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Why PED Stock slipped -0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$15.21 -0.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.17

Pedevco Corp. (PED) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $203.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Pedevco Corp. (NYSE: PED) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $15.21 (-0.52% 1D, market cap $203.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PED ranks #143 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PED compare to EPSN and KGEI in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PED carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -3.0%. By comparison, EPSN (Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $182.9M) and KGEI (Kolibri Global Energy Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $234.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGCO leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while RGCO leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PED?
▼

Per PED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001141197), Pedevco Corp. generated $45.8M in revenue (+15.7% YoY), -$10.4M in net income, and $10.8M in free cash flow against $375.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.17 (-0.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 23.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (14)SEC (5)Macro (13)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$20 Bull$15 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE PED RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PED)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PED SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 64% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$12.81+14.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$14.67+11.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$16.40-7.3% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$15.21-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PED Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PED currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.19) and Max Pain ($15.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.83.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PED• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PED Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PED Stock slipped -0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Pedevco Corp. (PED) slipped -0.52% to $15.21, trading at 64% of its 52-week range ($8.64 – $18.89). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 64% of its 52-week range ($8.64 – $18.89) with RSI-14 at 54.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.4% around $15.21 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $10.8M annual free cash flow.
Live PED Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PED)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PED's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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PED // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $16.64H $16.64L $15.21C $15.21VOL 21.1K
RES: $18.80SUP: $7.56SMA50: $14.19SMA200: $13.72
$18.56$16.24$13.93$11.61$9.29RES $18.80SUP $7.56$15.212026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PED Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PED Butterfly Map → + Track PED →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PED today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PED. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PED today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PED)

Energy Rank #143 of 211 ⚔️ EPSN vs PED Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PED vs. EPSN, KGEI, RGCO, MINE)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pedevco Corp. (PED) ranks #143 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #172 by equity capitalization ($203.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RGCO leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while RGCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. EPSN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with PED at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PED ACTIVE
Pedevco Corp.
D 48/100 — — -3.0% -0.52% $203.2M Benchmark Subject
EPSN
Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share
C+ 66/100 — — -7.2% -3.48% $182.9M /epsn-vs-ped →
KGEI
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
C 63/100 — — — -3.07% $234.0M /kgei-vs-ped →
RGCO
RGC Resources Inc.
C 64/100 18.0x — 5.7% -2.08% $240.1M /rgco-vs-ped →
MINE
Mayfair Gold Corp.
D 45/100 — — — -4.90% $170.2M /mine-vs-ped →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001141197 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pedevco Corp. (PED) reported GAAP revenue of $45.8M (+15.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $39.6M , and +48.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.4M, operating cash flow of $10.8M, and free cash flow of $10.8M (-15.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PED closed FY2025 with $375.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.29, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $45.8M -$10.4M $10.8M $10.8M $375.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $39.6M $12.3M $12.8M $12.8M $128.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $30.8M $1.7M $23.5M $23.5M — —

3. PED Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Pedevco Corp. (NYSE: PED) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $15.21 (-0.52% 1D, market cap $203.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PED ranks #143 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PED compare to EPSN and KGEI in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PED carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -3.0%. By comparison, EPSN (Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $182.9M) and KGEI (Kolibri Global Energy Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $234.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGCO leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while RGCO leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PED?

Per PED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001141197), Pedevco Corp. generated $45.8M in revenue (+15.7% YoY), -$10.4M in net income, and $10.8M in free cash flow against $375.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PED trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PED last traded at $15.21 (-0.52% on volume of 21,467 shares), positioning the stock +7.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.19) and +10.86% above its 200-day simple moving average ($13.72). Across its 52-week range of $8.64 to $18.89, PED sits at the 64.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($13.63 to $16.79).

Direct Sub-Reports: PED RQD Cockpit PED 12M Forecast PED Earnings & Move PED Dividends & DRIP PED Insiders & 13F PED Whale Options PED Profit Sankey PED News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PED — Pedevco Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Pedevco Corp. (PED) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $15.21 (-0.52% 1D, market capitalization $203.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -3.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -17.2%, and free cash flow yield of 4.93%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.29, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Pedevco Corp. (PED) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in the Oil & Gas Production industry..2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Pedevco Corp. (PED) reported $45.8M in annual revenue (up from $39.6M in FY2024, +15.7% YoY) and -$10.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($30.8M revenue, $1.7M net income) through FY2025, PED scaled operating cash flow to $10.8M and free cash flow to $10.8M, backed by $375.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 4.93% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.64 – $18.89 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -17.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should note that the source does not establish how PED's Oil & Gas Production activities connect to upstream service providers, downstream purchasers, or competing producers.

  • Key Question #1: Can PED sustain or expand its -17.2% operating margin and -3.0% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $45.8M and free cash flow of $10.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PED's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PED Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pedevco Corp. (PED) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PED Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PED Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.21?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PED 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PED:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.47 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported FCF yield of 4.93% and FY 2025 FCF of $10.8M provide cash generation despite negative earnings, supported by insider purchase

The street is overcomplicating Pedevco Corp. (PED). Reported FCF yield of 4.93% and FY 2025 FCF of $10.8M provide cash generation despite negative earnings, supported by insider purchase activity in the news wire.. With an RQD score of 48/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $17.97.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.31 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $16.64

Altman Z-Score of 0.29, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, ROIC of -3%, and an FY 2025 net loss of -$10.4M point to balance sheet and profitabil

I respect the product at Pedevco Corp., but the stock at $16.64 is a different story. Altman Z-Score of 0.29, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, ROIC of -3%, and an FY 2025 net loss of -$10.4M point to balance sheet and profitability weakness.. FCF yield is 4.93% and RQD sits at 48/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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