Why PUMP Stock slipped -1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$7.73 -1.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.69

ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $949.7M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PUMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, ProPetro Holding Corp. (NYSE: PUMP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $7.73 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $949.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PUMP ranks #168 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PUMP compare to ACDC and RES in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), PUMP carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.6%. By comparison, ACDC (ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.4%, cap $888.8M) and RES (RPC Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUMP?
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Per PUMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680247), ProPetro Holding Corp. generated $1.27B in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $824.0K in net income, and $45.3M in free cash flow against $1.29B in total assets and $105.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.69 (-0.51%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
$19 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE PUMP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PUMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PUMP SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.25 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$8.81-13.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$7.63-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$7.56+2.2% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$7.73-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PUMP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PUMP currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.46) and Max Pain ($8.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.43.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PUMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PUMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PUMP Stock slipped -1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) slipped -1.78% to $7.73, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($7.01 – $18.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($7.01 – $18.5) with RSI-14 at 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.2% around $7.73 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $45.3M annual free cash flow.
Live PUMP Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PUMP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PUMP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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PUMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.12%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.87H $7.87L $7.73C $7.73VOL 4.99M
RES: $9.42SUP: $6.45SMA50: $9.46SMA200: $12.57
$19.18$15.88$12.58$9.28$5.99RES $9.42SUP $6.45$7.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PUMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PUMP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PUMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PUMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PUMP)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PUMP vs. ACDC, RES, HOS, CLB)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) ranks #168 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #138 by equity capitalization ($949.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLB leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while CLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and 20.7% gross margin. CLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with PUMP at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PUMP ACTIVE
ProPetro Holding Corp.
D- 43/100 — — 0.6% -1.78% $949.7M Benchmark Subject
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)
E 33/100 — — -11.4% +0.62% $888.8M /acdc-vs-pump →
RES
RPC Inc.
D+ 56/100 44.1x — 4.0% -3.29% $1.37B /res-vs-pump →
HOS
Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.
D 47/100 51.7x 12.3% 3.5% -1.39% $1.57B /hos-vs-pump →
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
D+ 58/100 16.1x 20.7% 12.6% +2.31% $488.2M /clb-vs-pump →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001680247

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.27B (-12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.44B , and -22.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $824.0K, operating cash flow of $231.6M, and free cash flow of $45.3M (-59.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, PUMP closed FY2025 with $1.29B in total assets against $105.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.27B $824.0K $231.6M $45.3M $1.29B $105.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.44B -$137.9M $252.3M $112.0M $1.22B $45.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.63B $86.0M $374.7M $374.7M — —

3. PUMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PUMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ProPetro Holding Corp. (NYSE: PUMP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $7.73 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $949.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PUMP ranks #168 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PUMP compare to ACDC and RES in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), PUMP carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.6%. By comparison, ACDC (ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.4%, cap $888.8M) and RES (RPC Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUMP?

Per PUMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680247), ProPetro Holding Corp. generated $1.27B in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $824.0K in net income, and $45.3M in free cash flow against $1.29B in total assets and $105.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PUMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PUMP last traded at $7.73 (-1.78% on volume of 4,987,928 shares), positioning the stock -18.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.46) and -38.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.57). Across its 52-week range of $7.01 to $18.50, PUMP sits at the 6.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($6.86 to $8.60).

PUMP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is PUMP stock moving today?

Why PUMP Stock slipped -1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PUMP — ProPetro Holding Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:30Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PUMP scores 43 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 0.6% and an FCF yield of 4.69%. Returns on invested capital are thin, so the business is generating little economic profit relative to the capital it deploys, even though free cash flow yield is positive. For a prospective investor, the upside case depends on margin recovery rather than on current earnings power.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. Because the holders section contains no 13F data in the source, this pillar cannot be decomposed further; the weak score signals limited smart-money support as of the data date.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score moderately. The underlying trade-level detail is not in the source data, so the score is the only available evidence of insider posture.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity score below midpoint. The stock's price movement is described as moving in line with the broad market, and its energy-sector exposure adds cyclical sensitivity to oilfield activity levels.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 2.25, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.13 produce the strongest pillar score. This is the most favorable part of the profile: leverage is low and the forensic checks are mostly passing.

Taken together, the rating points to a company with a relatively sound balance sheet but weak profitability and weak institutional conviction. A prospective investor would be weighing a valuation near a low EV/EBITDA multiple against razor-thin margins and a 52-week range of $7.01 to $18.5 that places the current price of 7.87 near the bottom of that range. The rating is not a recommendation; it is a structured summary of current evidence.

Business

ProPetro Holding Corp. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within the Oilfield Services/Equipment industry, per the profile section. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $1.0B. Specific product lines, customer base, and revenue model details are not available in source data. The company reports revenue of $1269.2M for FY 2025, per the SEC financials.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1269.2M$6.3M$0.8MN/A$45.3M$91.3M$105.6M
FY 2024$1444.3M$-167.0M$-137.9MN/A$112.0M$50.4M$45.0M
FY 2023$1630.4M$130.3M$86.0MN/A$374.7MN/AN/A

Per the market data, operating margin is 0.5%, net margin is 0.1%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 0.6%. Per the RQD forensic inputs, the Altman Z-Score is 2.25, the Piotroski F-Score is 7 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.13. Revenue declined from $1630.4M in FY 2023 to $1269.2M in FY 2025 across the reported periods. Debt rose from $45.0M in FY 2024 to $105.6M in FY 2025 while cash rose from $50.4M to $91.3M, per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Green catalysts (CATALYST): The Globe and Mail headlines an upbeat Q3 2026 report with the stock jumping 14.7%, and Yahoo Finance reports the company is expected to beat earnings estimates. These are the two positive items in the feed.
  • Red risk watch (RISK WATCH): Stock Titan reports a shift from an $8 million loss to $13 million in net income in one quarter, flagged as a risk-watch item.
  • Yellow market wire items: Yahoo! Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance UK, and Simply Wall St carry general market and institutional-positioning coverage without specific new fundamental claims.
  • Butterfly supply-chain graph: Sector is Energy, industry is Oilfield Services/Equipment, supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the EPS (TTM) and P/E ratios? Both are absent, so the valuation multiple on earnings cannot be assessed.
  • What drove the swing from FY 2024 net loss of $-137.9M to FY 2025 net income of $0.8M, and is it sustainable?
  • Why is cash and debt for FY 2023 unreported, and how did debt move from $45.0M to $105.6M?
  • What is the composition of the Q3 2026 earnings result that the news wire describes, and does it confirm the sustained margin recovery the catalysts imply?
  • What are the analyst consensus, price targets, and any 13F or insider trade details behind the RQD pillar scores?

PUMP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PUMP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PUMP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.73?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PUMP 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PUMP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.93 (-11.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PUMP (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $7.87?

Welcome to the PUMP (ProPetro Holding Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Oilfield Services/Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.61 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $7.87

Pump the brakes on PUMP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PUMP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless ProPetro Holding Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.37 (+19.1%)
Spot @ $7.87

PUMP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PUMP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oilfield Services/Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.87 (52-wk range $7.01 - $18.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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