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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PII / options
DOO (51) DSGR (60) POOL (63) AIT (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Polaris Inc. (PII) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$59.41 -1.43% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $59.14

Polaris Inc. (PII) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows β†’
ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $3.38B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PII Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Polaris Inc. (NYSE: PII) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $59.41 (-1.43% 1D, market cap $3.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PII ranks #736 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PII compare to DOO and DSGR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), PII carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.1%, and ROIC of -11.5%. By comparison, DOO (BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $4.35B) and DSGR (Distribution Solutions Group Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POOL leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while POOL leads on capital efficiency (23.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PII?
β–Ό

Per PII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000931015), Polaris Inc. generated $7.15B in revenue (-0.3% YoY), -$465.5M in net income, and $558.1M in free cash flow against $4.89B in total assets and $1.82B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $59.14 (-0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 7.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk E
Cash (10)Whales (11)SEC (3)Macro (4)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
$82 Bull$54 Base$42 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PII RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PII)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PII SCORES 39/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$50.56+7.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$54.29+8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$58.64+1.3% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$59.41-7.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (31) β†’ D- (39)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PII Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While PII currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($56.32) and Max Pain ($62.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $81.88.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PIIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPII Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PII)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PII.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PII)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of PII's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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PII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.11%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $60.27H $60.27L $59.41C $59.41VOL 930.6K
RES: $89.06SUP: $48.99SMA50: $56.32SMA200: $62.40
$79.92$71.88$63.84$55.80$47.77RES $89.06SUP $48.99$59.412026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PII Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ PII Butterfly Map β†’ + Track PII β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PII today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PII. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PII today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PII)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #736 of 1011 βš”οΈ DOO vs PII Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PII vs. DOO, DSGR, POOL, AIT)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Polaris Inc. (PII) ranks #736 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #340 by equity capitalization ($3.38B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POOL leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while POOL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.7% ROIC and 29.7% gross margin. POOL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with PII at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PII ACTIVE
Polaris Inc.
D- 39/100 β€” 19.1% -11.5% -1.43% $3.38B Benchmark Subject
DOO
BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares
D 51/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.88% $4.35B /doo-vs-pii β†’
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group Inc.
C- 60/100 β€” 33.4% 4.9% -0.09% $1.62B /dsgr-vs-pii β†’
POOL
Pool Corporation
C 63/100 17.9x 29.7% 23.7% +0.90% $7.36B /pool-vs-pii β†’
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies Inc.
C 63/100 β€” 30.3% 19.0% -2.75% $10.74B /ait-vs-pii β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000931015

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Polaris Inc. (PII) reported GAAP revenue of $7.15B (-0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.18B , and -19.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$465.5M, operating cash flow of $741.0M, and free cash flow of $558.1M (+8486.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PII closed FY2025 with $4.89B in total assets against $1.82B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.59, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.15B -$465.5M $741.0M $558.1M $4.89B $1.82B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.18B $110.8M $268.2M $6.5M $5.53B $1.90B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.93B $502.8M $925.8M $523.8M $10.72B $2.51B

3. PII Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Polaris Inc. (NYSE: PII) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $59.41 (-1.43% 1D, market cap $3.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PII ranks #736 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PII compare to DOO and DSGR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), PII carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.1%, and ROIC of -11.5%. By comparison, DOO (BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $4.35B) and DSGR (Distribution Solutions Group Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POOL leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while POOL leads on capital efficiency (23.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PII?

Per PII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000931015), Polaris Inc. generated $7.15B in revenue (-0.3% YoY), -$465.5M in net income, and $558.1M in free cash flow against $4.89B in total assets and $1.82B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PII trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PII last traded at $59.41 (-1.43% on volume of 930,644 shares), positioning the stock +5.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($56.32) and -4.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($62.40). Across its 52-week range of $47.14 to $77.98, PII sits at the 39.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.5% ($54.95 to $63.87).

PII Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is PII's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PII.

Direct Sub-Reports: PII RQD Cockpit PII 12M Forecast PII Earnings & Move PII Dividends & DRIP PII Insiders & 13F PII Whale Options PII Profit Sankey PII News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 39/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PII β€” Polaris Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:23Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PII scores 40 out of 100, earning a D- and the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -11.5% and FCF yield is 16.27%. The FCF yield is a positive cash-generation signal, but the negative ROIC indicates the business is not currently earning returns above its capital base.
  • Whale 13F Flow (12 / 20): The RQD rating notes institutional accumulation and options positioning as a moderate factor. The underlying holder records are not provided in this dataset, so the specific mechanics cannot be verified here.
  • Insider Conviction (11 / 20): Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is scored as a moderate factor. The individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.1 and sector sensitivity is elevated. This pillar is the second-weakest, suggesting exposure to broader market and sector cycles.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (3 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 1.59, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 2.06. This is the weakest pillar and the primary driver of the low overall score.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the 16.27% FCF yield and the 4.38% dividend yield, which together suggest meaningful cash return relative to price. The valuation tradeoff is that the forward P/E of 24 is paid for a business with negative trailing EPS of -8.18 and negative ROIC. The balance sheet metrics (Altman Z of 1.59, Debt/Equity of 2.06) indicate limited financial cushion if operating conditions weaken, which is the central risk the rating emphasizes. This is an educational framework, not personalized advice.

Business

Polaris Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Industrial Specialties industry. Per the company profile, it carries a market capitalization of $3.4B. The source data does not describe specific products, end customers, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$7152.0M$-348.7M$-465.5MN/A$558.1M$138.0M$1824.3M
FY 2024$7175.4M$290.6M$110.8MN/A$6.5M$287.8M$1901.1M
FY 2023$8934.4M$700.9M$502.8MN/A$523.8MN/A$2508.8M

Revenue declined from $8934.4M in FY 2023 to $7152.0M in FY 2025, and FY 2025 swung to an operating loss of $-348.7M. Per the market data, gross margin is 19.1%, operating margin -4.9%, and net margin -6.5%. ROIC is -11.5%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.59 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, both signaling financial stress. Debt has declined from $2508.8M to $1824.3M over the period, while Debt/Equity stands at 2.06.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the items carry mixed signals:

  • Catalyst (GREEN): A Globe and Mail report headlined that Polaris surprised with strong Q3 2026 results and the stock rose.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): A GuruFocus report states that Polaris Industries halted its stock buyback amid retail challenges. This is tagged as a catalyst in the feed despite its negative tone.
  • Risk Watch (RED): A Seeking Alpha item rated Shares a 'Buy' on Q3 potential, while a separate Yahoo Finance item (YELLOW) describes a short initiation amid fading restocking tailwinds and a flaw in 2027 consensus.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): A TradingView item previews Q3 results, and a Yahoo! Finance Canada item provides general market coverage.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are the trailing and forward EV/EBITDA and trailing P/E values, which the source marks as unavailable?
  • What drove the swing from FY 2024 net income of $110.8M to FY 2025 net loss of $-465.5M, and is it recurring?
  • What are the EPS values for the reported fiscal years, which are listed as N/A?
  • What institutional, insider, and Congressional holdings support the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What is the basis for the conflicting Q3 signals in the news feed, and what do the actual Q3 2026 results show?

PII Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Polaris Inc. (PII) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PII Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PII Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $59.41?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PII 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PII:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $53.04 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PII (D- β€’ RQD 40/100) a Buy at $60.27?

Welcome to the PII (Polaris Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Specialties. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $45.20 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $60.27

Pump the brakes on PII β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PII, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 19.1% gross margins. Unless Polaris Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $74.13 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $60.27

PII cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PII, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Specialties and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $60.27 (52-wk range $47.14 - $77.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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