Pool Corporation (POOL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.8% Move

$205.95 +0.90% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $205.89

Pool Corporation (POOL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.36B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on POOL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is POOL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Pool Corporation (NASDAQ: POOL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $205.95 (+0.90% 1D, market cap $7.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, POOL ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does POOL compare to AIT and DOO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), POOL carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of 23.7%. By comparison, AIT (Applied Industrial Technologies Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $10.74B) and DOO (BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POOL leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while POOL leads on capital efficiency (23.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for POOL?
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Per POOL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000945841), Pool Corporation generated $5.29B in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $406.4M in net income, and $309.5M in free cash flow against $3.63B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $205.89 (-0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 5.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$292 Bull$211 Base$164 Bear
📬 FREE POOL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for POOL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY POOL SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.9% FCF Margin ($309.5M FCF) & 29.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (74) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$158.12+9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$172.44+13.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$195.59+5.3% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$205.95+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the POOL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, POOL faces multiple-compression risk if 17.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($175.93) or 200D SMA ($201.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($210.58) toward Bear Floor ($164.25).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $POOL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “POOL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.8% Swing Band

±$16.06 Expected Swing
$189.89 (-7.8%)Spot $205.95$222.01 (+7.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

POOL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 63/100

Trailing EPS: $11.38 • YoY Revenue Growth: -0.4%

Model Bullish Setup (63/100)Model Risk Weight (37/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$5.29B$406.4M$309.5M29.7%
FY 20242024-12-31$5.31B$434.3M$599.7M29.7%
FY 20232023-12-31$5.54B$523.2M$638.9M29.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating POOL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on POOL
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
POOL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.34%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $204.1H $206.0L $204.1C $206.0VOL 733.4K
RES: $208.9SUP: $143.4SMA50: $175.9SMA200: $201.4
$270.0$238.2$206.4$174.6$142.8RES $208.9SUP $143.4$206.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

POOL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on POOL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for POOL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for POOL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (POOL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #259 of 1011 ⚔️ AIT vs POOL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (POOL vs. AIT, DOO, PII, DSGR)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pool Corporation (POOL) ranks #259 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #211 by equity capitalization ($7.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POOL leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while POOL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.7% ROIC and 29.7% gross margin. POOL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
POOL ACTIVE
Pool Corporation
C 63/100 17.9x 29.7% 23.7% +0.90% $7.36B Benchmark Subject
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies Inc.
C 63/100 — 30.3% 19.0% -2.75% $10.74B /ait-vs-pool →
DOO
BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares
D 51/100 — — — -0.88% $4.35B /doo-vs-pool →
PII
Polaris Inc.
D- 39/100 — 19.1% -11.5% -1.43% $3.38B /pii-vs-pool →
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group Inc.
C- 60/100 — 33.4% 4.9% -0.09% $1.62B /dsgr-vs-pool →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000945841

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pool Corporation (POOL) reported GAAP revenue of $5.29B (-0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.31B , and -4.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $406.4M, operating cash flow of $365.9M, and free cash flow of $309.5M (-48.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, POOL closed FY2025 with $3.63B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.34, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.29B $406.4M $365.9M $309.5M $3.63B $1.19B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.31B $434.3M $659.2M $599.7M $3.37B $900.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.54B $523.2M $888.2M $638.9M $6.65B $1.56B

3. POOL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is POOL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Pool Corporation (NASDAQ: POOL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $205.95 (+0.90% 1D, market cap $7.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, POOL ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.

How does POOL compare to AIT and DOO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), POOL carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of 23.7%. By comparison, AIT (Applied Industrial Technologies Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $10.74B) and DOO (BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POOL leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while POOL leads on capital efficiency (23.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for POOL?

Per POOL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000945841), Pool Corporation generated $5.29B in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $406.4M in net income, and $309.5M in free cash flow against $3.63B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is POOL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

POOL last traded at $205.95 (+0.90% on volume of 733,427 shares), positioning the stock +17.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($175.93) and +2.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($201.43). Across its 52-week range of $152.70 to $278.17, POOL sits at the 42.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 74.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($189.89 to $222.01).

POOL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is POOL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Pool Corporation (POOL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is POOL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.8% event move for POOL, spanning a range between $189.89 and $222.01.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

POOL — Pool Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, POOL scores 63 out of 100, graded C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 23.7%; FCF yield 4.24%); Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 0.94; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 4.34; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 1).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the cash engine, supported by a 23.7% ROIC and a 4.24% FCF yield, which suggests the business generates meaningful returns on invested capital relative to its valuation. The weakest pillar is Macro Regime Fit at 9/20, indicating the scoring framework views the stock's sector sensitivity as a constraint in the current regime. Insider and institutional flow pillars sit mid-range, signaling neither a clear accumulation thesis nor a clear distribution signal. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: a P/E (TTM) of 17.9 and forward P/E of 16.6 frame the stock against its cash-generation profile. The rating's verdict of "Hold" reflects balanced risk-reward rather than a directional call, and this brief presents those inputs for educational evaluation rather than as personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
204.12$7.29B17.916.612.811.382.54%0.94$152.7 - $278.1723.7%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$5289.4M$580.2M$406.4MN/A$309.5MN/A$1186.4M
FY 2024$5311.0M$617.2M$434.3MN/A$599.7MN/A$900.9M
FY 2023$5541.6M$746.6M$523.2MN/A$638.9MN/A$1556.1M

Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, and net income declined across the three reported fiscal years, while reported debt was $1186.4M in FY 2025, $900.9M in FY 2024, and $1556.1M in FY 2023. Per the market data, ROIC is 23.7%, and per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.34 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 1.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings release scheduling: A headline reports the announcement of the third quarter 2026 earnings release date and conference call (Yahoo Finance, marked YELLOW).
  • Post-earnings commentary: A Seeking Alpha headline frames the stock as warranting caution after a post-earnings surge (marked GREEN).
  • Valuation/cash-flow commentary: A Yahoo Finance headline characterizes the stock as potentially a bargain on cash flow (marked GREEN).
  • Dividend declaration: A MarketScreener headline reports a quarterly dividend payable November 25, 2026 (marked YELLOW), and a MarketBeat headline reports a quarterly dividend of $1.30 (marked YELLOW).
  • Stock analysis coverage: A Simply Wall St headline provides general stock analysis (marked YELLOW).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix, given the profile provides only sector and industry classification?
  • What explains the year-over-year decline in revenue, operating income, and net income across FY 2023–FY 2025, and how does this interact with the reported FCF trend?
  • What is the company's cash balance, since cash is reported as N/A across all periods?
  • What drove the swings in reported debt between FY 2023 and FY 2025, and what is the debt maturity profile?
  • What is the basis for the 52-week range and the 4.36% price change, and how do these relate to the post-earnings commentary in the news wire?

POOL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pool Corporation (POOL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to POOL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

POOL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $205.95?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON POOL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on POOL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $220.45 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is POOL (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $204.12?

Welcome to the POOL (Pool Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Industrial Specialties. Bulls point to capital efficiency (23.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $165.34 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $204.12

Pump the brakes on POOL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on POOL, but look at what you are paying: 17.9x trailing P/E with 29.7% gross margins. Unless Pool Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $259.23 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $204.12

POOL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on POOL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Specialties and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $204.12 (52-wk range $152.70 - $278.17), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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