Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$16.73 0.00% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.70

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $361.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PHOE Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PHOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: PHOE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $16.73 (0.00% 1D, market cap $361.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PHOE ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PHOE compare to MTRX and BBCP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), PHOE carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.6%, and ROIC of β€”. By comparison, MTRX (Matrix Service Company) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $264.8M) and BBCP (Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 80.5x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $515.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while LMB leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PHOE?
β–Ό

Per PHOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0002035709), Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited generated $7.2M in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$1.2M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $8.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.70 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$140 Bull$15 Base$11 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PHOE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PHOE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PHOE SCORES 30/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 4.6% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 1/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$17.74-5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$16.72-8.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$15.37+8.8% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$16.73-9.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ E (30)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PHOE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While PHOE currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.63) and Max Pain ($17.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $139.78.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PHOEβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPHOE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PHOE)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PHOE.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

πŸ† Enter Free $100K Paper Arena β†’
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PHOE)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of PHOE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PHOE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.40%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $16.50H $16.73L $16.50C $16.73VOL 1.4K
RES: $15.88SUP: $13.98SMA50: $18.63SMA200: $18.47
$70.62$54.87$39.12$23.36$7.61RES $15.88SUP $13.98$16.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PHOE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PHOE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PHOE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PHOE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PHOE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #876 of 1011 βš”οΈ MTRX vs PHOE Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PHOE vs. MTRX, BBCP, LMB, PMA)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) ranks #876 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #626 by equity capitalization ($361.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LMB leads on earnings valuation at 15.7x trailing P/E, while LMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.2% ROIC and 26.2% gross margin. LMB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with PHOE at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PHOE ACTIVE
Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited
E 30/100 β€” 4.6% β€” 0.00% $361.4M Benchmark Subject
MTRX
Matrix Service Company
E 26/100 β€” 5.2% -35.0% -0.53% $264.8M /mtrx-vs-phoe β†’
BBCP
Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.
D 51/100 80.5x 42.4% 5.2% +2.25% $515.5M /bbcp-vs-phoe β†’
LMB
Limbach Holdings Inc.
B- 71/100 15.7x 26.2% 21.2% -3.04% $577.2M /lmb-vs-phoe β†’
PMA
PMA Graphene Technology Group Inc. (Class A)
D 48/100 β€” -18.4% β€” +3.85% $211.9M /pma-vs-phoe β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0002035709

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) reported GAAP revenue of $7.2M (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.4M , and +25.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.2M, operating cash flow of -$5.7M, and free cash flow of -$5.7M (-602.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PHOE closed FY2025 with $8.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $7.2M -$1.2M -$5.7M -$5.7M $8.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $7.4M $1.0M $1.2M $1.1M β€” β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $5.8M $1.1M $540.3K $540.3K β€” β€”

3. PHOE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PHOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: PHOE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $16.73 (0.00% 1D, market cap $361.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PHOE ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PHOE compare to MTRX and BBCP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), PHOE carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.6%, and ROIC of β€”. By comparison, MTRX (Matrix Service Company) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $264.8M) and BBCP (Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 80.5x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $515.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while LMB leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PHOE?

Per PHOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0002035709), Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited generated $7.2M in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$1.2M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $8.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PHOE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PHOE last traded at $16.73 (0.00% on volume of 468 shares), positioning the stock -10.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.63) and -9.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.47). Across its 52-week range of $9.76 to $133.12, PHOE sits at the 5.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.9% ($15.41 to $18.05).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 30/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PHOE β€” Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:53Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PHOE carries an RQD Score of 28 and a letter grade of E, with the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars, each scored out of 20. The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 8/20, reflecting a 0% ROIC and a free cash flow yield of -1.61%, indicating the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or positive free cash flow relative to its valuation. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 3/20 and the insider conviction pillar scores 3/20; both are weak, and the source data contains no analyst or holder detail to explain the underlying positioning. The macro regime fit pillar scores 6/20, with a beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity noted as a drag. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 8/20, citing an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 1/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the practical reading is that the rating frames PHOE as a high-risk name where the reported forensic indicators and cash generation metrics both point toward caution. The rating is an analytical signal, not a recommendation, and should be weighed alongside the full dossier.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Engineering & Construction industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. β€” Its market capitalization is reported as $0.4B in the profile, and $356.4M in the market data section.

Revenue moved from $5.8M in FY 2023 to $7.4M in FY 2024 and then to $7.2M in FY 2025, while operating income turned negative to -$1.2M in FY 2025 after positive results in the prior two years. Per the market data, gross margin is 4.6%, operating margin is -16.8%, and net margin is -16.7%, with ROIC at 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Revenue held near $7M across FY 2024 and FY 2025 while the company stayed in the Roarable RQD rating's 5-pillar framework with a Beta of 1.0. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC β€”, FCF yield -1.61%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $9.76 – $133.12 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Free cash flow fell to -$5.7M in FY 2025 and the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals weak forensic health alongside a 0% ROIC. Investors must weigh current valuation against -16.8% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and bottlenecks are β€”

  • Key Question #1: What caused the swing from positive FY 2024 operating income of $1.3M to negative FY 2025 operating income of -$1.2M, and is the FY 2025 free cash flow of -$5.7M expected to persist?
  • Key Question #2: What are the reported cash and debt balances, and how do they support the Debt/Equity of 0.5 and the Altman Z of 2.5?
  • Key Question #3: What explains the 52-week range of $9.76 to $133.12 relative to the current price of 16.5?

PHOE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PHOE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟑 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance β€’ 181d ago
Scilex Holding Company Announces Its Subsidiaries, ACEA Therapeutics, Inc. and ACEA Pharma, Inc., Entered into a Definitive Agreement with Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited

PALO ALTO, Calif., May 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Scilex Holding Company (β€œScilex” or the β€œCompany”) (Nasdaq: SCLX), an innovative revenue-generating company focused on acquiring, developing, and commercializing non-op

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PHOE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $16.73?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PHOE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PHOE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.91 (+19.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Revenue held near $7M across FY 2024 and FY 2025 while the company stayed in the Roarable RQD rating's 5-pillar framework with a Beta o

Don't sleep on PHOE's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Revenue held near $7M across FY 2024 and FY 2025 while the company stayed in the Roarable RQD rating's 5-pillar framework with a Beta of 1.0.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (30/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $16.73 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

ME MeanReversion_88 Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.55 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $16.73

Free cash flow fell to -$5.7M in FY 2025 and the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals weak forensic health alongside a 0% ROIC.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on PHOE: Free cash flow fell to -$5.7M in FY 2025 and the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals weak forensic health alongside a 0% ROIC.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Engineering & Construction triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%