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Quantum Corporation (QMCO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$16.73 -8.43% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.44

Quantum Corporation (QMCO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $720.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is QMCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Quantum Corporation (NASDAQ: QMCO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $16.73 (-8.43% 1D, market cap $720.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, QMCO ranks #574 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does QMCO compare to ITRN and RELL in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), QMCO carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ITRN (Ituran Location and Control Ltd.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 55.3%, cap $1.04B) and RELL (Richardson Electronics Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 48.8x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $293.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ITRN leads on earnings multiple (18.3x) while ITRN leads on capital efficiency (55.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QMCO?
β–Ό

Per QMCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000709283), Quantum Corporation generated $279.6M in revenue (+2.0% YoY), -$101.0M in net income, and -$39.6M in free cash flow against $149.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.44 (-1.71%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
$37 Bull$15 Base$11 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE QMCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QMCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY QMCO SCORES 31/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$26.52-28.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$18.99+6.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$20.25-17.4% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$16.73-9.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (39) β†’ E (31)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a QMCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While QMCO currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($24.63) and Max Pain ($17.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.43.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QMCOβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œQMCO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (QMCO)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for QMCO.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring QMCO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of QMCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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QMCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +121.30%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $20.77H $20.77L $16.73C $16.73VOL 1.49M
RES: $40.36SUP: $12.10SMA50: $24.63SMA200: $13.21
$37.73$29.11$20.48$11.85$3.22RES $40.36SUP $12.10$16.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

QMCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QMCO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QMCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QMCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QMCO)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (QMCO vs. ITRN, RELL, OPTX, CAMT)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Quantum Corporation (QMCO) ranks #574 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #386 by equity capitalization ($720.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ITRN leads on earnings valuation at 18.3x trailing P/E, while ITRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.3% ROIC and 49.7% gross margin. ITRN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with QMCO at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
QMCO ACTIVE
Quantum Corporation
E 31/100 β€” 36.9% -35.0% -8.43% $720.0M Benchmark Subject
ITRN
Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
C+ 67/100 18.3x 49.7% 55.3% -0.40% $1.04B /itrn-vs-qmco β†’
RELL
Richardson Electronics Ltd.
D+ 54/100 48.8x 31.2% 4.1% -1.22% $293.7M /rell-vs-qmco β†’
OPTX
Syntec Optics Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 β€” 23.3% -2.8% -16.22% $253.4M /optx-vs-qmco β†’
CAMT
Camtek Ltd.
D+ 56/100 116.2x 50.5% 14.3% -7.22% $5.43B /camt-vs-qmco β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0000709283 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Quantum Corporation (QMCO) reported GAAP revenue of $279.6M (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $274.1M , and -10.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$101.0M, operating cash flow of -$37.9M, and free cash flow of -$39.6M (-38.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, QMCO closed FY2025 with $149.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $279.6M -$101.0M -$37.9M -$39.6M $149.3M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $274.1M -$115.1M -$23.6M -$28.6M $168.1M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $311.6M -$41.3M -$10.2M -$10.2M β€” β€”

3. QMCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is QMCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Quantum Corporation (NASDAQ: QMCO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $16.73 (-8.43% 1D, market cap $720.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, QMCO ranks #574 in composite RQD confidence.

How does QMCO compare to ITRN and RELL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), QMCO carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ITRN (Ituran Location and Control Ltd.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 55.3%, cap $1.04B) and RELL (Richardson Electronics Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 48.8x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $293.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ITRN leads on earnings multiple (18.3x) while ITRN leads on capital efficiency (55.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QMCO?

Per QMCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000709283), Quantum Corporation generated $279.6M in revenue (+2.0% YoY), -$101.0M in net income, and -$39.6M in free cash flow against $149.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is QMCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

QMCO last traded at $16.73 (-8.43% on volume of 1,120,264 shares), positioning the stock -32.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.63) and +26.65% above its 200-day simple moving average ($13.21). Across its 52-week range of $4.19 to $35.65, QMCO sits at the 39.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($14.64 to $18.82).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 31/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

QMCO β€” Quantum Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Quantum Corporation (QMCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $16.73 (-8.43% 1D, market capitalization $720.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 36.9%, operating margin of -8.8%, and free cash flow yield of -4.83%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Per the Roarable profile, Quantum Corporation (QMCO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Electronic Components industry. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $0.8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Quantum Corporation (QMCO) reported $279.6M in annual revenue (up from $274.1M in FY2024, +2.0% YoY) and -$101.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($311.6M revenue, -$41.3M net income) through FY2025, QMCO scaled operating cash flow to -$37.9M and free cash flow to -$39.6M, backed by $149.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -4.83% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.19 – $35.65 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -8.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Electronic Components (Technology), QMCO carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 36.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Can QMCO sustain or expand its -8.8% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Electronic Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $279.6M and free cash flow of -$39.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is QMCO's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

QMCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Quantum Corporation (QMCO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to QMCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

QMCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $16.73?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON QMCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on QMCO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.93 (+31.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Balance sheet is rated moderate-risk (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) and the stock trades near 52-week lows relative to its $35.65 high

Don't sleep on QMCO's setup in Technology. Balance sheet is rated moderate-risk (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) and the stock trades near 52-week lows relative to its $35.65 high, so a cash-flow turnaround could re-rate it.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (31/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 31/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $18.27 and keeping dry powder in case we test $16.99.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.43 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $18.27

Negative ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -4.83%, and net losses in all three reported years, with weak insider conviction, point to ongoing

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on QMCO: Negative ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -4.83%, and net losses in all three reported years, with weak insider conviction, point to ongoing cash burn.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Electronic Components triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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