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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PENN / forecast
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PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$17.02 +7.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.21

PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.13B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PENN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PENN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, PENN Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ: PENN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $17.02 (+7.11% 1D, market cap $2.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PENN ranks #588 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PENN compare to MCRI and SHO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), PENN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.3%. By comparison, MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 19.8x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $1.98B) and SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MCRI leads on earnings multiple (19.8x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENN?
▼

Per PENN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000921738), PENN Entertainment Inc. generated $1.89B in revenue (+829.1% YoY), -$843.1M in net income, and $508.2M in free cash flow against $14.27B in total assets and $2.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.21 (+1.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 26.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$23 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE PENN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PENN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PENN SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 26.9% FCF Margin ($508.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.3) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$15.37-2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$14.96-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$14.83+14.8% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$17.02-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PENN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PENN currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.97) and Max Pain ($17.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.48.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PENN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PENN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PENN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $17.02: 587.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $12.68
$7,450
$-2,550 (-25.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $16.25
$9,548
$-452 (-4.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $23.48
$13,796
+$3,796 (+38.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PENN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PENN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PENN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.37%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $15.33H $17.02L $15.33C $17.02VOL 3.75M
RES: $15.51SUP: $12.19SMA50: $15.97SMA200: $16.82
$22.94$20.55$18.16$15.78$13.39RES $15.51SUP $12.19$17.022026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PENN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PENN Butterfly Map → + Track PENN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +829.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PENN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PENN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PENN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PENN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #588 of 1009 ⚔️ MCRI vs PENN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PENN vs. MCRI, SHO, XHR, HGV)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) ranks #588 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #407 by equity capitalization ($2.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MCRI leads on earnings valuation at 19.8x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. SHO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with PENN at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PENN ACTIVE
PENN Entertainment Inc.
D 48/100 — — -13.3% +7.11% $2.13B Benchmark Subject
MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.
D+ 57/100 19.8x 23.4% 18.9% +3.80% $1.98B /mcri-vs-penn →
SHO
Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.
C+ 66/100 — — — +0.55% $2.38B /sho-vs-penn →
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.
C- 59/100 30.3x 30.6% 8.5% +2.64% $1.89B /xhr-vs-penn →
HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
D 51/100 34.3x — 6.3% +6.66% $2.91B /hgv-vs-penn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000921738 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.89B (+829.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $203.0M , and -70.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$843.1M, operating cash flow of $508.2M, and free cash flow of $508.2M (+41.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PENN closed FY2025 with $14.27B in total assets against $2.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.89B -$843.1M $508.2M $508.2M $14.27B $2.85B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $203.0M -$311.5M $359.3M $359.3M $15.26B $2.73B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.36B -$490.0M $455.9M $455.9M — —

3. PENN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PENN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, PENN Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ: PENN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $17.02 (+7.11% 1D, market cap $2.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PENN ranks #588 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PENN compare to MCRI and SHO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), PENN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.3%. By comparison, MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 19.8x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $1.98B) and SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MCRI leads on earnings multiple (19.8x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENN?

Per PENN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000921738), PENN Entertainment Inc. generated $1.89B in revenue (+829.1% YoY), -$843.1M in net income, and $508.2M in free cash flow against $14.27B in total assets and $2.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PENN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PENN last traded at $17.02 (+7.11% on volume of 4,108,449 shares), positioning the stock +6.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.97) and +1.19% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.82). Across its 52-week range of $11.65 to $22.36, PENN sits at the 50.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($15.62 to $18.42).

Direct Sub-Reports: PENN RQD Cockpit PENN 12M Forecast PENN Earnings & Move PENN Dividends & DRIP PENN Insiders & 13F PENN Whale Options PENN Profit Sankey PENN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PENN — PENN Entertainment Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $17.02 (+7.11% 1D, market capitalization $2.13B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -13.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 24.73%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.55x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

PENN Entertainment Inc. Is classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Hotels/Resorts industry, listed on NASDAQ, and company profile. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each recorded as 0%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) reported $1.89B in annual revenue (up from $203.0M in FY2024, +829.1% YoY) and -$843.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.36B revenue, -$490.0M net income) through FY2025, PENN scaled operating cash flow to $508.2M and free cash flow to $508.2M, backed by $14.27B in total assets against $2.85B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 24.73% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.65 – $22.36 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order links are recorded for PENN. The source data therefore does not establish supplier, customer, or peer ripple effects. The one sector-level signal available is the Barron's headline framing regional casinos against Las Vegas, which the source describes only as a headline and does not quantify. An investor would want the supply-chain and peer relationships documented before drawing ripple conclusions.

  • Key Question #1: Can PENN sustain or expand its — operating margin and -13.3% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.89B and free cash flow of $508.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.85B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PENN's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PENN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PENN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PENN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PENN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PENN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.91 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The 24.73% FCF yield signals substantial cash generation relative to the $2.06B market cap despite negative reported earnings.

Don't sleep on PENN's setup in Consumer Discretionary. The 24.73% FCF yield signals substantial cash generation relative to the $2.06B market cap despite negative reported earnings.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (48/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 48/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $15.89 and keeping dry powder in case we test $14.78.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.08 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $15.89

Negative ROIC of -13.3%, net losses across all reported periods, and a 46/100 RQD score with a distribution-warning verdict point to we

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on PENN: Negative ROIC of -13.3%, net losses across all reported periods, and a 46/100 RQD score with a distribution-warning verdict point to weak fundamentals.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Hotels/Resorts triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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