Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (PWP) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$14.73 +5.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.84

Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (PWP) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.36B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PWP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (NASDAQ: PWP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $14.73 (+5.21% 1D, market cap $1.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PWP ranks #692 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PWP compare to SECZ and KEEL in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), PWP carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 55.7%. By comparison, SECZ (Securitize Corp.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.38B) and KEEL (Keel Infrastructure Corp.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $1.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATLC leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while PWP leads on capital efficiency (55.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PWP?
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Per PWP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001777835), Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) generated $750.9M in revenue (-14.5% YoY), $48.0M in net income, and $30.5M in free cash flow against $797.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.84 (+0.75%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$27 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE PWP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PWP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PWP SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.1% FCF Margin ($30.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.1) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$16.10-21.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$12.66-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$12.54+17.5% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$14.73-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PWP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PWP currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.72) and Max Pain ($15.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PWP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PWP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PWP Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $14.73: 678.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $11.02
$7,481
$-2,519 (-25.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $14.13
$9,593
$-407 (-4.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $27.22
$18,479
+$8,479 (+84.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PWP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PWP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PWP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.88%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $12.94H $14.73L $12.94C $14.73VOL 4.06M
RES: $16.62SUP: $11.07SMA50: $14.72SMA200: $17.40
$20.87$18.50$16.13$13.76$11.39RES $16.62SUP $11.07$14.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PWP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -14.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PWP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PWP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PWP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PWP)

Financials Rank #692 of 1096 ⚔️ SECZ vs PWP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PWP vs. SECZ, KEEL, ATLC, WD)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (PWP) ranks #692 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #508 by equity capitalization ($1.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATLC leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while PWP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ATLC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with PWP at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PWP ACTIVE
Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A)
D 49/100 28.4x — 55.7% +5.21% $1.36B Benchmark Subject
SECZ
Securitize Corp.
D 44/100 — — — -10.32% $1.38B /secz-vs-pwp →
KEEL
Keel Infrastructure Corp.
E 22/100 — — -10.4% -10.82% $1.43B /keel-vs-pwp →
ATLC
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation
C+ 69/100 12.3x — 19.8% -4.78% $1.49B /atlc-vs-pwp →
WD
Walker & Dunlop Inc
D- 36/100 21.2x — 3.2% +0.23% $1.19B /wd-vs-pwp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001777835

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (PWP) reported GAAP revenue of $750.9M (-14.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $878.0M , and +15.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $48.0M, operating cash flow of $34.8M, and free cash flow of $30.5M (-85.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PWP closed FY2025 with $797.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $750.9M $48.0M $34.8M $30.5M $797.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $878.0M -$89.0M $223.4M $207.0M $876.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $648.7M -$112.0M $145.9M $145.9M — —

3. PWP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PWP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (NASDAQ: PWP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $14.73 (+5.21% 1D, market cap $1.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PWP ranks #692 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PWP compare to SECZ and KEEL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), PWP carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 55.7%. By comparison, SECZ (Securitize Corp.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.38B) and KEEL (Keel Infrastructure Corp.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $1.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATLC leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while PWP leads on capital efficiency (55.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PWP?

Per PWP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001777835), Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) generated $750.9M in revenue (-14.5% YoY), $48.0M in net income, and $30.5M in free cash flow against $797.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PWP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PWP last traded at $14.73 (+5.21% on volume of 2,296,632 shares), positioning the stock +0.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.72) and -15.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.40). Across its 52-week range of $12.13 to $25.92, PWP sits at the 18.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($12.89 to $16.57).

PWP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PWP's 12-month stock price target?

Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (PWP) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $14.13 (-4.1% from $14.73), with a bull-case target of $27.22 and a bear-case floor of $11.02.

Is PWP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates PWP D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 49/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PWP — Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PWP scores 49 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 55.7% and an FCF yield of 2.24%. Per the market data, ROIC is 55.7% while operating margin is 6.4%, so the high return-on-capital figure is not matched by a high margin. A prospective investor should note that the FCF yield of 2.24% is modest relative to the $1.36B market capitalization.
  • Whale 13F flow: 6 / 20. The RQD rating scores institutional accumulation and options positioning at 6 / 20. Per the source data, no holder-level 13F detail is provided, so the drivers of this low score cannot be traced further.
  • Insider conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores 12 / 20. Per the holders section, no insider transaction detail is available in the source data.
  • Macro regime fit: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is scored at 6 / 20. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves, while the low pillar score suggests the current regime is not a strong fit.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These are mid-range readings rather than a clear strength or weakness.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose return on capital is strong on paper but whose cash generation, institutional support, and macro fit are weak. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests on the ROIC figure and a 8.19% price change in the latest session, while the valuation tradeoff is a P/E (TTM) of 28.4 against EPS (TTM) of 0.49. The distribution warning in the verdict label is the rating's explicit signal that the risk-reward profile currently skews unfavorably.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
14$1.36B28.426.421.40.491.68%1.0$12.13 - $25.9255.7%

Business

Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Finance: Consumer Services industry, per the company profile. Per the company profile, the market capitalization is $1.4B. Per the market data, the gross margin is 0%, the operating margin is 6.4%, and the net margin is 6.4%. Products, customers, and revenue model details are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$750.9M$48.0M$48.0MN/A$30.5M$255.9MN/A
FY 2024$878.0M$-78.5M$-89.0MN/A$207.0M$331.6MN/A
FY 2023$648.7M$-115.1M$-112.0MN/A$145.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating and net income turned positive in FY 2025 at $48.0M after losses of $-78.5M and $-115.1M in FY 2024 and FY 2023 respectively. Per the market data, the operating margin is 6.4% and ROIC is 55.7%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5, indicating a mid-range balance sheet posture. Free cash flow declined from $207.0M in FY 2024 to $30.5M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items cover PWP. Headlines include a Yahoo Finance report describing the stock as rallying as Q3 results expose margin strain, and a Financial Times report that Perella Weinberg and Piper Sandler abandoned merger talks, flagged YELLOW. A TradingView preview notes the company reports Q3 results the following day, also flagged YELLOW. Other items, from Stocktwits, GuruFocus, and Yahoo! Finance Canada, are flagged GREEN as catalysts. GuruFocus assigns a GF Score of 69/100 per its headline. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are provided.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is NONE and butterfly links are empty, so upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from source data. Sector correlations are not available in source data. Investors should watch whether the Q3 margin strain noted in the news wire feeds into the FY 2025 operating margin of 6.4%, and whether the terminated merger talks reported by the Financial Times affect the company's strategic direction.

Open Questions

  • What drove the sharp decline in free cash flow from $207.0M in FY 2024 to $30.5M in FY 2025, and is it recurring?
  • What margin pressures were disclosed in the Q3 results, and how do they relate to the 6.4% operating margin?
  • What were the terms and reasons for the abandoned merger talks with Piper Sandler?
  • What is the reported EPS for each period, since the financials show N/A throughout?
  • What is the company's total debt, since the financials show N/A for each reported period?

PWP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (PWP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PWP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PWP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.73?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PWP 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PWP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $15.12 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PWP (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $14.00?

Welcome to the PWP (Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (55.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.76 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $14.00

Pump the brakes on PWP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PWP, but look at what you are paying: 28.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.96 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $14.00

PWP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PWP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $14.00 (52-wk range $12.13 - $25.92), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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