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Parsons Corporation (PSN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$52.95 +4.46% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.27

Parsons Corporation (PSN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.35B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Parsons Corporation (NYSE: PSN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $52.95 (+4.46% 1D, market cap $5.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, PSN ranks #238 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PSN compare to WAY and APLD in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), PSN carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.6x, gross margin of 22.5%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, WAY (Waystar Holding Corp.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 48.3x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $5.37B) and APLD (Applied Digital Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.7%, cap $5.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PEGA leads on earnings multiple (14.2x) while PEGA leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSN?
β–Ό

Per PSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000275880), Parsons Corporation generated $6.36B in revenue (-5.7% YoY), $241.1M in net income, and $192.0M in free cash flow against $5.77B in total assets and $1.24B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.27 (+0.61%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$92 Bull$53 Base$41 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PSN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PSN SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.78 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.4) create a -12 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$42.79+6.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$45.40+11.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$50.52+4.8% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$52.95+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PSN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, PSN faces multiple-compression risk if 21.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 20.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($45.76) or 200D SMA ($53.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.95) toward Bear Floor ($41.30).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PSNβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPSN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±8.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PSN)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PSN.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PSN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of PSN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.86%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $49.33H $52.95L $49.33C $52.95VOL 1.72M
RES: $62.69SUP: $36.14SMA50: $45.76SMA200: $53.62
$73.49$63.40$53.31$43.22$33.13RES $62.69SUP $36.14$52.952026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PSN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PSN)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PSN vs. WAY, APLD, BILI, PEGA)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Parsons Corporation (PSN) ranks #238 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #210 by equity capitalization ($5.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PEGA leads on earnings valuation at 14.2x trailing P/E, while PEGA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.4% ROIC and 75.9% gross margin. PEGA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with PSN at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PSN ACTIVE
Parsons Corporation
D+ 58/100 21.6x 22.5% 9.7% +4.46% $5.35B Benchmark Subject
WAY
Waystar Holding Corp.
C 63/100 48.3x β€” 3.7% +0.50% $5.37B /way-vs-psn β†’
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
D- 37/100 β€” 35.1% -21.7% -8.95% $5.39B /apld-vs-psn β†’
BILI
Bilibili Inc.
D+ 53/100 31.4x 36.6% 10.9% +6.55% $5.28B /bili-vs-psn β†’
PEGA
Pegasystems Inc.
B- 71/100 14.2x 75.9% 22.4% +1.92% $5.55B /pega-vs-psn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000275880 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Parsons Corporation (PSN) reported GAAP revenue of $6.36B (-5.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.75B , and +16.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $241.1M, operating cash flow of $478.4M, and free cash flow of $192.0M (-12.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PSN closed FY2025 with $5.77B in total assets against $1.24B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.78, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.36B $241.1M $478.4M $192.0M $5.77B $1.24B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.75B $235.1M $523.6M $219.8M $5.49B $784.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.44B $161.1M $407.7M $162.8M $6.53B $1.53B

3. PSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Parsons Corporation (NYSE: PSN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $52.95 (+4.46% 1D, market cap $5.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, PSN ranks #238 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PSN compare to WAY and APLD in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), PSN carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.6x, gross margin of 22.5%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, WAY (Waystar Holding Corp.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 48.3x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $5.37B) and APLD (Applied Digital Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.7%, cap $5.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PEGA leads on earnings multiple (14.2x) while PEGA leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSN?

Per PSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000275880), Parsons Corporation generated $6.36B in revenue (-5.7% YoY), $241.1M in net income, and $192.0M in free cash flow against $5.77B in total assets and $1.24B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PSN last traded at $52.95 (+4.46% on volume of 1,739,386 shares), positioning the stock +15.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($45.76) and -1.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.62). Across its 52-week range of $36.26 to $88.00, PSN sits at the 32.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.4% ($48.50 to $57.40).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PSN β€” Parsons Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Parsons Corporation (PSN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $52.95 (+4.46% 1D, market capitalization $5.35B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.7%, gross margin of 22.5%, operating margin of 6.6%, and free cash flow yield of 3.69%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.19x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.78, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.47x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Parsons Corporation (PSN) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the EDP Services industry (Technology sector) with an equity market capitalization of $5.35B. The business operates with a gross margin of 22.5%, an operating margin of 6.6%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.7% (free cash flow yield of 3.69%). Within the EDP Services peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Parsons Corporation (PSN) reported $6.36B in annual revenue (up from $6.75B in FY2024, -5.7% YoY) and $241.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.44B revenue, $161.1M net income) through FY2025, PSN scaled operating cash flow to $478.4M and free cash flow to $192.0M, backed by $5.77B in total assets against $1.24B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 58/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 3.69% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $36.26 – $88.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 21.6x trailing P/E and 9.0x EV/EBITDA against 6.6% operating margins and a 1.19x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so no supply-chain dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks can be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can PSN sustain or expand its 6.6% operating margin and 9.7% ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.36B and free cash flow of $192.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.24B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PSN's 20.1x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.19x)?

PSN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Parsons Corporation (PSN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PSN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PSN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $52.95?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PSN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PSN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $59.31 (+17.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 15/20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the strongest pillar in the rating.

The street is overcomplicating Parsons Corporation (PSN). Insider conviction scores 15/20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the strongest pillar in the rating.. With an RQD score of 58/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $54.75.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on 21.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in EDP Services. If gross margin (22.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.06 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $50.69

Macro regime fit scores only 8/20 with beta at 1.19, and ROIC of 9.7% with a 3.69% FCF yield does not signal a compelling cash-generati

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short PSN above $50.69. Macro regime fit scores only 8/20 with beta at 1.19, and ROIC of 9.7% with a 3.69% FCF yield does not signal a compelling cash-generation discount.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20) and FCF yield (3.69%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $88.00.

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