GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.94 -2.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.93

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $58.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PEW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (NYSE: PEW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $1.94 (-2.51% 1D, market cap $58.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PEW ranks #926 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PEW compare to NAAS and WSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), PEW carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NAAS (NaaS Technology Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $59.6M) and WSHP (WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $57.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PEW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPWH leads on capital efficiency (-12.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEW?
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Per PEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002051380), GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. generated $96.4M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), -$2.5M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $131.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.93 (-0.64%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (5)SEC (7)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.9% Base Target
$5 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE PEW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PEW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PEW SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 11.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.01 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
19
Grade E$1.84+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
22
Grade E$1.86+10.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
24
Grade E$2.05-5.4% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$1.94-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (19) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PEW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PEW currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.10) and Max Pain ($2.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.85.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PEW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PEW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PEW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.94: 5154.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.30
$6,701
$-3,299 (-33.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.67
$8,608
$-1,392 (-13.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $4.85
$25,000
+$15,000 (+150.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PEW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PEW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PEW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.68%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $1.99H $1.99L $1.94C $1.94VOL 310.4K
RES: $2.08SUP: $1.60SMA50: $2.10SMA200: $2.62
$4.28$3.61$2.93$2.26$1.58RES $2.08SUP $1.60$1.942026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PEW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PEW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PEW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PEW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PEW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #926 of 1011 ⚔️ NAAS vs PEW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PEW vs. NAAS, WSHP, BARK, SPWH)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) ranks #926 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #802 by equity capitalization ($58.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PEW leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SPWH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.8% ROIC and 30.9% gross margin. NAAS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with PEW at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PEW ACTIVE
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
E 27/100 — 11.7% -35.0% -2.51% $58.7M Benchmark Subject
NAAS
NaaS Technology Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -3.09% $59.6M /naas-vs-pew →
WSHP
WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — -2.09% $57.9M /wshp-vs-pew →
BARK
BARK Inc. (Class A)
E 18/100 — 61.3% -35.0% -1.48% $73.4M /bark-vs-pew →
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc.
D- 39/100 — 30.9% -12.8% -0.93% $41.9M /spwh-vs-pew →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002051380

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) reported GAAP revenue of $96.4M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $93.1M ) , GAAP net income of -$2.5M, operating cash flow of -$417.0K, and free cash flow of -$8.9M (-605.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PEW closed FY2025 with $131.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.01, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $96.4M -$2.5M -$417.0K -$8.9M $131.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $93.1M $4.5M $1.8M $1.8M $13.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $4.5M $4.8M $4.8M — —

3. PEW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PEW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (NYSE: PEW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $1.94 (-2.51% 1D, market cap $58.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PEW ranks #926 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PEW compare to NAAS and WSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), PEW carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NAAS (NaaS Technology Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $59.6M) and WSHP (WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $57.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PEW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPWH leads on capital efficiency (-12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEW?

Per PEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002051380), GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. generated $96.4M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), -$2.5M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $131.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PEW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PEW last traded at $1.94 (-2.51% on volume of 130,833 shares), positioning the stock -7.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.10) and -25.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.62). Across its 52-week range of $1.79 to $4.62, PEW sits at the 5.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($1.73 to $2.15).

PEW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PEW's 12-month stock price target?

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.67 (-13.9% from $1.94), with a bull-case target of $4.85 and a bear-case floor of $1.3.

Is PEW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates PEW E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 27/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 27/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PEW — GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:46:17Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PEW scores 27 out of 100, graded E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -15.14%); Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 5/20 (beta 1.0 and sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20 (Altman Z 3.01, Piotroski F 2/9, Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the ones that matter most for an equity thesis. The cash engine and insider conviction pillars score lowest, indicating negative returns on invested capital, negative free-cash-flow yield, and limited insider signal support. The Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals weak fundamental quality in the sourced data. The Altman Z of 3.01 sits in a range the rating does not treat as distressed, so the balance-sheet pillar scores in the middle rather than the bottom. The 27/E grade is driven primarily by operating economics rather than solvency. Upside would depend on a reversal in cash generation, which the source data does not show as underway. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed precisely because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, so the stock's multiple relative to earnings cannot be benchmarked here.

Business

Per the profile, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Specialty Stores industry. The profile describes it as operating in that industry with a market capitalization of $0.1B. The source data does not detail its specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. Per the recent news wire, the company has pursued acquisitions (Camfour, Inc. for $34 million) and a logistics platform expansion (PEW Logistics adding Sarsilmaz).

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$96.4M$-4.4M$-2.5MN/A$-8.9M$110.4MN/A
FY 2024$93.1M$4.1M$4.5MN/A$1.8M$7.9MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$4.4M$4.5MN/A$4.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 shows a swing to operating and net losses after positive operating and net income in FY 2023 and FY 2024, with free cash flow turning negative at $-8.9M. Per the market data, gross margin is 11.7%, operating margin -4.5%, and net margin -2.6%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.01 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported cash rose to $110.4M in FY 2025 per the financials, though the debt line is not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all six items are tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Catalysts include an acquisition of Camfour, Inc. for $34 million, the addition of Sarsilmaz to PEW Logistics, an announcement that the company will report third-quarter 2026 financial results, and a reported CEO share sale to cover taxes after receipt of 16,667 shares (4,108 sold). A MarketBeat item notes a 0.3% stock price decline. The source data does not characterize the economic impact of these items. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded; supply_chain is listed as NONE.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE and no butterfly links are recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector correlation data is not available in source data. The logistics expansion and the Sarsilmaz addition are noted in the news feed, but their supply-chain implications are not quantified in the sources. A prospective investor should watch whether the acquisitions and logistics expansion translate into revenue and cash generation, since the FY 2025 free-cash-flow figure is negative.

Open Questions

  • What drove the swing from positive FY 2024 net income of $4.5M to a FY 2025 net loss of $-2.5M, and how much of that reflects the acquisitions?
  • What is the company's debt balance, since the debt line is N/A across all periods?
  • What are the EPS and P/E figures, given they are absent from the source data?
  • What is the expected return on the Camfour acquisition and the Sarsilmaz logistics addition relative to the $34 million outlay?
  • What do the third-quarter 2026 results show once reported?

PEW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PEW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PEW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.94?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PEW 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PEW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.75 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PEW (E • RQD 27/100) a Buy at $1.99?

Welcome to the PEW (GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 27/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Other Specialty Stores. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.55 (-22.1%)
Spot @ $1.99

Pump the brakes on PEW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PEW, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 11.7% gross margins. Unless GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.29 (+15.1%)
Spot @ $1.99

PEW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PEW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Specialty Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.99 (52-wk range $1.79 - $4.62), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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