What is PUBM's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PUBM.

Stock Ratings / Technology / PUBM / options

SMWB (44) RXT (36) BMBL (47) SABR (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$15.57 -2.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.48

PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $723.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PUBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PUBM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $15.57 (-2.01% 1D, market cap $723.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, PUBM ranks #365 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PUBM compare to SMWB and RXT in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), PUBM carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 63.6%, and ROIC of -11.6%. By comparison, SMWB (Similarweb Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $783.4M) and RXT (Rackspace Technology Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.7%, cap $667.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PUBM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RXT leads on capital efficiency (-5.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUBM?

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Per PUBM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001422930), PubMatic Inc. (Class A) generated $282.9M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), -$14.0M in net income, and $66.7M in free cash flow against $680.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.48 (-0.55%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 23.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PUBM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PUBM SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 71% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.6% FCF Margin ($66.7M FCF) & 63.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$18.89-7.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$17.46-2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$17.05-8.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$15.57-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PUBM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PUBM currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.38) and Max Pain ($16.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PUBM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PUBM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PUBM)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PUBM.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PUBM)

✓Walkthrough of PUBM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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PUBM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +51.90%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-11-03O $17.01H $17.01L $15.57C $15.57VOL 460.7K

RES: $20.07SUP: $16.02SMA50: $17.38SMA200: $12.19

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PUBM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PUBM Butterfly Map → + Track PUBM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PUBM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PUBM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PUBM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PUBM)

Technology Rank #365 of 715 ⚔️ SMWB vs PUBM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PUBM vs. SMWB, RXT, BMBL, SABR)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) ranks #365 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #385 by equity capitalization ($723.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PUBM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RXT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -5.7% ROIC and 18.9% gross margin. PUBM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PUBM ACTIVE PubMatic Inc. (Class A)	D	48/100	—	63.6%	-11.6%	-2.01%	$723.8M	Benchmark Subject
SMWB Similarweb Ltd.	D	44/100	—	79.5%	-35.0%	-0.46%	$783.4M	/smwb-vs-pubm →
RXT Rackspace Technology Inc.	D-	36/100	—	18.9%	-5.7%	-10.11%	$667.8M	/rxt-vs-pubm →
BMBL Bumble Inc. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	70.8%	-35.0%	-0.33%	$790.5M	/bmbl-vs-pubm →
SABR Sabre Corporation	D	47/100	—	56.4%	—	+3.09%	$653.8M	/sabr-vs-pubm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001422930 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) reported GAAP revenue of $282.9M (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $291.3M , and +6.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.0M, operating cash flow of $81.1M, and free cash flow of $66.7M (+19.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PUBM closed FY2025 with $680.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.98, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$282.9M	-$14.0M	$81.1M	$66.7M	$680.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$291.3M	$13.0M	$73.4M	$55.8M	$739.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$267.0M	$9.0M	$81.1M	$81.1M	—	—

3. PUBM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PUBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PUBM compare to SMWB and RXT in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUBM?

Where is PUBM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PUBM last traded at $15.57 (-2.01% on volume of 1,028,676 shares), positioning the stock -10.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.38) and +27.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.19). Across its 52-week range of $6.15 to $19.48, PUBM sits at the 70.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($14.18 to $16.96).

Direct Sub-Reports: PUBM RQD Cockpit PUBM 12M Forecast PUBM Earnings & Move PUBM Dividends & DRIP PUBM Insiders & 13F PUBM Whale Options PUBM Profit Sankey PUBM News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PUBM — PubMatic Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $15.57 (-2.01% 1D, market capitalization $723.8M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -11.6%, gross margin of 63.6%, operating margin of -6.1%, and free cash flow yield of 8.61%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.98, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

PubMatic Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry..8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) reported $282.9M in annual revenue (up from $291.3M in FY2024, -2.9% YoY) and -$14.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($267.0M revenue, $9.0M net income) through FY2025, PUBM scaled operating cash flow to $81.1M and free cash flow to $66.7M, backed by $680.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 8.61% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.15 – $19.48 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -6.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context provided is the classification as Technology / Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and the beta of 1.0, which indicates market-level sensitivity. Investors should monitor how the reported revenue decline interacts with the negative operating margin, since ripple effects on cash generation cannot be traced from the supplied data.

Key Question #1: Can PUBM sustain or expand its -6.1% operating margin and -11.6% ROIC against Computer Software: Programming Data Processing peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $282.9M and free cash flow of $66.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is PUBM's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PUBM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PUBM Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 22h ago

PubMatic, Inc. (PUBM) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 1d ago

PUBM: PubMatic Inc Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas

Stocktwits report covering PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

PubMatic: A Good Stock To Buy, But Not At This Price (NASDAQ:PUBM)

Seeking Alpha report covering PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Under a trading plan, PubMatic (PUBM) chairman Goel sells 10,795 shares and retains 35,580.

Stock Titan report covering PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH StockStory • 1d ago

PubMatic, Bandwidth, Palo Alto Networks, Unity, and Five9 Shares Are Falling, What You Need To Know

StockStory report covering PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

PubMatic (PUBM) Climbs 2.65% to $17.46, Holding the Middle of Its Trading Band - Zero Lag EMA

https://www.siam.in/ report covering PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

After exercising options, PubMatic (PUBM) CEO sells 50,021 shares under a trading plan.

Stock Titan report covering PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Titan • 1d ago

After exercising $2.15 options, PubMatic (PUBM) executive Mukul Kumar sells 8,000 shares.

Stock Titan report covering PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PUBM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.57?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PUBM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.07 (+20.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

An 8.61% FCF yield and a 1.0 beta give the stock cash-generation support and market-level sensitivity while the price sits near the mid

Long PUBM at $15.89 targeting $19.07. An 8.61% FCF yield and a 1.0 beta give the stock cash-generation support and market-level sensitivity while the price sits near the middle of its $6.15–$19.48 52-week range.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $6.15 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $15.89 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.19 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $15.89

Negative ROIC of -11.6%, an operating margin of -6.1%, and FY 2025 revenue falling to $282.9M from $291.3M point to deteriorating profi

I respect the product at PubMatic Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $15.89 is a different story. Negative ROIC of -11.6%, an operating margin of -6.1%, and FY 2025 revenue falling to $282.9M from $291.3M point to deteriorating profitability.. FCF yield is 8.61% and RQD sits at 48/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?