Stock Traders Daily report covering PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why PMT Stock slipped -1.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is PMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (NYSE: PMT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $7.89 (-1.74% 1D, market cap $700.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, PMT ranks #975 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does PMT compare to CLDT and CIM in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PMT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, CLDT (Chatham Lodging Trust of) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 46.3x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $698.9M) and CIM (Chimera Investment Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.0%, cap $706.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFA leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while BFS leads on capital efficiency (51.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PMT?
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Per PMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001464423), PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of generated $8.97B in revenue (+48.2% YoY), $86.1M in net income, and -$7.21B in free cash flow against $21.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PMT Turnaround Squeeze
While PMT currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.15) and Max Pain ($8.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.50.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why PMT Stock slipped -1.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) slipped -1.74% to $7.89, trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($6.7 – $13.81). Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($6.7 – $13.81) with RSI-14 at 62.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7% around $7.89 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Stock Traders Daily report covering PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Analysts upgraded PMT, MHK, CRWD, INO and AON; targets rose for MHK, CRWD and INO, while PMT’s target fell.
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Bose George upgrades PennyMac Mortgage IT (NYSE:PMT) from Market Perform to Outperform and lowers the price target from $10.75 to $10.
The Fed held rates steady following September's hike, with two dissenters favoring another increase. Check out the market update here.
See here for an analysis of 16 safe small-cap high-yield dividend dogs with strong cash flow and top picks projected to gain up to 62% by 2027.
The latest model for PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust now indicates a lower fair value, with the price target reduced from US$11.29 to US$10.38. Recent Street research, which has shifted price targets into a tighter US
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (NYSE:PMT) reported a third-quarter net loss attributable to common shareholders of $36 million, or $0.41 per common share, as higher interest rates and wider mortgage spreads reduced a
PMT reports net loss but signals capital rotation into higher-yielding credit assets.
Moby summary of PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's Q3 2026 earnings call
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PMT)
- ✓Walkthrough of PMT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
PMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +48.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PMT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PMT)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PMT vs. CLDT, CIM, MFA, BFS)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) ranks #975 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #627 by equity capitalization ($700.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFA leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while BFS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CLDT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with PMT at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PMT
ACTIVE
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of | D- | 35/100 | 7.5x | — | 4.6% | -1.74% | $700.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| CLDT Chatham Lodging Trust of | C- | 61/100 | 46.3x | — | 4.5% | +0.07% | $698.9M | /cldt-vs-pmt → |
| CIM Chimera Investment Corporation | E | 30/100 | — | — | 9.0% | -1.78% | $706.5M | /cim-vs-pmt → |
| MFA MFA Financial Inc. | D | 46/100 | 3.9x | — | 9.7% | -2.06% | $685.4M | /mfa-vs-pmt → |
| BFS Saul Centers Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 19.4x | — | 51.6% | -1.81% | $721.7M | /bfs-vs-pmt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001464423 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) reported GAAP revenue of $8.97B (+48.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.05B , and +76.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $86.1M, operating cash flow of -$7.21B, and free cash flow of -$7.21B (-166.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, PMT closed FY2025 with $21.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $8.97B | $86.1M | -$7.21B | -$7.21B | $21.35B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $6.05B | $119.2M | -$2.70B | -$2.70B | $14.41B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $5.09B | $157.8M | $1.34B | $1.34B | — | — |
3. PMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (NYSE: PMT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $7.89 (-1.74% 1D, market cap $700.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, PMT ranks #975 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PMT compare to CLDT and CIM in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PMT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, CLDT (Chatham Lodging Trust of) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 46.3x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $698.9M) and CIM (Chimera Investment Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.0%, cap $706.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFA leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while BFS leads on capital efficiency (51.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PMT?
Per PMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001464423), PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of generated $8.97B in revenue (+48.2% YoY), $86.1M in net income, and -$7.21B in free cash flow against $21.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PMT last traded at $7.89 (-1.74% on volume of 3,123,492 shares), positioning the stock -3.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.15) and -23.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.34). Across its 52-week range of $6.70 to $13.81, PMT sits at the 16.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($7.34 to $8.44).
PMT — PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 35/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $7.89 (-1.74% 1D, market capitalization $700.2M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $0.6B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) reported $8.97B in annual revenue (up from $6.05B in FY2024, +48.2% YoY) and $86.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.09B revenue, $157.8M net income) through FY2025, PMT scaled operating cash flow to -$7.21B and free cash flow to -$7.21B, backed by $21.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 35/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.70 – $13.81 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 7.5x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), PMT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can PMT sustain or expand its — operating margin and 4.6% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.97B and free cash flow of -$7.21B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is PMT's 7.0x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
PMT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Stock Traders Daily report covering PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of (PMT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Analysts upgraded PMT, MHK, CRWD, INO and AON; targets rose for MHK, CRWD and INO, while PMT’s target fell.
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Bose George upgrades PennyMac Mortgage IT (NYSE:PMT) from Market Perform to Outperform and lowers the price target from $10.75 to $10.
The Fed held rates steady following September's hike, with two dissenters favoring another increase. Check out the market update here.
See here for an analysis of 16 safe small-cap high-yield dividend dogs with strong cash flow and top picks projected to gain up to 62% by 2027.
The latest model for PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust now indicates a lower fair value, with the price target reduced from US$11.29 to US$10.38. Recent Street research, which has shifted price targets into a tighter US
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (NYSE:PMT) reported a third-quarter net loss attributable to common shareholders of $36 million, or $0.41 per common share, as higher interest rates and wider mortgage spreads reduced a
PMT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.89?
The P/E (TTM) of 7.5 and Forward P/E of 7 are low relative to the reported EPS (TTM) of 0.99.
The P/E (TTM) of 7.5 and Forward P/E of 7 are low relative to the reported EPS (TTM) of 0.99.. When you look under the hood at PMT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 3/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 4.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (6/20) has been quietly accumulating below $13.81. My 12M target is $9.49.
@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $7.47 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.
Free cash flow fell from $1.34B in FY 2023 to -$7.21B in FY 2025 while the RQD score is 34 with a 0% FCF yield.
Fading this rally in PMT at $7.47. Free cash flow fell from $1.34B in FY 2023 to -$7.21B in FY 2025 while the RQD score is 34 with a 0% FCF yield.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $7.47 (52-wk range $6.70–$13.81), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.