Why PTRN Stock slipped -1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$16.59 -1.78% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.51

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.94B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: PTRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.59 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $2.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTRN ranks #440 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PTRN compare to CNXN and GCT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), PTRN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.19B) and GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTRN?
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Per PTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811935), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) generated $2.50B in revenue (+39.3% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and $78.9M in free cash flow against $947.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.51 (-0.51%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 3.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (5)SEC (18)Macro (5)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$31 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE PTRN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PTRN SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.25 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.2% FCF Margin ($78.9M FCF) & 43.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (41.8) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$17.20+5.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$18.13-10.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$16.27+2% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$16.59-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PTRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, PTRN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.47) or 200D SMA ($17.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.37) toward Bear Floor ($12.77).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PTRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PTRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PTRN Stock slipped -1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) slipped -1.78% to $16.59, trading at 37% of its 52-week range ($8.92 – $29.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 37% of its 52-week range ($8.92 – $29.8) with RSI-14 at 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.3% around $16.59 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 43.6% gross margin and $78.9M annual free cash flow.
Live PTRN Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
Maplebear (CART) Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates

Maplebear (CART) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -6.25% and +2.06%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 26d ago
Pattern to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

LEHI, Utah, October 07, 2026--Pattern Group Inc. (Nasdaq: PTRN) ("Pattern"), a leader in accelerating brands on global ecommerce marketplaces, announced today that it will report third quarter 2026 financial results for

CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 126d ago
Pattern Group Reports Strong Growth

The Italian fashion manufacturing group achieved LEED v4 for Building Design and Construction Certification, Platinum level for its Turin headquarters.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PTRN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PTRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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PTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.81%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $16.89H $16.89L $16.59C $16.59VOL 1.26M
RES: $16.60SUP: $13.87SMA50: $18.47SMA200: $17.54
$31.03$25.93$20.82$15.71$10.61RES $16.60SUP $13.87$16.592026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +39.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTRN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #440 of 1011 ⚔️ CNXN vs PTRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PTRN vs. CNXN, GCT, NSIT, RVLV)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) ranks #440 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #363 by equity capitalization ($2.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. GCT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with PTRN at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PTRN ACTIVE
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)
D+ 55/100 — 43.6% 6.9% -1.78% $2.94B Benchmark Subject
CNXN
PC Connection Inc.
C- 60/100 25.8x 18.8% 10.9% +1.41% $2.19B /cnxn-vs-ptrn →
GCT
GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)
A- 81/100 15.8x 23.3% 85.0% -3.69% $2.08B /gct-vs-ptrn →
NSIT
Insight Enterprises Inc.
C- 60/100 33.3x 21.4% 6.0% -3.26% $5.07B /nsit-vs-ptrn →
RVLV
Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 26.6x 53.5% 26.6% -2.86% $1.59B /rvlv-vs-ptrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001811935

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.50B (+39.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +83.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.2M, operating cash flow of $99.4M, and free cash flow of $78.9M (+58.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTRN closed FY2025 with $947.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.50B $16.2M $99.4M $78.9M $947.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.80B $67.9M $70.3M $49.9M $664.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.37B $41.3M $41.5M $41.5M — —

3. PTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: PTRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.59 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $2.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTRN ranks #440 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PTRN compare to CNXN and GCT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), PTRN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.19B) and GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTRN?

Per PTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811935), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) generated $2.50B in revenue (+39.3% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and $78.9M in free cash flow against $947.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PTRN last traded at $16.59 (-1.78% on volume of 1,260,714 shares), positioning the stock -10.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.47) and -5.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.54). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $29.80, PTRN sits at the 36.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($15.05 to $18.13).

PTRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is PTRN stock moving today?

Why PTRN Stock slipped -1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PTRN — Pattern Group Inc. (Series A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PTRN carries an RQD score of 55, a letter grade of D+, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are scored as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 15 of 20, with ROIC at 6.9% and FCF yield at 2.63%. Whale 13F Flow scores 5 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 12 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 5 of 20, with beta at 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. Forensic Balance Sheet is the strongest pillar at 18 of 20, with Altman Z at 8.25, Piotroski F at 7 of 9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the implication is a split profile. The balance sheet metrics indicate low forensic risk, which supports solvency. However, the cash-generation and sentiment pillars are weak, and the verdict is a trim signal. The 2.63% FCF yield and 6.9% ROIC provide limited return support at the current $16.89 price, and the 63.2 EV/EBITDA multiple is a material valuation tradeoff against that cash return. Upside would depend on improved cash conversion and stronger institutional or insider conviction, neither of which the source data demonstrates.

Business

Per the company profile, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Per the market data, gross margin is 43.6%, operating margin is 1%, and net margin is 0.6%. Additional business detail is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2501.3M$25.4M$16.2MN/A$78.9M$289.0MN/A
FY 2024$1796.2M$87.2M$67.9MN/A$49.9M$175.6MN/A
FY 2023$1366.4M$52.8M$41.3MN/A$41.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $1366.4M in FY 2023 to $2501.3M in FY 2025, but net income fell from $67.9M in FY 2024 to $16.2M in FY 2025, and operating margin compressed to 1% per the market data. ROIC is 6.9% per the market data. The Altman Z-Score is 8.25 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 of 9, both per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same source. Reported FY 2025 cash is $289.0M, though debt values are not available in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's specific product set and revenue model within Catalog/Specialty Distribution?
  • What are the reported EPS, P/E, and forward P/E figures, given that these are unavailable in source data?
  • What explains the drop in FY 2025 net income to $16.2M from $67.9M in FY 2024 despite higher revenue?
  • What are the reported debt balances underlying the 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio?
  • What institutional, insider, or analyst positioning drives the weak whale and insider pillar scores?

PTRN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PTRN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PTRN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.59?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PTRN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PTRN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $18.24 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PTRN (D+ • RQD 55/100) a Buy at $16.89?

Welcome to the PTRN (Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Catalog/Specialty Distribution. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.19 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $16.89

Pump the brakes on PTRN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PTRN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 43.6% gross margins. Unless Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.25 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $16.89

PTRN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PTRN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Catalog/Specialty Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.89 (52-wk range $8.92 - $29.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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