Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.6% Move

$10.34 +1.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.34

Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $305.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PPHC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (NASDAQ: PPHC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $10.34 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $305.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PPHC ranks #335 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PPHC compare to TMS and BTQ in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), PPHC carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 10.0%, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, TMS (Teamshares Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $302.0M) and BTQ (BTQ Technologies Corp.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $317.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PPHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMS leads on capital efficiency (-6.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PPHC?
▼

Per PPHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001903508), Public Policy Holding Company Inc. generated $186.5M in revenue (+24.7% YoY), -$39.0M in net income, and $24.8M in free cash flow against $202.6M in total assets and $37.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.34 (+0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 13.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
$16 Bull$10 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE PPHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PPHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PPHC SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.3% FCF Margin ($24.8M FCF) & 10% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 41% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$10.59-7.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$9.83-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$9.78+5.7% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$10.34-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PPHC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PPHC currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.88) and Max Pain ($10.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PPHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PPHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.6% Swing Band

±$1.20 Expected Swing
$9.14 (-11.6%)Spot $10.34$11.54 (+11.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PPHC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 41/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 24.7%

Model Bullish Setup (41/100)Model Risk Weight (59/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$186.5M-$39.0M$24.8M10%
FY 20242024-12-31$149.6M-$24.0M$16.3M11.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PPHC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PPHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PPHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.18%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $10.21H $10.34L $10.21C $10.34VOL 117.8K
RES: $14.57SUP: $9.49SMA50: $10.88SMA200: $11.31
$15.08$12.89$10.70$8.52$6.33RES $14.57SUP $9.49$10.342026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PPHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +24.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PPHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PPHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PPHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PPHC)

Industrials Rank #335 of 485 ⚔️ TMS vs PPHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PPHC vs. TMS, BTQ, SUPX, QNC)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) ranks #335 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #323 by equity capitalization ($305.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PPHC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.1% ROIC and — gross margin. QNC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with PPHC at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PPHC ACTIVE
Public Policy Holding Company Inc.
D- 41/100 — 10.0% -29.0% +1.17% $305.5M Benchmark Subject
TMS
Teamshares Inc.
E 29/100 — — -6.1% +8.05% $302.0M /tms-vs-pphc →
BTQ
BTQ Technologies Corp.
D 44/100 — — — -8.33% $317.7M /btq-vs-pphc →
SUPX
SuperX AI Technology Limited
E 29/100 — 5.0% — -5.51% $266.6M /supx-vs-pphc →
QNC
Quantum eMotion Corp.
D 45/100 — — — -9.91% $243.6M /qnc-vs-pphc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001903508

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) reported GAAP revenue of $186.5M (+24.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $149.6M ) , GAAP net income of -$39.0M, operating cash flow of $24.8M, and free cash flow of $24.8M (+51.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PPHC closed FY2025 with $202.6M in total assets against $37.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.71, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $186.5M -$39.0M $24.8M $24.8M $202.6M $37.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $149.6M -$24.0M $16.4M $16.3M $174.5M $26.0M

3. PPHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (NASDAQ: PPHC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $10.34 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $305.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PPHC ranks #335 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PPHC compare to TMS and BTQ in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), PPHC carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 10.0%, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, TMS (Teamshares Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $302.0M) and BTQ (BTQ Technologies Corp.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $317.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PPHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMS leads on capital efficiency (-6.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PPHC?

Per PPHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001903508), Public Policy Holding Company Inc. generated $186.5M in revenue (+24.7% YoY), -$39.0M in net income, and $24.8M in free cash flow against $202.6M in total assets and $37.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PPHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PPHC last traded at $10.34 (+1.17% on volume of 111,570 shares), positioning the stock -4.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.88) and -8.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.31). Across its 52-week range of $7.01 to $15.15, PPHC sits at the 40.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($9.14 to $11.54).

PPHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PPHC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PPHC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.6% event move for PPHC, spanning a range between $9.14 and $11.54.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PPHC — Public Policy Holding Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:38:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PPHC scores 41 out of 100, graded D- and labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a ROIC of -29% and an FCF yield of 8.1%. The negative ROIC signals that invested capital is not currently generating returns, while the FCF yield indicates the company is producing positive free cash flow relative to its market value. For an investor, the tension is that cash generation is present but returns on capital are negative.
  • Whale 13F Flow (6 / 20): Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. This is the weakest pillar and suggests limited institutional conviction in the source data, though the holder detail itself is not available in source data.
  • Insider Conviction (9 / 20): Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score modestly. The underlying transaction records are not available in source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with moderate sector sensitivity. The stock is expected to move in line with the broad market rather than offering defensive or asymmetric behavior.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (8 / 20): Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.71, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.51. A Z-Score this low is consistent with elevated financial distress risk, partly offset by a moderate F-Score.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the composite picture is one of cash generation coexisting with operating losses, weak institutional interest, and a stretched balance sheet. The RQD framework treats this combination as a reason for caution rather than an entry signal. Upside would depend on operating losses narrowing and returns on capital turning positive; neither is demonstrated in the reported periods.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$186.5M$-33.9M$-39.0MN/A$24.8M$20.4M$37.9M
FY 2024$149.6M$-18.2M$-24.0MN/A$16.3M$14.5M$26.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $149.6M in FY 2024 to $186.5M in FY 2025, while operating and net losses widened. Per the market data, operating margin is -18.2% and net margin is -20.9%, with ROIC at -29%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.71 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a combination that points to financial distress risk alongside some fundamental strength. Per the SEC financials, debt rose from $26.0M to $37.9M and cash from $14.5M to $20.4M, leaving the balance sheet more leveraged year over year. Debt/Equity is 0.51 per the RQD rating.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from source data. Sector correlations and 2nd-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue model and primary customer base, given that the source data provides only a sector classification and a 10% gross margin?
  • What drove the widening of operating and net losses in FY 2025 despite revenue growth, and is there a path to positive ROIC?
  • What are the terms and maturities of the $37.9M in debt, and how does the company plan to address its Altman Z-Score of 0.71?
  • What explains the divergence between the 8.1% FCF yield and the negative operating and net income?
  • Who holds the shares and what insider or institutional activity underlies the 6/20 whale flow and 9/20 insider conviction scores?

PPHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PPHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 16h ago
PPHC Announces Acquisition of Reevemark

Establishes PPHC as a global leader in litigation and high-stakes strategic communications Acquisition adds market-leading capabilities in litigation support, transactions, shareholder activism and crisis communications

Read Full Source ↗
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 38d ago
Public Policy Holding Co Inc's Dividend Analysis

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Public Policy Holding Co Inc (NASDAQ:PPHC) recently announced a total dividend of $0.12 per share, with the ex-dividend date set for 2026-09-25. This distribution consists of a $

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PPHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.34?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PPHC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PPHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.99 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PPHC (D- • RQD 41/100) a Buy at $10.22?

Welcome to the PPHC (Public Policy Holding Company Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 41/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Diversified Equities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.97 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $10.22

Pump the brakes on PPHC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PPHC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 10.0% gross margins. Unless Public Policy Holding Company Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.78 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $10.22

PPHC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PPHC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Equities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.22 (52-wk range $7.01 - $15.15), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%