Keybanc analyst Justin Patterson maintains Pattern Group (NASDAQ:PTRN) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $30 to $25.
Why PTRN Stock slipped -1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is PTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: PTRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.59 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $2.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTRN ranks #440 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does PTRN compare to CNXN and GCT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), PTRN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.19B) and GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTRN?
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Per PTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811935), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) generated $2.50B in revenue (+39.3% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and $78.9M in free cash flow against $947.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 8.25 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.2% FCF Margin ($78.9M FCF) & 43.6% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (41.8) create a -15 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PTRN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, PTRN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.47) or 200D SMA ($17.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.37) toward Bear Floor ($12.77).
Why PTRN Stock slipped -1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) slipped -1.78% to $16.59, trading at 37% of its 52-week range ($8.92 – $29.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 37% of its 52-week range ($8.92 – $29.8) with RSI-14 at 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.3% around $16.59 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 43.6% gross margin and $78.9M annual free cash flow.
Maplebear (CART) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -6.25% and +2.06%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
LEHI, Utah, October 21, 2026--Pattern Group Inc. (Nasdaq: PTRN) has been named a 2026 Inc. Power Partner Awards winner, its fifth consecutive year receiving the honor.
LEHI, Utah, October 07, 2026--Pattern Group Inc. (Nasdaq: PTRN) ("Pattern"), a leader in accelerating brands on global ecommerce marketplaces, announced today that it will report third quarter 2026 financial results for
LEHI, Utah, August 26, 2026--Pattern (PTRN) to present at Goldman Sachs Communacopia & Tech Conference Sept 11; webcast live at investors.pattern.com.
Pattern Group (NasdaqGS:PTRN) reports record Q2 results with strong revenue and EBITDA, supported by expansion across international and non-Amazon channels. The company launches Pattern Intelligence, a new platform aimed
Moby summary of Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock's Q2 2026 earnings call
Yahoo Finance coverage on PTRN stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
Pattern Group is finding support at its 50-day moving average as the stock carves a base that could offer a proper buy point at 29.80.
The Italian fashion manufacturing group achieved LEED v4 for Building Design and Construction Certification, Platinum level for its Turin headquarters.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PTRN)
- ✓Walkthrough of PTRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
PTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +39.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTRN)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PTRN vs. CNXN, GCT, NSIT, RVLV)
Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) ranks #440 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #363 by equity capitalization ($2.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. GCT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with PTRN at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTRN
ACTIVE
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) | D+ | 55/100 | — | 43.6% | 6.9% | -1.78% | $2.94B | Benchmark Subject |
| CNXN PC Connection Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 25.8x | 18.8% | 10.9% | +1.41% | $2.19B | /cnxn-vs-ptrn → |
| GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) | A- | 81/100 | 15.8x | 23.3% | 85.0% | -3.69% | $2.08B | /gct-vs-ptrn → |
| NSIT Insight Enterprises Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 33.3x | 21.4% | 6.0% | -3.26% | $5.07B | /nsit-vs-ptrn → |
| RVLV Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) | C | 65/100 | 26.6x | 53.5% | 26.6% | -2.86% | $1.59B | /rvlv-vs-ptrn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001811935In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.50B (+39.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +83.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.2M, operating cash flow of $99.4M, and free cash flow of $78.9M (+58.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTRN closed FY2025 with $947.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.50B | $16.2M | $99.4M | $78.9M | $947.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.80B | $67.9M | $70.3M | $49.9M | $664.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.37B | $41.3M | $41.5M | $41.5M | — | — |
3. PTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: PTRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.59 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $2.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTRN ranks #440 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PTRN compare to CNXN and GCT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), PTRN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.19B) and GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTRN?
Per PTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811935), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) generated $2.50B in revenue (+39.3% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and $78.9M in free cash flow against $947.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PTRN last traded at $16.59 (-1.78% on volume of 1,260,714 shares), positioning the stock -10.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.47) and -5.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.54). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $29.80, PTRN sits at the 36.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($15.05 to $18.13).
PTRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PTRN stock moving today?
Why PTRN Stock slipped -1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
PTRN — Pattern Group Inc. (Series A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, PTRN carries an RQD score of 55, a letter grade of D+, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are scored as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 15 of 20, with ROIC at 6.9% and FCF yield at 2.63%. Whale 13F Flow scores 5 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 12 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 5 of 20, with beta at 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. Forensic Balance Sheet is the strongest pillar at 18 of 20, with Altman Z at 8.25, Piotroski F at 7 of 9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5.
For a prospective investor, the implication is a split profile. The balance sheet metrics indicate low forensic risk, which supports solvency. However, the cash-generation and sentiment pillars are weak, and the verdict is a trim signal. The 2.63% FCF yield and 6.9% ROIC provide limited return support at the current $16.89 price, and the 63.2 EV/EBITDA multiple is a material valuation tradeoff against that cash return. Upside would depend on improved cash conversion and stronger institutional or insider conviction, neither of which the source data demonstrates.
Business
Per the company profile, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Per the market data, gross margin is 43.6%, operating margin is 1%, and net margin is 0.6%. Additional business detail is not available in source data.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2501.3M | $25.4M | $16.2M | N/A | $78.9M | $289.0M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $1796.2M | $87.2M | $67.9M | N/A | $49.9M | $175.6M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $1366.4M | $52.8M | $41.3M | N/A | $41.5M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $1366.4M in FY 2023 to $2501.3M in FY 2025, but net income fell from $67.9M in FY 2024 to $16.2M in FY 2025, and operating margin compressed to 1% per the market data. ROIC is 6.9% per the market data. The Altman Z-Score is 8.25 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 of 9, both per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same source. Reported FY 2025 cash is $289.0M, though debt values are not available in source data.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.
Open Questions
- What is the company's specific product set and revenue model within Catalog/Specialty Distribution?
- What are the reported EPS, P/E, and forward P/E figures, given that these are unavailable in source data?
- What explains the drop in FY 2025 net income to $16.2M from $67.9M in FY 2024 despite higher revenue?
- What are the reported debt balances underlying the 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio?
- What institutional, insider, or analyst positioning drives the weak whale and insider pillar scores?
PTRN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Keybanc analyst Justin Patterson maintains Pattern Group (NASDAQ:PTRN) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $30 to $25.
Maplebear (CART) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -6.25% and +2.06%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
LEHI, Utah, October 21, 2026--Pattern Group Inc. (Nasdaq: PTRN) has been named a 2026 Inc. Power Partner Awards winner, its fifth consecutive year receiving the honor.
LEHI, Utah, October 07, 2026--Pattern Group Inc. (Nasdaq: PTRN) ("Pattern"), a leader in accelerating brands on global ecommerce marketplaces, announced today that it will report third quarter 2026 financial results for
LEHI, Utah, August 26, 2026--Pattern (PTRN) to present at Goldman Sachs Communacopia & Tech Conference Sept 11; webcast live at investors.pattern.com.
Pattern Group (NasdaqGS:PTRN) reports record Q2 results with strong revenue and EBITDA, supported by expansion across international and non-Amazon channels. The company launches Pattern Intelligence, a new platform aimed
Moby summary of Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock's Q2 2026 earnings call
Yahoo Finance coverage on PTRN stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
PTRN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.59?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PTRN (D+ • RQD 55/100) a Buy at $16.89?
Welcome to the PTRN (Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Catalog/Specialty Distribution. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on PTRN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PTRN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 43.6% gross margins. Unless Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
PTRN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PTRN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Catalog/Specialty Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.89 (52-wk range $8.92 - $29.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.