.54

Net income was negative in every reported period while ROIC stands at 1.5%, and the RQD verdict is a trim recommendation.

Careful chasing PEB at $21.54. Net income was negative in every reported period while ROIC stands at 1.5%, and the RQD verdict is a trim recommendation.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 3.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $16.80 on multiple compression.

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