Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.87 -1.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.84

Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $369.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PTLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PTLO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $4.87 (-1.81% 1D, market cap $369.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTLO ranks #703 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PTLO compare to KRUS and DIN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PTLO carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.8M) and DIN (Dine Brands Global Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 26.0x, ROIC —, cap $449.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTLO?
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Per PTLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001871509), Portillo's Inc. (Class A) generated $732.1M in revenue (+3.0% YoY), $21.1M in net income, and -$18.5M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $238.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.84 (-0.52%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$7 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE PTLO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PTLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PTLO SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.70 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 6% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$4.56+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$4.57-5.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$4.31+13% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$4.87-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PTLO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PTLO currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.20) and Max Pain ($5.11) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.02.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PTLO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PTLO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PTLO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PTLO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PTLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.86%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $4.96H $4.96L $4.87C $4.87VOL 1.79M
RES: $5.09SUP: $2.74SMA50: $4.20SMA200: $4.82
$6.71$5.79$4.86$3.93$3.00RES $5.09SUP $2.74$4.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PTLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTLO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PTLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTLO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #703 of 1011 ⚔️ KRUS vs PTLO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PTLO vs. KRUS, DIN, LOCO, PLAY)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) ranks #703 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #622 by equity capitalization ($369.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOCO leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while LOCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.7% ROIC and — gross margin. DIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with PTLO at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PTLO ACTIVE
Portillo's Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 17.9x — 4.9% -1.81% $369.8M Benchmark Subject
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)
E 18/100 — — -1.9% +0.09% $424.8M /krus-vs-ptlo →
DIN
Dine Brands Global Inc.
C+ 66/100 26.0x 40.9% — +1.00% $449.5M /din-vs-ptlo →
LOCO
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.
C 65/100 17.7x — 11.7% -0.45% $465.6M /loco-vs-ptlo →
PLAY
Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.
E 28/100 — 85.7% 4.3% -3.69% $272.7M /play-vs-ptlo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001871509

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) reported GAAP revenue of $732.1M (+3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $710.6M , and +7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $21.1M, operating cash flow of $71.9M, and free cash flow of -$18.5M (-288.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTLO closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $238.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.70, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $732.1M $21.1M $71.9M -$18.5M $1.61B $238.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $710.6M $35.1M $98.0M $9.8M $1.50B $275.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $679.9M $24.8M $70.8M $70.8M — —

3. PTLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PTLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PTLO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $4.87 (-1.81% 1D, market cap $369.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTLO ranks #703 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PTLO compare to KRUS and DIN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PTLO carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.8M) and DIN (Dine Brands Global Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 26.0x, ROIC —, cap $449.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTLO?

Per PTLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001871509), Portillo's Inc. (Class A) generated $732.1M in revenue (+3.0% YoY), $21.1M in net income, and -$18.5M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $238.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PTLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PTLO last traded at $4.87 (-1.81% on volume of 1,787,694 shares), positioning the stock +15.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.20) and +1.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.82). Across its 52-week range of $3.29 to $6.69, PTLO sits at the 46.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.26 to $5.48).

PTLO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does PTLO pay a dividend and is it safe?

Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PTLO — Portillo's Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PTLO scores 43 out of 100, grade D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC 4.9%; FCF yield -4.92%), the weakest reading and the core concern; Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), a moderate reading; Insider Conviction at 8/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), a weak reading; Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), a below-midpoint reading; and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 0.7; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.51), also below midpoint. For a prospective investor, the rating indicates that cash generation, the most important pillar for valuing a business, is the weakest component. Upside drivers would need to come from a reversal in free cash flow and returns on capital, which the source data does not show as established. Valuation tradeoffs are visible: the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 17.9 and EV/EBITDA of 5.1 per the market data, but the negative FCF yield and a 4.9% ROIC mean the earnings multiple does not translate into strong cash returns. The Altman Z-Score of 0.7 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 are weak forensic readings. The rating does not constitute a recommendation, but it highlights that the position carries balance-sheet and cash-flow risk that a prospective investor should weigh alongside price momentum.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
4.96$376.7M17.916.65.10.280%1.0$3.29 - $6.694.9%

Business

Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Restaurants industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is 6%, and net margin is 2.9%. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-28)$732.1M$43.7M$21.1MN/A$-18.5MN/A$238.0M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-29)$710.6M$58.0M$35.1MN/A$9.8MN/A$275.4M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$679.9M$55.4M$24.8MN/A$70.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $679.9M in FY 2023 to $732.1M in FY 2025, but net income declined from $35.1M in FY 2024 to $21.1M in FY 2025, and free cash flow turned negative at $-18.5M in FY 2025 after $70.8M in FY 2023. Per the market data, ROIC is 4.9% and net margin is 2.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.7 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.51, and reported debt declined from $275.4M to $238.0M across FY 2024 to FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Yahoo Finance coverage (1h ago, GREEN) frames PTLO as a fast-paced mover of interest to bargain hunters; the headline is labeled CATALYST.
  • StockInvest.us (3h ago, YELLOW) covers stock price forecasting.
  • MarketBeat (6h ago, YELLOW) covers brokerage commentary.
  • The Globe and Mail (9h ago, YELLOW) includes PTLO in a consumer cyclical analyst roundup.
  • Yahoo Finance (12h ago, YELLOW) previews upcoming earnings, with headline language indicating expected growth.
  • MarketBeat (15h ago, YELLOW) reports that Stephens reaffirmed an "Equal Weight" rating.

Risk watch items: the earnings release referenced in the Yahoo Finance preview is a near-term event; the source data does not state the release date or consensus figures. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the Consumer Discretionary classification and the Beta of 1.0 per the market data. Not available in source data for further ripple analysis.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's reported EPS, cash balance, and gross margin history, given that the source data lists these as N/A or 0%?
  • Why did free cash flow turn negative in FY 2025 after positive results in FY 2023 and FY 2024, and what drove the decline?
  • What is the earnings release date and consensus expectation referenced in the recent news?
  • What institutional holders, 13F positions, and insider transactions exist, given that holders and analyst data are unavailable?
  • What are the company's products, customer base, and competitive positioning within restaurants?

PTLO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PTLO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PTLO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.87?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PTLO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PTLO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.36 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PTLO (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $4.96?

Welcome to the PTLO (Portillo's Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.77 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $4.96

Pump the brakes on PTLO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PTLO, but look at what you are paying: 17.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Portillo's Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.05 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $4.96

PTLO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PTLO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.96 (52-wk range $3.29 - $6.69), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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